HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The sharp surge in Omicron-driven local cases has driven more stringent measures by local governments. On ground in Shanghai, we see more tightened measures being implemented over the weekend. </li>
<li>The measures will reduce a lot of foot traffic and lower discretionary spending appetite in Mar, and this will negatively weigh on many 1Q22 results to be announced in late-Apr. </li>
<li>We advocate a long staples, short discretionary strategy in the near term. Also, travel sector will be hit, and on net-net basis, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> looks to be a loser.</li>
</ul>


The sharp surge in Omicron-driven local cases has driven more stringent measures by local governments. On ground in Shanghai, we see more tightened measures being implemented over the weekend. 
The measures will reduce a lot of foot traffic and lower discretionary spending appetite in Mar, and this will negatively weigh on many 1Q22 results to be announced in late-Apr. 
We advocate a long staples, short discretionary strategy in the near term. Also, travel sector will be hit, and on net-net basis, Meituan (3690 HK) looks to be a loser.


China on the Ground: Escalating Measures to Combat Omicron and What Stocks Are Impacted?

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/green-tea-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34599:1" rel="noopener">Green Tea Group (GT HK)</a> received the Hong Kong Stock Exchange approval to launch its IPO on 7th March 2022, almost a year after filing its first application.</li>
<li>The company expects to raise around US$100-200m via an IPO jointly sponsored by Citi and CMB International.</li>
<li>Growth prospects look decent with plans to open 75-100 new restaurants each year. However, We aren’t excited about the IPO as the Company's business model seems significantly weaker than peers.</li>
</ul>



Green Tea Group (GT HK) received the Hong Kong Stock Exchange approval to launch its IPO on 7th March 2022, almost a year after filing its first application.
The company expects to raise around US$100-200m via an IPO jointly sponsored by Citi and CMB International.
Growth prospects look decent with plans to open 75-100 new restaurants each year. However, We aren’t excited about the IPO as the Company's business model seems significantly weaker than peers.


Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>On 3 March, the South Korean romance drama "Something in the Rain" was streamed on a Chinese online platform iQiyi. </li>
<li>This was the first time in five years that a Korean TV show has been approved by the Chinese government to be formally allowed to be shown in China.</li>
<li>In addition, there has been numerous media news flow in the past week regarding China pivoting away from its zero-COVID policy.</li>
</ul>


On 3 March, the South Korean romance drama "Something in the Rain" was streamed on a Chinese online platform iQiyi. 
This was the first time in five years that a Korean TV show has been approved by the Chinese government to be formally allowed to be shown in China.
In addition, there has been numerous media news flow in the past week regarding China pivoting away from its zero-COVID policy.


China Pivots from Zero-COVID Policy & End of China's Ban on Korean Culture?

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Hong Kong cases top 55,000, but Lam rules out full lockdown</li><li>Wounded Chinese citizen in Ukraine ‘out of danger,’ ministry says</li><li>GDP target, budget deficit, housing controls: What to watch for at China’s ‘Two Sessions’</li></ul>

Hong Kong cases top 55,000, but Lam rules out full lockdownWounded Chinese citizen in Ukraine ‘out of danger,’ ministry saysGDP target, budget deficit, housing controls: What to watch for at China’s ‘Two Sessions’

CX Daily: Hong Kong Cases Top 55,000, but Lam Rules Out Full Lockdown

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.</li>
<li>An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.</li>
<li>Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.
An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.
Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

China

Haidilao International Holding Ltd. operates Chinese cuisine restaurant brand focusing on hot pot cuisine. The Company provides hot pots, soup bases, dipping sauces, drinks, prepared food, and other products. Haidilao International Holding opens restaurants in Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Japan, and the United States.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)

China on the Ground: Escalating Measures to Combat Omicron and What Stocks Are Impacted?

Omicron combating measures have been stepped up over the weekend and this will make a dent on the Mar operations of many companies. This will be...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Green Tea Group IPO Preview

Growth prospects look decent with plans to open 75-100 new restaurants each year. However, We aren’t excited about the IPO as Green Tea's business...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

China Pivots from Zero-COVID Policy & End of China's Ban on Korean Culture?

On 3 March, the South Korean romance drama "Something in the Rain" was streamed on a Chinese online platform iQiyi. In addition, China appears to...

Douglas Kim

CX Daily: Hong Kong Cases Top 55,000, but Lam Rules Out Full Lockdown

Hong Kong cases top 55,000, but Lam rules out full lockdown. Wounded Chinese citizen in Ukraine ‘out of danger,’ ministry says

Caixin Global

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)