Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

Northam Platinum Holdings  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The annual WisdomTree rebalance takes place next week Wednesday in the closing auction. Turnover on the JSE at the rebalance last year (20 Oct) was R30.6bn, 1.5 times the 5-day average.</li>
<li>
<p>There are several SA stocks being added to and deleted from the range of WisdomTree EM funds.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Our buy flow estimate for SA additions is R1.3bn, our sell flow estimate for SA deletions is R1.8bn. This excludes up and down weightings.</p>
</li>
</ul>


The annual WisdomTree rebalance takes place next week Wednesday in the closing auction. Turnover on the JSE at the rebalance last year (20 Oct) was R30.6bn, 1.5 times the 5-day average.

There are several SA stocks being added to and deleted from the range of WisdomTree EM funds.


Our buy flow estimate for SA additions is R1.3bn, our sell flow estimate for SA deletions is R1.8bn. This excludes up and down weightings.



WisdomTree Oct 2023 Rebalance (Wed, 18 Oct)

<ul>
<li>JSE indices are due for rebalancing in the closing auction on Thursday the 20th of March (due to the public holiday on the 21st of March).</li>
<li>The current rankings suggest that AMS may enter the Top 40, with GRT falling out.</li>
<li>AMS’s net market cap is 8.5% above SSW, suggesting that entry into the Top 40 at this point is possible.</li>
</ul>


JSE indices are due for rebalancing in the closing auction on Thursday the 20th of March (due to the public holiday on the 21st of March).
The current rankings suggest that AMS may enter the Top 40, with GRT falling out.
AMS’s net market cap is 8.5% above SSW, suggesting that entry into the Top 40 at this point is possible.


JSE Mar 25 Rebalance: T40 AMS Potential Add, GRT Delete, BOX Likely to Enter ALSI!

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Sinopec Engineering Group H / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of small cap stocks within Emerging Markets.</li>
<li>The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 4 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 16 October.</li>
<li>There are 8 trading days to implementation and there are a bunch of stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index is a fundamentally weighted index that measures the performance of small cap stocks within Emerging Markets.
The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 4 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 16 October.
There are 8 trading days to implementation and there are a bunch of stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.


WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Trade

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Rallies appear to be stalling-out near logical resistances in the largest global equity markets. That includes 5670-5783 on SPX, 2690-2700 on Japan's TOPIX, and 4884 on Europe's EURO STOXX 50.</li>
<li>We continue to believe these indexes will roll over near current or marginally higher levels, fitting with our ongoing belief that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1-to-4-month pullback/consolidation.</li>
<li>Long-Term uptrend violations on global indexes and continued outperformance from defensive Sectors are our top concerns for global equities, though recession indicators and a Fed cutting cycle are also concerns.</li>
</ul>


Rallies appear to be stalling-out near logical resistances in the largest global equity markets. That includes 5670-5783 on SPX, 2690-2700 on Japan's TOPIX, and 4884 on Europe's EURO STOXX 50.
We continue to believe these indexes will roll over near current or marginally higher levels, fitting with our ongoing belief that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1-to-4-month pullback/consolidation.
Long-Term uptrend violations on global indexes and continued outperformance from defensive Sectors are our top concerns for global equities, though recession indicators and a Fed cutting cycle are also concerns.


Expecting Downside Ahead; Stick With Defensives; Downgrading Taiwan to Market Weight; Risk-Off Signs

<ul>
<li>In this note we assess the JSE Top 40 index effect of an Anglo American restructuring or takeover by BHP, assuming the Amplats and Kumba stakes are spun out.</li>
<li>We also explore the details of BHP's initial offer and what the market could be pricing with respect to a potential revision of BHP's stock offer (minimum).</li>
<li>If Kumba is unbundled from Anglo American, we expect the stock to enter the JSE Top 40. Potential deletes are included in the note.</li>
</ul>


In this note we assess the JSE Top 40 index effect of an Anglo American restructuring or takeover by BHP, assuming the Amplats and Kumba stakes are spun out.
We also explore the details of BHP's initial offer and what the market could be pricing with respect to a potential revision of BHP's stock offer (minimum).
If Kumba is unbundled from Anglo American, we expect the stock to enter the JSE Top 40. Potential deletes are included in the note.


Anglo American (AGL, AAL): JSE Index Effects of Potential Takeover or Restructuring

South Africa

Growthpoint Properties Limited is a real estate trust in South Africa. The Company owns a portfolio of commercial, retail and industrial (mostly warehouses) properties in South Africa and Australia. 1370329D SJ Equity has pre-2012 Financial Analysis fundamental data.

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Growthpoint Properties (GRT SJ)

WisdomTree Oct 2023 Rebalance (Wed, 18 Oct)

The annual WisdomTree rebalance takes place next week Wednesday in the closing auction. Turnover on the JSE at the rebalance last year (20 Oct) was...

DMA

JSE Mar 25 Rebalance: T40 AMS Potential Add, GRT Delete, BOX Likely to Enter ALSI!

The JSE March 2025 rebalance could see Anglo American Platinum enter the Top 40 index, with Growthpoint falling out. Post the Boxer IPO in November...

DMA

WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Trade

There are 370 adds/257 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend Index. Round-trip trade is around US$1bn. There is big impact...

Brian Freitas

Expecting Downside Ahead; Stick With Defensives; Downgrading Taiwan to Market Weight; Risk-Off Signs

Expecting Downside Ahead $ACWI $SPX; Stick With Defensive Sectors; Downgrading Taiwan $EWT $TSM to Market Weight; Global Discretionary vs. Staples...

Vermilion Research

Anglo American (AGL, AAL): JSE Index Effects of Potential Takeover or Restructuring

We explore the recent takeover bid by BHP and potential JSE index effects of a takeover or restructuring that would see Amplats and Kumba unbundled.

DMA

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