External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>A mixed CNY, robust topline was likely aided by seasonality while the fall in spending power and price war continued.</li><li>We do agree both passenger flows and overall sales were strong during the CNY holiday, given that the spending power was somewhat diluted by the resumption of outbound tourism.</li><li>But on the other hand, the 2024 CNY holiday was a longer-than-usual one and contained one more Saturday and also the Valentine’s Day, hence the recovery rate after adjustment may just be stable (instead of improvements vs 4Q23).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

A mixed CNY, robust topline was likely aided by seasonality while the fall in spending power and price war continued.We do agree both passenger flows and overall sales were strong during the CNY holiday, given that the spending power was somewhat diluted by the resumption of outbound tourism.But on the other hand, the 2024 CNY holiday was a longer-than-usual one and contained one more Saturday and also the Valentine’s Day, hence the recovery rate after adjustment may just be stable (instead of improvements vs 4Q23).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer Sector – CNY Was Mixed and We Stay Conservative

<ul><li>Numbers for catering sector did rebound strongly YoY, but since SSS/ table turnover recovery rate were not as good as expected, de-rating was massive in 1H23E.</li><li>After a disappointing 2Q23 plus worrying macro outlook, we downgrade the sector to MARKET-PERFORM as we see more downside in earnings.</li><li>However, as valuation turned more attractive, we can start to accumulate industry leaders. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Numbers for catering sector did rebound strongly YoY, but since SSS/ table turnover recovery rate were not as good as expected, de-rating was massive in 1H23E.After a disappointing 2Q23 plus worrying macro outlook, we downgrade the sector to MARKET-PERFORM as we see more downside in earnings.However, as valuation turned more attractive, we can start to accumulate industry leaders. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Catering Sector – Staying cautious after a disappointing 2Q23E

<ul><li>Impressive recovery vs Feb-Apr 2023, while both consumer and investors sentiment should be boosted, the post holidays purchasing power is still important.</li><li>We find the data points during this 5-1 golden week in 2023 slightly better than expectation and encouraging, esp. after the weakening consumption trend post CNY 2023.</li><li>We are highly delighted to see a surge in recovery rate of domestic tourism volume/ spending during this holiday to 119%/ 101%, which is far better than the 83%/ 51% in Qingming Festival and 89%/ 73% in CNY, according to Ministry of Culture and Tourism/文化和旅游部.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Impressive recovery vs Feb-Apr 2023, while both consumer and investors sentiment should be boosted, the post holidays purchasing power is still important.We find the data points during this 5-1 golden week in 2023 slightly better than expectation and encouraging, esp. after the weakening consumption trend post CNY 2023.We are highly delighted to see a surge in recovery rate of domestic tourism volume/ spending during this holiday to 119%/ 101%, which is far better than the 83%/ 51% in Qingming Festival and 89%/ 73% in CNY, according to Ministry of Culture and Tourism/文化和旅游部.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer Sector – A Strong Comeback in 5-1 Golden Week

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>1H25 results were weak but the negatives should have already priced in.</li><li>We expect SSS to likely stabilize in 2H25E, with the support of different company specific initiatives.</li><li>We also believe that a potential turnaround could happen, especially when the store expansion and new brands development start to accelerate.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

1H25 results were weak but the negatives should have already priced in.We expect SSS to likely stabilize in 2H25E, with the support of different company specific initiatives.We also believe that a potential turnaround could happen, especially when the store expansion and new brands development start to accelerate.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Haidilao (6862 HK) - Downside Protected and More Reforms Start

<ul><li>FY24 results were a small beat, mainly from the robust GP margin expansion.</li><li>Going into FY25E, though the SSSG may be only be stable, we are confident on a mild turnaround, driven by potential store expansion acceleration and margin expansion (better input costs, more efficient supply chain and greater adoption of multi-store management, etc.).</li><li>Maintain BUY and raise TP to HK$ 20.20, based on 18x FY25E P/E (up from 16x, due to faster expansion and sector re-rating). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FY24 results were a small beat, mainly from the robust GP margin expansion.Going into FY25E, though the SSSG may be only be stable, we are confident on a mild turnaround, driven by potential store expansion acceleration and margin expansion (better input costs, more efficient supply chain and greater adoption of multi-store management, etc.).Maintain BUY and raise TP to HK$ 20.20, based on 18x FY25E P/E (up from 16x, due to faster expansion and sector re-rating). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Haidilao (6862 HK) - Potential store and margin expansion ahead

China

Haidilao International Holding Ltd. is an investment holding company primarily operating a popular Chinese hot pot restaurant chain under the Haidilao brand. The company also engages in delivery services and the sale of condiment products and food ingredients. It was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Haidilao (6862 HK)

China Consumer Sector – CNY Was Mixed and We Stay Conservative

We do agree both passenger flows and overall sales were strong during the CNY holiday, given that the spending power was somewhat diluted by the...

CMB International

China Catering Sector – Staying cautious after a disappointing 2Q23E

Numbers for catering sector did rebound strongly YoY, but since SSS/ table turnover recovery rate were not as good as expected, de-rating was...

CMB International

China Consumer Sector – A Strong Comeback in 5-1 Golden Week

Impressive recovery vs Feb-Apr 2023, while both consumer and investors sentiment should be boosted, the post holidays purchasing power is still...

CMB International

Haidilao (6862 HK) - Downside Protected and More Reforms Start

1H25 results were weak but the negatives should have already priced in. We expect SSS to likely stabilize in 2H25E, with the support of different...

CMB International

Haidilao (6862 HK) - Potential store and margin expansion ahead

Maintain BUY and raise TP to HK$ 20.20, based on 18x FY25E P/E (up from 16x, due to faster expansion and sector re-rating).

CMB International

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