European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during May. Coverage of CF Alba is discontinued following delisting. </li>
<li>Discounts (30 May): GBL, 37.9% (vs 35.3%, 2 May); Heineken Holding, 12.5% (vs. 12.3%); Industrivärden C, 9.6% (vs. 9.1%); Investor B, 9.6% (vs. 5.8%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 29.5% (vs. 29.2%); </li>
<li>Rio DLC 22.2% (vs. 25.8%); Vivendi 45% (vs. 46%).  What seems interesting: Heineken Holding, vs. Heineken, Porsche SE vs. listed assets and Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during May. Coverage of CF Alba is discontinued following delisting. 
Discounts (30 May): GBL, 37.9% (vs 35.3%, 2 May); Heineken Holding, 12.5% (vs. 12.3%); Industrivärden C, 9.6% (vs. 9.1%); Investor B, 9.6% (vs. 5.8%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 29.5% (vs. 29.2%); 
Rio DLC 22.2% (vs. 25.8%); Vivendi 45% (vs. 46%).  What seems interesting: Heineken Holding, vs. Heineken, Porsche SE vs. listed assets and Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: May 2025 Report

Groupe Bruxelles Lambert Sa / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>GBL earned €1.1 billion in capital gains from listed assets and saw over €278 million growth from private assets and GBL Capital, highlighting strong portfolio performance and value creation.</li>
<li>GBL trades at a 41.2% discount to NAV, above its 30% historical average, due to interest rate hikes. GBL continues shareholder returns via buybacks and dividends, backed by cash earnings.</li>
<li>In November 2021, GBL announced its moving towards a 40% allocation to private/alternative assets. GBL has now achieved that target with 40.8% of GAV coming from private investments.</li>
</ul>


GBL earned €1.1 billion in capital gains from listed assets and saw over €278 million growth from private assets and GBL Capital, highlighting strong portfolio performance and value creation.
GBL trades at a 41.2% discount to NAV, above its 30% historical average, due to interest rate hikes. GBL continues shareholder returns via buybacks and dividends, backed by cash earnings.
In November 2021, GBL announced its moving towards a 40% allocation to private/alternative assets. GBL has now achieved that target with 40.8% of GAV coming from private investments.


Groupe Bruxelles Lambert Achieves Target of 40% in Private Assets

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The EURO STOXX 50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in mainland Europe and the annual index review takes place in September.</li>
<li>Historically, these Rebalance events have had significant volume impact and they generally involve large cap names. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2022.</li>
</ul>


The EURO STOXX 50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in mainland Europe and the annual index review takes place in September.
Historically, these Rebalance events have had significant volume impact and they generally involve large cap names. 
In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2022.


Euro Stoxx 50 Quiddity Leaderboard for Sep 22: Eurozone's Annual Big Impact Rebal Trades

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during April. CF Alba was delisted following conclusion of the takeover acceptance period. Discounts: GBL, 35.3% as of 2 May (vs. 37.6%);</li>
<li>Heineken Holding, 12.3% (vs. 11.2%); Industrivärden C, 9.1% (vs. 2.9%); Investor B, 5.8% (vs. 4.2%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 29.2% (vs. 31.9%); Rio DLC 25.8% (vs. 21.7%); Vivendi 40% (vs. 40.1%). </li>
<li>What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during April. CF Alba was delisted following conclusion of the takeover acceptance period. Discounts: GBL, 35.3% as of 2 May (vs. 37.6%);
Heineken Holding, 12.3% (vs. 11.2%); Industrivärden C, 9.1% (vs. 2.9%); Investor B, 5.8% (vs. 4.2%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 29.2% (vs. 31.9%); Rio DLC 25.8% (vs. 21.7%); Vivendi 40% (vs. 40.1%). 
What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April 2025 Report

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos <strong>didn't show a clear trend during March</strong>. Discounts: C.F.Alba, 14.9% as of 31 March (vs 14.1% as of 28 February); GBL, 37.6% (vs. 38.7%);</li>
<li>Heineken Holding, 11.2% (vs. 13%); Industrivärden C, 2.9% (vs. 5.1%); Investor B, 4.2% (vs. 2.3%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 31.9% (vs. 38.1%); Rio DLC 21.7% (vs. 17%). Vivendi 40.1% (vs. 38.7%). </li>
<li>What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos didn't show a clear trend during March. Discounts: C.F.Alba, 14.9% as of 31 March (vs 14.1% as of 28 February); GBL, 37.6% (vs. 38.7%);
Heineken Holding, 11.2% (vs. 13%); Industrivärden C, 2.9% (vs. 5.1%); Investor B, 4.2% (vs. 2.3%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 31.9% (vs. 38.1%); Rio DLC 21.7% (vs. 17%). Vivendi 40.1% (vs. 38.7%). 
What seems interesting (unchanged views): Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March 2025 Report, Adding Vivendi

Belgium

Groupe Bruxelles Lambert S.A. is a holding company with interests in energy, media, and utility companies.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, produces petroleum, manufactures chemicals, operates gasoline filling stations, owns and operates television and radio stations, supplies water, generates and transports electricity, transports natural gas, and offers waste management services.

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Groupe Bruxelles Lambert Sa (GBLB BB)

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: May 2025 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during May. Coverage of CF Alba is discontinued following delisting. What seems interesting:...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Groupe Bruxelles Lambert Achieves Target of 40% in Private Assets

In November 2021, GBL announced its moving towards a 40% allocation to private/alternative assets. GBL has now achieved that target with 40.8% of...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Euro Stoxx 50 Quiddity Leaderboard for Sep 22: Eurozone's Annual Big Impact Rebal Trades

There are 3 ADDs/DELs based on current data but these rankings could fluctuate. There might some interesting pair trades involving the highest...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April 2025 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during April. CF Alba was delisted following conclusion of the takeover acceptance period.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March 2025 Report, Adding Vivendi

March discounts to NAV of covered holdcos showed no clear trend. Interesting points include Porsche SE vs. listed assets and Rio DLC (long RIO LN...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: May 2025 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during May. Coverage of CF Alba is discontinued following delisting. What seems interesting:...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Groupe Bruxelles Lambert Achieves Target of 40% in Private Assets

In November 2021, GBL announced its moving towards a 40% allocation to private/alternative assets. GBL has now achieved that target with 40.8% of...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Euro Stoxx 50 Quiddity Leaderboard for Sep 22: Eurozone's Annual Big Impact Rebal Trades

There are 3 ADDs/DELs based on current data but these rankings could fluctuate. There might some interesting pair trades involving the highest...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April 2025 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during April. CF Alba was delisted following conclusion of the takeover acceptance period.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March 2025 Report, Adding Vivendi

​March discounts to NAV of covered holdcos showed no clear trend. Interesting points include Porsche SE vs. listed assets and Rio DLC (long RIO LN...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

March discounts to NAV of covered holdcos showed no clear trend. Interesting points include Porsche SE vs. listed assets and Rio DLC (long RIO LN...