Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (1364 HK)</a> 's shares closed 7% below issue price by end of yesterday's trading. </li>
<li>Institutional investors may be cautious, with many likely waiting for the upcoming IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (MIX HK)</a>, widely viewed as a more attractive and bigger opportunity in tea space.</li>
<li>The upcoming Mixue IPO—aiming to raise about USD500 million—could spark broader investor interest in the sector and may boost valuations for Guming given its relative operational strengths.</li>
</ul>



Guming Holdings (1364 HK) 's shares closed 7% below issue price by end of yesterday's trading. 
Institutional investors may be cautious, with many likely waiting for the upcoming IPO of Mixue Group (MIX HK), widely viewed as a more attractive and bigger opportunity in tea space.
The upcoming Mixue IPO—aiming to raise about USD500 million—could spark broader investor interest in the sector and may boost valuations for Guming given its relative operational strengths.


Guming Holdings (1364 HK): Potential Valuation Upside with Upcoming Mixue IPO

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (1364 HK)</a> raised US$233m in its Hong Kong IPO. Guming Holdings (Guming) sells freshly-made beverages in China.</li>
<li>Guming Holdings (Guming) sells freshly-made beverages in China. Guming focuses on the mid-priced freshly-made tea beverage market with product prices typically ranging between RMB10-18.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Guming Holdings (1364 HK) raised US$233m in its Hong Kong IPO. Guming Holdings (Guming) sells freshly-made beverages in China.
Guming Holdings (Guming) sells freshly-made beverages in China. Guming focuses on the mid-priced freshly-made tea beverage market with product prices typically ranging between RMB10-18.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Guming Holdings IPO Trading - Strong Retail Demand, with Decent Coverage on the Insti Tranche

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings</a>, the leading mid-priced milk tea player in China, has priced its IPO at the top-end and upsized it to 182.6 mn shares, raising a total of HKD1.8 Bn. </li>
<li>With strong HK retail investor demand, International investors bidding for Guming stock in the IPO had their allocations scaled back to 56.5% from 90% earlier.</li>
<li>Guming will list at the HK stock exchange today and could likely see a good  uptick upon listing given robust investor demand.</li>
</ul>



Guming Holdings, the leading mid-priced milk tea player in China, has priced its IPO at the top-end and upsized it to 182.6 mn shares, raising a total of HKD1.8 Bn. 
With strong HK retail investor demand, International investors bidding for Guming stock in the IPO had their allocations scaled back to 56.5% from 90% earlier.
Guming will list at the HK stock exchange today and could likely see a good  uptick upon listing given robust investor demand.


Guming (1364 HK): Upsized at Top-Price. Strong Retail Demand

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>MIXUE Group (MIXUE) is a freshly-made drinks company providing affordable products to consumers, including freshly-made fruit drinks, tea, ice cream and coffee, typically priced at around one USD per item.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the past performance, undertaken a peer comparison and spoken about valuations. In this note, we talk about updates from its recent filings.</li>
</ul>



Mixue Group is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
MIXUE Group (MIXUE) is a freshly-made drinks company providing affordable products to consumers, including freshly-made fruit drinks, tea, ice cream and coffee, typically priced at around one USD per item.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at the past performance, undertaken a peer comparison and spoken about valuations. In this note, we talk about updates from its recent filings.


MIXUE Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Slower Growth but Better Margins

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (1364 HK)</a> is forecasted to initially fail the fcap threshold for both global indices due to an IPO free float of ~6%.</li>
<li>The security is expected to be added at the global index's March 2026 review as the lock-up expiry's fcap increase becomes effective post September 2025 cut-off date.</li>
<li>The security will be eligible for the other global index at the May 2026 review following the 12-month lock-up expiry of the undisclosed shareholders.</li>
</ul>



Guming Holdings (1364 HK) is forecasted to initially fail the fcap threshold for both global indices due to an IPO free float of ~6%.
The security is expected to be added at the global index's March 2026 review as the lock-up expiry's fcap increase becomes effective post September 2025 cut-off date.
The security will be eligible for the other global index at the May 2026 review following the 12-month lock-up expiry of the undisclosed shareholders.


Guming (1364 HK): Global Index Inclusion Not Coming Soon

China

Guming Holdings Limited is a holding company primarily engaged in the production and sale of freshly made beverages through its "Good me" brand. It operates a franchised tea store retail network, offering fruit tea, milk tea, and coffee beverages. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

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Guming (1364 HK)

Guming Holdings (1364 HK): Potential Valuation Upside with Upcoming Mixue IPO

Upcoming Mixue IPO—aiming to raise about USD500 million—could spark broader investor interest in the sector and may boost valuations for Guming...

Devi Subhakesan

Guming Holdings IPO Trading - Strong Retail Demand, with Decent Coverage on the Insti Tranche

Guming Holdings (1364 HK) raised US$233m in its Hong Kong IPO. We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we...

Clarence Chu

Guming (1364 HK): Upsized at Top-Price. Strong Retail Demand

Expect stock to post a strong listing today on the back of robust investor demand while weak sector outlook could limit the stock's medium term...

Devi Subhakesan

MIXUE Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Slower Growth but Better Margins

Mixue Group is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent refiling.

Sumeet Singh

Guming (1364 HK): Global Index Inclusion Not Coming Soon

Guming to debut on 12 February with an mcap of $3.1bn but expected to fail global index fcap thresholds due to an IPO free float of 6%. Earliest...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Guming Holdings (1364 HK): Potential Valuation Upside with Upcoming Mixue IPO

Upcoming Mixue IPO—aiming to raise about USD500 million—could spark broader investor interest in the sector and may boost valuations for Guming...

Devi Subhakesan

Guming Holdings IPO Trading - Strong Retail Demand, with Decent Coverage on the Insti Tranche

Guming Holdings (1364 HK) raised US$233m in its Hong Kong IPO. We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we...

Clarence Chu

Guming (1364 HK): Upsized at Top-Price. Strong Retail Demand

Expect stock to post a strong listing today on the back of robust investor demand while weak sector outlook could limit the stock's medium term...

Devi Subhakesan

MIXUE Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Slower Growth but Better Margins

Mixue Group is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent refiling.

Sumeet Singh

Guming (1364 HK): Global Index Inclusion Not Coming Soon

​Guming to debut on 12 February with an mcap of $3.1bn but expected to fail global index fcap thresholds due to an IPO free float of 6%. Earliest...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Guming to debut on 12 February with an mcap of $3.1bn but expected to fail global index fcap thresholds due to an IPO free float of 6%. Earliest...