Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

The Korea Exchange announced its KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 indices rebalances today. There were 17 new additions and 17 deletions for KOSDAQ150. Most of the stocks that were expected to be included in KOSDAQ 150 were officially included in the rebalance. However there were a few surprises. For example <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nanos-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16796:1" rel="noopener">Nanos Co Ltd (151910 KS),</a>which was one of the stocks that was expected to be included in KOSDAQ150, did not get included in this indext this time. On the other hand, the following stocks including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sang-a-frontec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20692:1" rel="noopener">Sang A Frontec (089980 KS)</a>, Novarex (194700 KS(, CIS (222080 KS), MedPacto (215980 KS), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/koreacenter-com-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28329:1" rel="noopener">Koreacenter.com Co Ltd (290510 KS)</a>, and Soulbrain (357780 KS) which were not on the top of the lists of getting selected into the KOSDAQ150 index by the locals, were formally selected be part of the new KOSDAQ150 inclusions.  The Korea Exchange also made changes to the KRX300 index. Although the KRX300 index is not currently as important as KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 indices, it is increasingly gaining in importance among the local institutional investors. The KRX300 had 33 new additions and 35 deletions.

The Korea Exchange announced its KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 indices rebalances today. There were 17 new additions and 17 deletions for KOSDAQ150. Most of the stocks that were expected to be included in KOSDAQ 150 were officially included in the rebalance. However there were a few surprises. For example Nanos Co Ltd (151910 KS),which was one of the stocks that was expected to be included in KOSDAQ150, did not get included in this indext this time. On the other hand, the following stocks including Sang A Frontec (089980 KS), Novarex (194700 KS(, CIS (222080 KS), MedPacto (215980 KS), Koreacenter.com Co Ltd (290510 KS), and Soulbrain (357780 KS) which were not on the top of the lists of getting selected into the KOSDAQ150 index by the locals, were formally selected be part of the new KOSDAQ150 inclusions.  The Korea Exchange also made changes to the KRX300 index. Although the KRX300 index is not currently as important as KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 indices, it is increasingly gaining in importance among the local institutional investors. The KRX300 had 33 new additions and 35 deletions. 

KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 Indices Rebalances (Overlapping Additions & Deletions)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Mar 20th. The aggregated short interest was USD15.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Samsung F&amp;M Insurance, SamsungElecMech, DWEC, Samsung SDI, KOREA AEROSPACE.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Mar 20th. The aggregated short interest was USD15.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Samsung F&amp;M Insurance, SamsungElecMech, DWEC, Samsung SDI, KOREA AEROSPACE.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 20th): Samsung F&M Insurance, SamsungElecMech, DWEC, Samsung SDI

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Oct 18th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, KB Financial, Shinhan Group, Hana Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Oct 18th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, KB Financial, Shinhan Group, Hana Financial.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 18th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, KB Financial, Shinhan Group

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I screened those local buybacks in Korea with a market cap of +₩300B. I further selected those whose buyback volume exceeds 0.5% of SO and buyback completion is below 50%.</li>
<li>I then narrowed them down to those whose buybacks will likely be completed within 30 trading days with a daily buyback x ADTV of 0.15x or higher.</li>
<li>As a result, I obtained nine names: Hwasung Industrial, SK Chemicals, Meritz Securities, Huons Global, Daishin Securities, E-Mart, Meritz Financial Group, Meritz Fire, &amp; Hwaseung Industries
</li>
</ul>


I screened those local buybacks in Korea with a market cap of +₩300B. I further selected those whose buyback volume exceeds 0.5% of SO and buyback completion is below 50%.
I then narrowed them down to those whose buybacks will likely be completed within 30 trading days with a daily buyback x ADTV of 0.15x or higher.
As a result, I obtained nine names: Hwasung Industrial, SK Chemicals, Meritz Securities, Huons Global, Daishin Securities, E-Mart, Meritz Financial Group, Meritz Fire, &amp; Hwaseung Industries



KOSPI/KOSDAQ Buybacks in Progress: Those with High Daily Flow Screened

I added 3 more single subsidiary holding companies: Doosan Corp, Hwaseung Industries, and Hanil Holdings. I now track a total of 18 local holding companies for a single subsidiary stub trade.Out of these 18 names, 6 holding companies are currently below -0.5σ on a 20-day moving average. Hanil Holdings, one of the three newbies, is in the harshest diversion at -1.44σ relative to its subsidiary, Hanil Cement. Younghone Holdings and Green Cross Holdings follow at -0.99σ and -0.86σ, respectively.







