Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated short interest was USD19.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in HLB, DWEC, NAVER, Samsung Elec (PREF), Doosan Enerbility.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Oct 2nd. The aggregated short interest was USD19.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in HLB, DWEC, NAVER, Samsung Elec (PREF), Doosan Enerbility.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 2nd): HLB, DWEC, NAVER, Samsung Elec (PREF), Doosan Enerbility

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>There has been a sharp increase in unsold housing units in Korea. There were 68k unsold housing units in Korea at the end of 2022, up 278% YoY</li>
<li>Unsold housing units is likely to get worse in Korea in the coming months driven by higher housing units supply, stubbornly high interest rates, and increasing probability of global recession. </li>
<li>We believe there is a sound trading opportunity of shorting a basket of large construction stocks including Hyundai E&amp;C, GS E&amp;C, and Daewoo E&amp;C over the next 6-12 months.</li>
</ul>


There has been a sharp increase in unsold housing units in Korea. There were 68k unsold housing units in Korea at the end of 2022, up 278% YoY
Unsold housing units is likely to get worse in Korea in the coming months driven by higher housing units supply, stubbornly high interest rates, and increasing probability of global recession. 
We believe there is a sound trading opportunity of shorting a basket of large construction stocks including Hyundai E&amp;C, GS E&amp;C, and Daewoo E&amp;C over the next 6-12 months.


A Sharp Increase in Unsold Housing Units in Korea: A Trading Opportunity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the recent buying and selling by the Korea National Pension Service (NPS) of Korean stocks.</li>
<li>Of the 176 Korean stocks in which NPS reported changes in ownerships in 2Q 2022, NPS increased its stakes in 115 companies and reduced stakes in 61 companies.</li>
<li>NPS mostly increased stakes in aerospace, defense, construction equipment, and energy sectors while reducing stakes in telecom and tourism related stocks.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the recent buying and selling by the Korea National Pension Service (NPS) of Korean stocks.
Of the 176 Korean stocks in which NPS reported changes in ownerships in 2Q 2022, NPS increased its stakes in 115 companies and reduced stakes in 61 companies.
NPS mostly increased stakes in aerospace, defense, construction equipment, and energy sectors while reducing stakes in telecom and tourism related stocks.


NPS Sells SK Bioscience, Naver, & LG Electronics and Buys Kakao Bank, Lotte Corp, & Samyang Foods

<ul>
<li>Yoon Suk-Yeol was elected the new President of South Korea on 10 March.</li>
<li>As the next President of South Korea, Yoon will certainly try to increase much needed housing supply and this will certainly benefit the major construction companies in Korea.</li>
<li>Another major sector that will likely benefit as a result of Yoon becoming the President is the nuclear industry.</li>
</ul>


Yoon Suk-Yeol was elected the new President of South Korea on 10 March.
As the next President of South Korea, Yoon will certainly try to increase much needed housing supply and this will certainly benefit the major construction companies in Korea.
Another major sector that will likely benefit as a result of Yoon becoming the President is the nuclear industry.


Yoon Suk-Yeol Becomes the New President of South Korea

Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

<p>Whilst Q4's list posted strong price performance it was a case that a rising tide floated most boats. As in the previous few quarters, we are on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics, but in particular during H1 2021. In Q1, the Altman Z score is at a market-cap-weighted 1.03 times, a significant decrease on the 1.52 in Q4. This deterioration needs to be monitored since earnings continue to be adjusted by analysts and their limited visibility of any bottoming. 25 stocks appear in our Q1 2021 screen, versus 15 in Q4 2020.</p>

Whilst Q4's list posted strong price performance it was a case that a rising tide floated most boats. As in the previous few quarters, we are on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics, but in particular during H1 2021. In Q1, the Altman Z score is at a market-cap-weighted 1.03 times, a significant decrease on the 1.52 in Q4. This deterioration needs to be monitored since earnings continue to be adjusted by analysts and their limited visibility of any bottoming. 25 stocks appear in our Q1 2021 screen, versus 15 in Q4 2020.

Screening the Silk Road: Q1 2021 High Risk Names to Avoid

South Korea

GS Engineering & Construction Corp. contracts civil engineering and architectural works, residential and commercial building constructions, and plant installations.  The Company also builds educational, leisure, distribution, and environmental facilities.

GS Engineering & Construction (006360 KS)

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GS Engineering & Construction (006360 KS)

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 2nd): HLB, DWEC, NAVER, Samsung Elec (PREF), Doosan Enerbility

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in HLB, DWEC, NAVER, Samsung Elec (PREF), Doosan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A Sharp Increase in Unsold Housing Units in Korea: A Trading Opportunity

We believe there is a sound trading opportunity of shorting a basket of large construction stocks including Hyundai E&C, GS E&C, and Daewoo E&C...

Douglas Kim

NPS Sells SK Bioscience, Naver, & LG Electronics and Buys Kakao Bank, Lotte Corp, & Samyang Foods

NPS moves the Korean stock market more than any other investor. In this insight, we discuss the recent buying and selling by the Korea National...

Douglas Kim

Yoon Suk-Yeol Becomes the New President of South Korea

Yoon Suk-Yeol was elected the new President of South Korea on 10 March. Can he become the first ever hero President in South Korea, in the likes of...

Douglas Kim

Screening the Silk Road: Q1 2021 High Risk Names to Avoid

As in the previous few quarters, we are on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics, but in particular during H1 2021. 25 stocks...

David Lepper

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)