External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Haidilao’s 1H24 results were roughly inline, but the margin was soft, given the meaningful SSSG.</li><li>Going into 2H24E, we can still see certain pressure like drags from macro environment, high base for SSSG and staff costs inflation etc.</li><li>In our view, the extra upside could be from the acceleration in new stores opening, further plans to boost efficiency and new brands’ development. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Haidilao’s 1H24 results were roughly inline, but the margin was soft, given the meaningful SSSG.Going into 2H24E, we can still see certain pressure like drags from macro environment, high base for SSSG and staff costs inflation etc.In our view, the extra upside could be from the acceleration in new stores opening, further plans to boost efficiency and new brands’ development. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Haidilao (6862 HK) - Waiting for New Initiatives to Shine, with Yields

<ul><li>What is new? Haidilao (6862 HK, BUY) and Super Hi (9658 HK, NR) have announced a management change.</li><li>Yang Lijuan resigned as the executive director and CEO of Haidilao and will become the executive director and CEO of Super Hi.</li><li>Gou Yiqun will be appointed as the executive director and CEO of Haidilao. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

What is new? Haidilao (6862 HK, BUY) and Super Hi (9658 HK, NR) have announced a management change.Yang Lijuan resigned as the executive director and CEO of Haidilao and will become the executive director and CEO of Super Hi.Gou Yiqun will be appointed as the executive director and CEO of Haidilao. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Haidilao (6862 HK) - Our View on Management Changes

<ul><li>We think Haidilao’s downside is protected by its dividend (5.6% FY24E yield and the 90% payout ratio should sustain into the future), while the upside is highly dependent on its speed of store expansion (which is still very slow but we tend to think it will accelerate once the franchising model is finalized).</li><li>Hence, we maintain BUY with a TP of HK$ 21.52, based on a 20x FY24E P/E. Noted that in the long run, the lack of growth drivers is still a concern.</li><li>The momentum so far in 2024 is still intact. While the industry is still suffering (most of the brands are experiencing SSS decline), management highlighted that Haidilao’s table turnover has further increased by over 30% in Jan-Feb 2024 (table turnover for CNY/ Valentine’s Day were at around 5x/ 6x).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We think Haidilao’s downside is protected by its dividend (5.6% FY24E yield and the 90% payout ratio should sustain into the future), while the upside is highly dependent on its speed of store expansion (which is still very slow but we tend to think it will accelerate once the franchising model is finalized).Hence, we maintain BUY with a TP of HK$ 21.52, based on a 20x FY24E P/E. Noted that in the long run, the lack of growth drivers is still a concern.The momentum so far in 2024 is still intact. While the industry is still suffering (most of the brands are experiencing SSS decline), management highlighted that Haidilao’s table turnover has further increased by over 30% in Jan-Feb 2024 (table turnover for CNY/ Valentine’s Day were at around 5x/ 6x).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Haidilao (6862 HK) - Looking for Expansion Opportunities with Downside Protection

<ul><li>1H23 result was strong (resilient table turn plus strong margin uptick) but with limited surprises.</li><li>While we are still cautious about the sector in 2H23E, Haidilao is one of our preferred picks, and the next catalyst could be the speed up in store expansion (likely in FY24E).</li><li>We maintain BUY, based on this short-term turnaround. But in long-run, lack of growth drivers is still a big concern. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

1H23 result was strong (resilient table turn plus strong margin uptick) but with limited surprises.While we are still cautious about the sector in 2H23E, Haidilao is one of our preferred picks, and the next catalyst could be the speed up in store expansion (likely in FY24E).We maintain BUY, based on this short-term turnaround. But in long-run, lack of growth drivers is still a big concern. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Haidilao (6862 HK) – Store Expansion May Be the Next Catalyst

<ul><li>FY22 result beat again if we consider only its Greater China business.</li><li>As Haidilao achieved positive SSSG returns in YTD 2023 and notably low breakeven point since 2H22 (thru staff costs refinement and no negative impacts on service quality), we do find its turnaround in FY23E and valuation attractive.</li><li>Our net profit forecasts are 23%-33% higher than BBG consensus. Maintain BUY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FY22 result beat again if we consider only its Greater China business.As Haidilao achieved positive SSSG returns in YTD 2023 and notably low breakeven point since 2H22 (thru staff costs refinement and no negative impacts on service quality), we do find its turnaround in FY23E and valuation attractive.Our net profit forecasts are 23%-33% higher than BBG consensus. Maintain BUY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Haidilao (6862 HK) – Reopen and staff costs reform-led turnaround

China

Haidilao International Holding Ltd. is an investment holding company primarily operating a popular Chinese hot pot restaurant chain under the Haidilao brand. The company also engages in delivery services and the sale of condiment products and food ingredients. It was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Haidilao (6862 HK)

Haidilao (6862 HK) - Waiting for New Initiatives to Shine, with Yields

Going into 2H24E, we can still see certain pressure like drags from macro environment, high base for SSSG and staff costs inflation etc.

CMB International

Haidilao (6862 HK) - Our View on Management Changes

Yang Lijuan resigned as the executive director and CEO of Haidilao and will become the executive director and CEO of Super Hi.

CMB International

Haidilao (6862 HK) - Looking for Expansion Opportunities with Downside Protection

Hence, we maintain BUY with a TP of HK$ 21.52, based on a 20x FY24E P/E. Noted that in the long run, the lack of growth drivers is still a concern.

CMB International

Haidilao (6862 HK) – Store Expansion May Be the Next Catalyst

While we are still cautious about the sector in 2H23E, Haidilao is one of our preferred picks, and the next catalyst could be the speed up in store...

CMB International

Haidilao (6862 HK) – Reopen and staff costs reform-led turnaround

Haidilao’s sales dropped by 16% YoY but returned to profit of RMB 1.3bn in FY22, both were inline with its positive profit alert.

CMB International

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