Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>One year after June 30, 2023, only 18% more of total battery capacities were added in US, below EU's 26% more added over the same period;</li>
<li>Chinese companies have largely shunned away from US investments, contributing only 8.7% of total. Most Chinese investments are in the mineral, instead of cell and package segments;</li>
<li>Envision/AESC alone contributed 2/3 of Chinese investments in US and is the only Chinese company investing in the cell segment.None invests in the package segment.</li>
</ul>


One year after June 30, 2023, only 18% more of total battery capacities were added in US, below EU's 26% more added over the same period;
Chinese companies have largely shunned away from US investments, contributing only 8.7% of total. Most Chinese investments are in the mineral, instead of cell and package segments;
Envision/AESC alone contributed 2/3 of Chinese investments in US and is the only Chinese company investing in the cell segment.None invests in the package segment.


US Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

<ul>
<li>About a year ago, we started collating battery investments in the European Union. At the time we conclude between 1/4 to a 1/3 were originated from China;</li>
<li>A year later, we revisited and found the ratio has increased. With the latest EU tariff on China-made EV's, we expect Chinese capacity buildups to quicken;</li>
<li>A total of 1,742 GWh of projects are supposed to go online in EU countries, representing investment of US$150bn, among which China related GWh and investment is ~25%. </li>
</ul>


About a year ago, we started collating battery investments in the European Union. At the time we conclude between 1/4 to a 1/3 were originated from China;
A year later, we revisited and found the ratio has increased. With the latest EU tariff on China-made EV's, we expect Chinese capacity buildups to quicken;
A total of 1,742 GWh of projects are supposed to go online in EU countries, representing investment of US$150bn, among which China related GWh and investment is ~25%. 


EU's Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Guangzhou Great Power Ener-A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The June 2024 index review results for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices were announced yesterday.</li>
<li>There will be seven changes for the ChiNext index and five changes for the ChiNext 50 index. Some of these names surprised us.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for the confirmed index changes and our thoughts on the selection process.</li>
</ul>


The June 2024 index review results for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 indices were announced yesterday.
There will be seven changes for the ChiNext index and five changes for the ChiNext 50 index. Some of these names surprised us.
In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for the confirmed index changes and our thoughts on the selection process.


Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Jun 24 Rebalance: ~US$700mn One-Way Flows; Thoughts on Surprises

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

REPT BATTERO Energy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>REPT BATTERO, a Chinese Li-ion battery manufacturer, announced terms for its IPO in Hong Kong. The initial public offering price is expected to be between HK$18.20 and HK$20.60 per share.  </li>
<li>The company plans to raise ~HK$2.1B of net proceeds at HK$19.40/share. REPT BATTERO will begin trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange under the stock code 0666 on December 18.</li>
<li>I have a negative view of the upcoming REPT BATTERO IPO and expect the stock will underperform during the first trading day as a publicly listed company. </li>
</ul>


REPT BATTERO, a Chinese Li-ion battery manufacturer, announced terms for its IPO in Hong Kong. The initial public offering price is expected to be between HK$18.20 and HK$20.60 per share.  
The company plans to raise ~HK$2.1B of net proceeds at HK$19.40/share. REPT BATTERO will begin trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange under the stock code 0666 on December 18.
I have a negative view of the upcoming REPT BATTERO IPO and expect the stock will underperform during the first trading day as a publicly listed company. 


REPT BATTERO IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: Burning Cash and Rising Debt Ahead of the IPO

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Shenzhen Senior Technology-A / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-senior-technology-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29612:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Senior Technology-A (300568 CH)</a> is looking to raise around US$275m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing. The bookrunner on the deal is Huatai International.</li>
<li>As per media reports, the firm was earlier looking to raise between US$300-400m via a Swiss GDR issuance, having secured approval earlier to sell up to 128m A-shares.</li>
<li>However, given its lackluster share price performance over the past year, the eventual deal size would be capped at around US$275m.</li>
</ul>



Shenzhen Senior Technology-A (300568 CH) is looking to raise around US$275m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing. The bookrunner on the deal is Huatai International.
As per media reports, the firm was earlier looking to raise between US$300-400m via a Swiss GDR issuance, having secured approval earlier to sell up to 128m A-shares.
However, given its lackluster share price performance over the past year, the eventual deal size would be capped at around US$275m.


Shenzhen Senior Tech GDR Listing - Early Look - Correction Leaves Its Valuation Palatable

China

Gotion High-tech Co.,Ltd researches, develops, manufacture and markets lithium batteries. The Company mainly produces lithium ion batteries, power lithium battery sets, and other related products. Guoxuan High-Tech supplies its products for electric commercial vehicles, passenger cars, power stations, and other fields.

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Gotion High-tech (002074 CH)

US Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

We view the US having a vigorous and healthy battery reshoring initiative. contributed by battery's relatively flat supply chain and the technology...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

EU's Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part I

Chinese companies accounted for a quarter of battery investments in EU. This ratio has increased materially over the past 12 months and will...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Quiddity ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Jun 24 Rebalance: ~US$700mn One-Way Flows; Thoughts on Surprises

ChiNext and ChiNext 50 "double" DEL Guangzhou Great Power Energy could underperform peers CATL and Gotion High-tec until the Inclusion event.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

REPT BATTERO IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: Burning Cash and Rising Debt Ahead of the IPO

Chinese Li-ion battery manufacturer REPT BATTERO filed to go public. I have a negative view of the IPO and expect the stock will underperform...

Andrei Zakharov

Shenzhen Senior Tech GDR Listing - Early Look - Correction Leaves Its Valuation Palatable

Shenzhen Senior Tech just launched its US$66m GDR offering. In the base deal, 6.34m GDRs are on offer, at US$9.46–$10.44 each, representing a...

Clarence Chu

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