Holdco
Subsidiary
Sigma (σ) on a 20-day moving average


Amorepacific Group
Amorepacific Corp
-0.69


BGF Co Ltd
BGF Retail Co Ltd
-0.84


Halla Holdings Corp
Mando Corp
1.35


Hanjin Kal
Korean Air Lines Co Ltd
1.18


Hankook &amp; Company Co Ltd
Hankook Tire &amp; Technology Co Ltd
1.46


HANSAE YES24 HOLDINGS CO., LTD.
Hansae Co., Ltd.
-0.23


HDC Holdings Co Ltd
HDC Hyundai Development Co
0.92


Nexen Corporation
Nexen Tire Corp
2.33


Nongshim Holdings Co Ltd
Nongshim Co Ltd
0.44


ORION Holdings Corp
Orion Corp
-0.49


Poongsan Holdings Corporation
POONGSAN CORPORATION
0.18


Youngone Holdings Co Ltd
Youngone Corporation
-0.99


Green Cross Holdings
Green Cross Corp
-0.86


Hitejinro Holdings Co Ltd
HiteJinro Co Ltd
0.29


Seah Holdings Corp
Seah Besteel Corporation
-1.45


* Doosan Corp
* Doosan Heavy Industries Constrctn Co Ltd
0.63


* HWASEUNG Industries Co Ltd
* Hwaseung Enterprise Co Ltd
-0.81


* Hanil Holdings Co Ltd
* Hanil Cement Co Ltd
-1.44

Source: KRX

Starting with this insight, I made some changes in my calculation of NAV. I estimated each holding company's operating operation based on their latest de-consolidated operating profit. It is mostly brand royalty and office rental income. I used operating profit to exclude dividend income.So, here is the revised NAV discount of each holding company in my monitoring list. Seah Holdings and Halla Holdings have the highest discount to the NAV at 76.65% and 73.29%, respectively. In contrast, Hanjin Kal continues to trade at a premium (11.75%) to the NAV. Amorepacific Group and Hankook &amp; Co are also trading at a relatively low discount to the NAV. 








Discount &amp; weight
NAV discount
Single subsidiary weight in NAV
Single subsidiary weight in GAV


Amorepacific Group
20.18%
88.64%
88.53%


BGF Co Ltd
65.06%
59.17%
67.74%


Halla Holdings Corp
73.29%
53.98%
41.33%


Hanjin Kal
-11.75%
79.03%
79.81%


Hankook &amp; Company Co Ltd
26.04%
75.52%
81.38%


HANSAE YES24 HOLDINGS CO., LTD.
49.69%
58.92%
53.06%


HDC Holdings Co Ltd
50.47%
49.76%
44.85%


Nexen Corporation
62.60%
48.57%
48.66%


Nongshim Holdings Co Ltd
65.63%
60.30%
60.68%


ORION Holdings Corp
50.42%
89.56%
81.83%


Poongsan Holdings Corporation
53.62%
77.10%
81.20%


Youngone Holdings Co Ltd
60.75%
70.04%
74.12%


Green Cross Holdings
65.62%
121.52%
74.74%


Hitejinro Holdings Co Ltd
32.92%
86.35%
71.58%


Seah Holdings Corp
76.65%
40.07%
37.64%


* Doosan Corp
71.00%
70.92%
50.32%


* HWASEUNG Industries Co Ltd
59.62%
78.05%
72.68%


* Hanil Holdings Co Ltd
53.40%
77.85%
67.20%

Source: KRX



Korea Single Subsidiary Stub Trade: 18 in Total with 3 New Ones

South Korea

H.S. Industries Co., Ltd. manufactures various plastic film products such as biaxially oriented polypropylene (BOPP), breathable, and polyester films.  The Company distributes its products to the packaging industry in the domestic and overseas markets.  In addition, H.S. Industries also operates real estate sale and leasing business.

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H.S. Industries (006060 KS)

KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 Indices Rebalances (Overlapping Additions & Deletions)

We highlight the KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 indices rebalances. There are some interesting new names, especially among those that are over lapping in...

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 20th): Samsung F&M Insurance, SamsungElecMech, DWEC, Samsung SDI

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Samsung F&M Insurance, SamsungElecMech, DWEC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 18th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, KB Financial, Shinhan Group

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, KB Financial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KOSPI/KOSDAQ Buybacks in Progress: Those with High Daily Flow Screened

This post details share buybacks in progress among the KOSPI/KOSDAQ stocks and screens those with a high daily flow (+0.15x ADTV).

Sanghyun Park

Korea Single Subsidiary Stub Trade: 18 in Total with 3 New Ones

This insight tracks a total of 18 single subsidiary holding companies in Korea for stub trade. I revised the NAV discounts.

Sanghyun Park

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