Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

We are beginning to see early signs of rotations back into more risk-on areas of the equity market -- a bullish sign for the broad market. Short-term outperformance and constructive consolidation/bottoming patterns are evident within biotech (IBB, XBI), small- and micro-caps (IWM, IWC), and emerging markets (EEM). This only adds to our positive outlook for the weeks and months ahead; continue to buy pullbacks.

We are beginning to see early signs of rotations back into more risk-on areas of the equity market -- a bullish sign for the broad market. Short-term outperformance and constructive consolidation/bottoming patterns are evident within biotech (IBB, XBI), small- and micro-caps (IWM, IWC), and emerging markets (EEM). This only adds to our positive outlook for the weeks and months ahead; continue to buy pullbacks.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Risk-On Rotations Vs. Weaker Seasonality; Russell 2000, Biotech, EM Improving

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The Best Ideas list is a compilation of stock ideas sourced from Morningstar’s global equity research team. With more than 100 analysts covering nearly 1,500 companies, we’re able to provide a wide variety of what we believe are attractively priced securities looking across sectors, industries, and geographies. Best Ideas are nominated by analysts and approved by managers in addition to the normal due diligence processes that precede our published research and ratings.The list may include a broad mix of quality and risk characteristics to meet varying investor needs, including no-, narrow-, and wide-moat companies as well as the full spectrum of uncertainty ratings from low to very high. Most or all of the highlighted stocks will be trading at a discount to our estimate of intrinsic value, indicating improved odds of capital appreciation.

The Best Ideas list is a compilation of stock ideas sourced from Morningstar’s global equity research team. With more than 100 analysts covering nearly 1,500 companies, we’re able to provide a wide variety of what we believe are attractively priced securities looking across sectors, industries, and geographies. Best Ideas are nominated by analysts and approved by managers in addition to the normal due diligence processes that precede our published research and ratings.The list may include a broad mix of quality and risk characteristics to meet varying investor needs, including no-, narrow-, and wide-moat companies as well as the full spectrum of uncertainty ratings from low to very high. Most or all of the highlighted stocks will be trading at a discount to our estimate of intrinsic value, indicating improved odds of capital appreciation.

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Relations between the US and China could (and likely will) deteriorate in the medium-term for any of the three following reasons: a) increased friction over US-China trade issues; b) more intemperate words or actions from the new US administration regarding Taiwan's political status; c) China more aggressively pursuing various territorial claims in the region (South China Sea, Senkaku Islands). One likely victim of rising tensions between the US and China is tourism between the two countries…

Relations between the US and China could (and likely will) deteriorate in the medium-term for any of the three following reasons: a) increased friction over US-China trade issues; b) more intemperate words or actions from the new US administration regarding Taiwan's political status; c) China more aggressively pursuing various territorial claims in the region (South China Sea, Senkaku Islands). One likely victim of rising tensions between the US and China is tourism between the two countries…

Rising US-China Tensions Will Hurt Tourism; Who Stands to Lose (And to Gain) The Most?

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

All Hail Caesar (Trump)! I still remember the time when Obama was elected President. Everyone was celebrating. Japan mentioned they had one city named Obama, and Indonesia was touting how he spent his childhood years there. Of course, Trump is anything but conventional, and neither was his inauguration. Jen here was watching the TV, and mentioned that there were protests in Mexico and Germany about his rise to power...hardly the way to welcome the world's most powerful man. At least, the people…

All Hail Caesar (Trump)! I still remember the time when Obama was elected President. Everyone was celebrating. Japan mentioned they had one city named Obama, and Indonesia was touting how he spent his childhood years there. Of course, Trump is anything but conventional, and neither was his inauguration. Jen here was watching the TV, and mentioned that there were protests in Mexico and Germany about his rise to power...hardly the way to welcome the world's most powerful man. At least, the people…

CHINA - Healthcare, Steel, Autos, Education, Research From Beijing

Scott Laprise/ 乐天虎

CHINA - Healthcare, Steel, Autos, Education

<ul>
<li>GM and Shanghai Auto fined Rmb201mn for fixing prices on certain car models.</li>
<li>The fine was set at 4% of the models in question, the law allows for a 1-10% penalty.</li>
<li>The fine is small at 1.3% of profits and levied by the Shanghai government.</li>
<li>Shanghai Auto (SAIC) is the JV partner for GM in China.</li>
<li>This probe began in 2014 though investigations began in 2011 upon receiving auto dealer complaints.</li>
<li>Price fixing is a practice common by foreign automakers in China.</li>
<li>
Audi and Chrysler were fined for price fixing…</li>
</ul>


GM and Shanghai Auto fined Rmb201mn for fixing prices on certain car models.
The fine was set at 4% of the models in question, the law allows for a 1-10% penalty.
The fine is small at 1.3% of profits and levied by the Shanghai government.
Shanghai Auto (SAIC) is the JV partner for GM in China.
This probe began in 2014 though investigations began in 2011 upon receiving auto dealer complaints.
Price fixing is a practice common by foreign automakers in China.

Audi and Chrysler were fined for price fixing…


United States

Hanesbrands, Inc. manufactures men's, women's, and children's clothing.  The Company produces underwear, T-shirts, socks, sweatshirts, sleepwear, and shoes.

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Hanesbrands Inc (HBI US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Risk-On Rotations Vs. Weaker Seasonality; Russell 2000, Biotech, EM Improving

We are seeing signs of rotations back into more risk-on areas of the equity market -- a bullish sign for the broad market. Add to biotech, small-...

Vermilion Research

Best Ideas List for January 2019

The Best Ideas list is a compilation of stock ideas sourced from Morningstar’s global equity research team. With more than 100 analysts covering...

Morningstar, Inc.

Rising US-China Tensions Will Hurt Tourism; Who Stands to Lose (And to Gain) The Most?

Relations between the US and China could (and likely will) deteriorate in the medium-term for any of the three following reasons: a) increased...

Daniel Hellberg

Geopolitics, Trump, & Thailand

All Hail Caesar (Trump)! I still remember the time when Obama was elected President. Everyone was celebrating. Japan mentioned they had one city...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

GM Fined for Price Fixing in China

GM and Shanghai Auto fined Rmb201mn for fixing prices on certain car models. The fine was set at 4% of the models in question, the law allows for...

Scott Laprise/ 乐天虎

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