Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>IT trio got in as 1st/2nd screens didn’t fill 200; KRX used 3rd‑stage, pulling in the three names with biggest average daily mkt cap.</li>
<li>Old buffer rule recycled constituents, but since two years ago Step 3 applies to the whole universe—first shortfall let big IT names like Hyundai Autoever slide in.</li>
<li>Dec 12 rebalance: ~₩60tn passive flow expected; IT trio volumes high, but joining KOSPI 200 IT index could still trigger noticeable price impact near effective date.</li>
</ul>


IT trio got in as 1st/2nd screens didn’t fill 200; KRX used 3rd‑stage, pulling in the three names with biggest average daily mkt cap.
Old buffer rule recycled constituents, but since two years ago Step 3 applies to the whole universe—first shortfall let big IT names like Hyundai Autoever slide in.
Dec 12 rebalance: ~₩60tn passive flow expected; IT trio volumes high, but joining KOSPI 200 IT index could still trigger noticeable price impact near effective date.


KRX Just Dropped the KOSPI 200 Dec Rebalance: Bigger IT Sector Surprise

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Democratic Party lawmaker Kim Hyun-jung has introduced a revised Income Tax Act that would lower the top tax rate on dividend income from 35% to 25%.</li>
<li>Given that this proposal is coming from the ruling Democratic Party, there is a fairly high probability that this could be passed into law in 3Q 2025.</li>
<li>We provide a list of 28 mid-cap/large cap stocks in Korea with more than 35% dividend payout and 3% or more dividend yield that could benefit from this new proposal.</li>
</ul>


Democratic Party lawmaker Kim Hyun-jung has introduced a revised Income Tax Act that would lower the top tax rate on dividend income from 35% to 25%.
Given that this proposal is coming from the ruling Democratic Party, there is a fairly high probability that this could be passed into law in 3Q 2025.
We provide a list of 28 mid-cap/large cap stocks in Korea with more than 35% dividend payout and 3% or more dividend yield that could benefit from this new proposal.


Separate Dividend Tax Plan in Korea: A Push for a 25% Rate for Top Bracket

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>There may not be any intra-review changes following the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-heavy-industries-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33808:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Heavy Industries</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-mipo" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2755:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Mipo</a> merger due to timing and also due to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics</a>' spinoff being added to the index.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> over the last few months and in the short-term too.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be 7 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in December.
There may not be any intra-review changes following the Hyundai Heavy Industries/ Hyundai Mipo merger due to timing and also due to Samsung Biologics' spinoff being added to the index.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes and the KOSPI2 INDEX over the last few months and in the short-term too.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side for December

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).</li>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual review in December 2025.</li>
<li>We expect up to 5 ADDs and 6 DELs for the KOSPI 200 index during this index rebal event based on the latest available data.</li>
</ul>


KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual review in December 2025.
We expect up to 5 ADDs and 6 DELs for the KOSPI 200 index during this index rebal event based on the latest available data.


[Quiddity Index] KOSPI 200 Leaderboard for Dec25 Rebal: Final Predictions; 5 ADDs, 6 DELs, 1 IR Chg

<ul>
<li>KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX). It's popular.</li>
<li>87% of the reference period for the December 2025 rebal is complete. We see up to 6 ADDs and 6 DELs. Obvious ADD vs Downweight trades have not worked recently.</li>
<li>Of the "1.5 pairs" I liked last time which worked fundamentally, both are down hard. Trades here are rotated. </li>
</ul>


KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX). It's popular.
87% of the reference period for the December 2025 rebal is complete. We see up to 6 ADDs and 6 DELs. Obvious ADD vs Downweight trades have not worked recently.
Of the "1.5 pairs" I liked last time which worked fundamentally, both are down hard. Trades here are rotated. 


[Quiddity Index] Oct25 KOSPI 200 Leaderboard for Dec25 Rebal: Still 6+6, New 1.5 Pairs to Trade

South Korea

Hana Tour Service Inc. wholesales a variety of travel related services.  The Company provides outbound, inbound and domestic travel packages and cooperates with credit card companies and Internet shopping malls to market its services. Hana Tour Service also works as general sales agency (GSA) of overseas cruise and rail passes.

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Hana Tour Service (039130 KS)

KRX Just Dropped the KOSPI 200 Dec Rebalance: Bigger IT Sector Surprise

KRX’s Dec KOSPI 200 rebalance dropped today with a big surprise — unexpected IT names sliding in, reshaping flows and setting up notable price...

Sanghyun Park

Separate Dividend Tax Plan in Korea: A Push for a 25% Rate for Top Bracket

The final decision to lower top bracket dividend tax from 35% to 25% could be made in the next several days. There have been increasing local news...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side for December

If the merger offsets the spinoff, there could be 7 index changes in Dec. Passive impact on the stock varies between 0.7-21x ADV. Adds have...

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index] KOSPI 200 Leaderboard for Dec25 Rebal: Final Predictions; 5 ADDs, 6 DELs, 1 IR Chg

Our final predictions for the KOSPI Dec25 rebalance are within. There is a spinoff to come which will mean 5 ADDs 6 DELs and an intra-review change...

Travis Lundy

[Quiddity Index] Oct25 KOSPI 200 Leaderboard for Dec25 Rebal: Still 6+6, New 1.5 Pairs to Trade

The KOSPI Dec25 rebal is 87% of the way through its reference period. Things are solidifying. We still see 6 ADDs and 6 DELETEs. AI/chip/memory...

Travis Lundy

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