Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sunwoda Electronic Co Ltd A / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.</li>
<li>Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Market dynamics remain overwhelmingly risk-on; with plenty of global liquidity, we expect upside to continue into year-end and the early part of 2026.
Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, U.S., and Greece. Many buys in these countries, and also Europe and Japan. EURO STOXX 50 on the cusp of major breakout above 5500


Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Sunwoda Electronic Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sunwoda, a lithium-ion battery manufacturer, is seeking an A+H listing. Goldman Sachs and CITIC are the sponsors.</li>
<li>We look at the company's core segments: consumer battery, EV battery and ESS.</li>
<li>We discussed our preliminary thoughts on the company's valuation based on A-H premium.</li>
</ul>


Sunwoda, a lithium-ion battery manufacturer, is seeking an A+H listing. Goldman Sachs and CITIC are the sponsors.
We look at the company's core segments: consumer battery, EV battery and ESS.
We discussed our preliminary thoughts on the company's valuation based on A-H premium.


Sunwoda (欣旺达) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology / Index Rebalance

Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology (002595 CH)

Shandong Himile Mechanical Science & Technology

<ul>
<li>There could be 18 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the June rebalance. Turnover is estimated at 1.7% and the round-trip trade is around US$1bn.</li>
<li>The index was launched in September 2024, and the passive trackers have taken in a chunk of money since then. The flows to the stocks add to other index flows.</li>
<li>A long add/short deletes trade has been stable over the last few months. The forecast adds could outperform following announcement of the index changes on Friday.</li>
</ul>


There could be 18 changes for the CSI A500 Index at the June rebalance. Turnover is estimated at 1.7% and the round-trip trade is around US$1bn.
The index was launched in September 2024, and the passive trackers have taken in a chunk of money since then. The flows to the stocks add to other index flows.
A long add/short deletes trade has been stable over the last few months. The forecast adds could outperform following announcement of the index changes on Friday.


CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Many Changes Expected; US$1bn Trade

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Guangzhou Great Power Ener-A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The June 2024 index review results for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices were announced yesterday.</li>
<li>There will be seven changes for the ChiNext index and five changes for the ChiNext 50 index. Some of these names surprised us.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for the confirmed index changes and our thoughts on the selection process.</li>
</ul>


The June 2024 index review results for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices were announced yesterday.
There will be seven changes for the ChiNext index and five changes for the ChiNext 50 index. Some of these names surprised us.
In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for the confirmed index changes and our thoughts on the selection process.


Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Jun 24 Rebalance: ~US$700mn One-Way Flows; Thoughts on Surprises

Victory Giant Technology -A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>We correctly forecast 5/7 and 7/7 for the Chinext Index adds/deletes and were 3/5 and 5/5 for the Chinext50 Index adds/deletes.</li>
<li>Based on the estimated passive tracking AUM, the one-way trade across both indices is estimated to be CNY 3.69bn (US$508m).</li>
</ul>


There are 7 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index at the June rebalance.
We correctly forecast 5/7 and 7/7 for the Chinext Index adds/deletes and were 3/5 and 5/5 for the Chinext50 Index adds/deletes.
Based on the estimated passive tracking AUM, the one-way trade across both indices is estimated to be CNY 3.69bn (US$508m).


ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1bn Round-Trip Trade

China

Guangzhou Great Power Energy & Technology Co Ltd specializes in green and high-performance portable battery development, manufacturing, and sales. The company's main products include rechargable batteries, such as, lithium ion, lithium iron, lithium manganese, and nickel-hydrogen batteries.

Price Gauge
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Guangzhou Great Power Ener-A (300438 CH)

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact. Actionable Themes: Communications, Manufacturing (Robotics and Batteries),...

Vermilion Research

Sunwoda (欣旺达) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Sunwoda is seeking an A+H listing. In this note, we look at the company's business, its industry context and provide our early thought on valuation.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Many Changes Expected; US$1bn Trade

We identify 18 potential changes for the CSI A500 Index. The index was launched in Sep 24 and has taken in a lot of AUM very quickly. The flows to...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Jun 24 Rebalance: ~US$700mn One-Way Flows; Thoughts on Surprises

ChiNext and ChiNext 50 "double" DEL Guangzhou Great Power Energy could underperform peers CATL and Gotion High-tec until the Inclusion event.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 7 changes for the Chinext and 5 changes for the Chinext50. Beijing Ultrapower and Victory Giant are surprise adds for both indices. The...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact

Buys Focused in China, Taiwan, and Korea; Bullish Outlook Intact. Actionable Themes: Communications, Manufacturing (Robotics and Batteries),...

Vermilion Research

Sunwoda (欣旺达) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Sunwoda is seeking an A+H listing. In this note, we look at the company's business, its industry context and provide our early thought on valuation.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI A500 Index Rebalance Preview: Many Changes Expected; US$1bn Trade

We identify 18 potential changes for the CSI A500 Index. The index was launched in Sep 24 and has taken in a lot of AUM very quickly. The flows to...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Jun 24 Rebalance: ~US$700mn One-Way Flows; Thoughts on Surprises

ChiNext and ChiNext 50 "double" DEL Guangzhou Great Power Energy could underperform peers CATL and Gotion High-tec until the Inclusion event.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 7 changes for the Chinext and 5 changes for the Chinext50. Beijing Ultrapower and Victory Giant are surprise adds for both indices. The...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1bn Round-Trip Trade