Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Oasis Corp is EV of 605 billion won, implied market cap of 788 billion won, and target price of 24,847 won per share. </li>
<li>This is 18.5% lower than the low end of the IPO price range. Given the lack of upside, we have a Negative View of the Oasis Corp IPO.</li>
<li>The end of COVID pandemic and relaxed regulations for hypermarkets in early morning delivery services are likely to have greater negative impact on Oasis Corp. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Oasis Corp is EV of 605 billion won, implied market cap of 788 billion won, and target price of 24,847 won per share. 
This is 18.5% lower than the low end of the IPO price range. Given the lack of upside, we have a Negative View of the Oasis Corp IPO.
The end of COVID pandemic and relaxed regulations for hypermarkets in early morning delivery services are likely to have greater negative impact on Oasis Corp. 


Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a list of 60 stocks in Korea where NPS recently added or reduced 1% or more stake (27 adds and 33 reduce). </li>
<li>Among the stocks NPS increased its stake, many of them are clear beneficiaries of the end of zero COVID policies in China including Hotel Shilla, Amorepacific Corp, and GKL. </li>
<li>Among the top market cap stocks where the NPS decreased its stake by 1% or more, they include Lg Innotek, Hyundai E&amp;C, Hyundai Mipo, and Posco International. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a list of 60 stocks in Korea where NPS recently added or reduced 1% or more stake (27 adds and 33 reduce). 
Among the stocks NPS increased its stake, many of them are clear beneficiaries of the end of zero COVID policies in China including Hotel Shilla, Amorepacific Corp, and GKL. 
Among the top market cap stocks where the NPS decreased its stake by 1% or more, they include Lg Innotek, Hyundai E&amp;C, Hyundai Mipo, and Posco International. 


Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>To MID migrants: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12179:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Group (002790 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-mart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6993:1" rel="noopener">E Mart (139480 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iljin-materials-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7709:1" rel="noopener">Iljin Materials (020150 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanjin-kal-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19086:1" rel="noopener">Hanjin KAL (180640 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oci-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1904:1" rel="noopener">OCI (010060 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socar-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29693:1" rel="noopener">SOCAR (403550 KS)</a>
</li>
<li>To LARGE migrants: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-rotem-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1554:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Rotem (064350 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-shilla-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:107:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Shilla (008770 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gs-retail-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3867:1" rel="noopener">GS Retail (007070 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cs-wind-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4883:1" rel="noopener">CS Wind (112610 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-international-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5954:1" rel="noopener">Posco International (047050 KS)</a> </li>
<li>This time, the degree of predictability is high as the MC gap widened from an early point. So, we should consider building our position in phases from early next month.</li>
</ul>


To MID migrants: Amorepacific Group (002790 KS), E Mart (139480 KS), Iljin Materials (020150 KS), Hanjin KAL (180640 KS), OCI (010060 KS), LX Semicon (108320 KS), and SOCAR (403550 KS)

To LARGE migrants: Hyundai Rotem (064350 KS), Hotel Shilla (008770 KS), GS Retail (007070 KS), CS Wind (112610 KS), and Posco International (047050 KS) 
This time, the degree of predictability is high as the MC gap widened from an early point. So, we should consider building our position in phases from early next month.


KOSPI Size Index: Early Preview at One Fourth into Screening Period

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>It was announced today that Hong Jung-Guk (eldest son) received a 10.5% stake in BGF Co. (10 million shares) from his father Hong Suk-Jo. </li>
<li>Hong Jung-Hyeok's (second son) stake in BGF also increased from 0.03% to 10.5%.</li>
<li>We like a pair trade between BGF Co (go long) and BGF Retail (go short). The combination of price momentum and valuation favor BGF vs BGF Retail. </li>
</ul>


It was announced today that Hong Jung-Guk (eldest son) received a 10.5% stake in BGF Co. (10 million shares) from his father Hong Suk-Jo. 
Hong Jung-Hyeok's (second son) stake in BGF also increased from 0.03% to 10.5%.
We like a pair trade between BGF Co (go long) and BGF Retail (go short). The combination of price momentum and valuation favor BGF vs BGF Retail. 


BGF & BGF Retail Pair Trade: Two Sons of BGF Chairman Hong Receive a Combined 20.9% Stake in BGF

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between GS Holdings (078930 KS) (go long) and GS Retail (007070 KS) (go short).</li>
<li>The main investment thesis of this pair trade is that investors will allocate greater portion of their capital to stocks with deep discount to their NAVs such as GS Holdings.</li>
<li>As the household disposable income continues to get pressured, this will likely force the Korean households to reduce consumer spending, which is likely to negatively impact GS Retail.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between GS Holdings (078930 KS) (go long) and GS Retail (007070 KS) (go short).
The main investment thesis of this pair trade is that investors will allocate greater portion of their capital to stocks with deep discount to their NAVs such as GS Holdings.
As the household disposable income continues to get pressured, this will likely force the Korean households to reduce consumer spending, which is likely to negatively impact GS Retail.


A Pair Trade Between GS Holdings & GS Retail

South Korea

GS Retail Co., Ltd. operates a chain of retail stores. The Company provides beauty and skincare products, candles, gifts, perfumes, ornaments, bathroom accessories, and other products. GS Retail serves its customers in the Republic of South Korea.

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GS Retail (007070 KS)

Oasis Corp IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Oasis Corp is implied market cap of 788 billion won, and target price of 24,847 won per share, which is 18.5% lower than...

Douglas Kim

What Is NPS Buying & Selling?

In this insight, we discuss a list of 60 stocks in Korea where NPS recently added or reduced 1% or more stake (27 adds and 33 reduce).

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Index: Early Preview at One Fourth into Screening Period

This post screens migrant candidates of the KOSPI Size Index Series, scheduled for rebalancing in March, as we are one-fourth into the screening...

Sanghyun Park

BGF & BGF Retail Pair Trade: Two Sons of BGF Chairman Hong Receive a Combined 20.9% Stake in BGF

Two sons of Chairman Hong received a combined 20.9% stake in BGF. We like a pair trade between BGF Co (go long) and BGF Retail (go short). Price...

Douglas Kim

A Pair Trade Between GS Holdings & GS Retail

In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between GS Holdings (078930 KS) (go long) and GS Retail (007070 KS) (go short).

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

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