Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Expectations on economic reforms from Modi government are running high after the big win in Uttar Pradesh. Political analysts are expecting this win to ease Modi's chances for another term at national elections in 2019 and that would give him total 7 year period to push for reforms (In his victory speech Modi himself said he is now looking for delivering by 2022 - the 75th year of Indian Independence). Amidst the euphoria of Modi's victory, we would like to highlight some of the ground realities…

Expectations on economic reforms from Modi government are running high after the big win in Uttar Pradesh. Political analysts are expecting this win to ease Modi's chances for another term at national elections in 2019 and that would give him total 7 year period to push for reforms (In his victory speech Modi himself said he is now looking for delivering by 2022 - the 75th year of Indian Independence). Amidst the euphoria of Modi's victory, we would like to highlight some of the ground realities…

Investors Need To Be Patient With Reform Momentum Even As Modi Win Ensures Policy Continuity

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact of demonetisation on the electoral prospects of the party. Performance in UP is impressive as the opposition had formed an alliance to fight Modi but still lost poorly.  Most political analysts have been caught on the wrong foot as they predicted a hung assembly while the results show that Modi wave seen during the General elections continues. We…

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact of demonetisation on the electoral prospects of the party. Performance in UP is impressive as the opposition had formed an alliance to fight Modi but still lost poorly.  Most political analysts have been caught on the wrong foot as they predicted a hung assembly while the results show that Modi wave seen during the General elections continues. We…

Landslide Win for Modi in UP Elections;Upper House No.s to Cross 100 Mark by 2018, a +ve for Reforms

Primary issuances are expected to remain strong in 2017 following a five-year high in funds raised in 2016 (Rs 220bn) even as Fed rate expectations weigh on the broader secondary market outlook for India. Data shows that primary issuances in previous years have bucked the trend of weak capital inflows and in our view companies evaluate sector appetite &amp; valuations levels before deciding on a public issue. For e.g. in the recent past, CY2015 hardly recorded any significant FII inflows however the…

Primary issuances are expected to remain strong in 2017 following a five-year high in funds raised in 2016 (Rs 220bn) even as Fed rate expectations weigh on the broader secondary market outlook for India. Data shows that primary issuances in previous years have bucked the trend of weak capital inflows and in our view companies evaluate sector appetite &amp; valuations levels before deciding on a public issue. For e.g. in the recent past, CY2015 hardly recorded any significant FII inflows however the…

IPO Pipeline to Remain Strong as PE Funds, Quasi-Govt Promoters Aim for Portfolio Exits

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Authum Investment & Infrastructure / Index Rebalance

Authum Investment & Infrastructure (AIIL IN)

<ul>
<li>With the review period now complete, there could be 15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 9.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 26.5bn (US$290m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>Removing the newly listed stocks and upward/downward migrations, the remaining potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions over the last 6 months. Near-term performance has suffered.</li>
</ul>


With the review period now complete, there could be 15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 9.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 26.5bn (US$290m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
Removing the newly listed stocks and upward/downward migrations, the remaining potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions over the last 6 months. Near-term performance has suffered.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes in March

<ul>
<li>We forecast 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 3 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 15 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>From the new listings, 4 stocks are expected to be added to Large Cap, 8 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.</li>
<li>SEBI has reclassified Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT) as equity related instruments and REITs will be added to the AMFI classification from the upcoming review.</li>
</ul>


We forecast 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 3 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 15 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
From the new listings, 4 stocks are expected to be added to Large Cap, 8 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.
SEBI has reclassified Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT) as equity related instruments and REITs will be added to the AMFI classification from the upcoming review.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2025): New Listings and REIT Inclusion Drive Changes

India

Gujarat Energy is an integrated energy company engaged in city gas distribution, natural gas trading, and exploration and production of oil and gas resources. It operates India's largest city gas distribution network, supplying piped natural gas to domestic, commercial, and industrial customers, and compressed natural gas to vehicles. The company is headquartered in Gandhinagar, India, and was incorporated on February 21, 2012, as GSPC Distribution Networks Limited, later changing its name to Gujarat Gas Limited and then to Gujarat Energy Limited following a composite scheme of amalgamation in April 2026.

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Gujarat Energy (GUJENERG IN)

Investors Need To Be Patient With Reform Momentum Even As Modi Win Ensures Policy Continuity

Expectations on economic reforms from Modi government are running high after the big win in Uttar Pradesh. Political analysts are expecting this...

Asia Advisors

Landslide Win for Modi in UP Elections;Upper House No.s to Cross 100 Mark by 2018, a +ve for Reforms

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact...

Asia Advisors

IPO Pipeline to Remain Strong as PE Funds, Quasi-Govt Promoters Aim for Portfolio Exits

Primary issuances are expected to remain strong in 2017 following a five-year high in funds raised in 2016 (Rs 220bn) even as Fed rate expectations...

Asia Advisors

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes in March

There could be 15 changes in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 9.8% and round-trip trade is INR 26.5bn. With over US$43bn tracking the index...

Brian Freitas

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2025): New Listings and REIT Inclusion Drive Changes

36 stocks could see size reclassification in Jan. 12 new stocks could be added to Large and Mid-cap. REITs will be added to the AMFI classification...

Brian Freitas

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