Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Implied Volatility Trends: One-month implied volatility for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> has decreased but remains high at 48% (80th percentile), reflecting persistent market uncertainty.</li>
<li>
Skew and Term Structure Dynamics: The volatility term structure is slightly inverted, and a pronounced smile in the skew favors call and put spreads.</li>
<li>
Open Interest Distribution: Liquidity is concentrated in May, June, and December 2025 expiries, with a slight bias towards puts. Open interest peaking at out-of-the-money strikes for both calls and puts.</li>
</ul>



Implied Volatility Trends: One-month implied volatility for BYD (1211 HK) has decreased but remains high at 48% (80th percentile), reflecting persistent market uncertainty.

Skew and Term Structure Dynamics: The volatility term structure is slightly inverted, and a pronounced smile in the skew favors call and put spreads.

Open Interest Distribution: Liquidity is concentrated in May, June, and December 2025 expiries, with a slight bias towards puts. Open interest peaking at out-of-the-money strikes for both calls and puts.


BYD (1211 HK): Volatility Smile Signals Opportunity in Spreads

<ul>
<li>Over the past five trading days, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.</li>
<li>
Popular Strategies: Call/Put Spreads account for 70% of all strategies. With a bias towards bullish views, Bull Call Spreads outnumber Bear Put Spreads by 2:1.</li>
<li>
Lottery Trades: following observations of such strategies in other stocks, a lotter trade bets on a low probability event with a high payout. Trade size tends to be sizable.</li>
</ul>


Over the past five trading days, Tencent (700 HK) multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.

Popular Strategies: Call/Put Spreads account for 70% of all strategies. With a bias towards bullish views, Bull Call Spreads outnumber Bear Put Spreads by 2:1.

Lottery Trades: following observations of such strategies in other stocks, a lotter trade bets on a low probability event with a high payout. Trade size tends to be sizable.


Tencent (700 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

<ul>
<li>
Implied Volatility Trends: One-month implied volatility for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> has declined from recent peaks, aligning near its 3-year median, indicating a potential stabilization in market expectations.</li>
<li>
Skew and Term Structure Dynamics: The term structure is largely flat with a slight uplift due to the upcoming earnings on 14 May 2025. A pronounced volatility smile favors spreads.</li>
<li>
Open Interest Distribution: Liquidity is concentrated in near-term (April, May) and quarterly expiries, with call open interest slightly outweighing puts (48-60%).</li>
</ul>



Implied Volatility Trends: One-month implied volatility for Tencent (700 HK) has declined from recent peaks, aligning near its 3-year median, indicating a potential stabilization in market expectations.

Skew and Term Structure Dynamics: The term structure is largely flat with a slight uplift due to the upcoming earnings on 14 May 2025. A pronounced volatility smile favors spreads.

Open Interest Distribution: Liquidity is concentrated in near-term (April, May) and quarterly expiries, with call open interest slightly outweighing puts (48-60%).


Tencent (700 HK): Volatility Smile Signals Strategic Opportunities in Options Trading

<ul>
<li>Over the past five trading days, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.</li>
<li>Diagonal Spreads account for nearly 30% of all strategies. Many of these strategies sell short term risk to finance longer term protection.</li>
<li>Several structures hedge against low probability tail events. One such strategy traded 100 contracts.</li>
</ul>


Over the past five trading days, Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.
Diagonal Spreads account for nearly 30% of all strategies. Many of these strategies sell short term risk to finance longer term protection.
Several structures hedge against low probability tail events. One such strategy traded 100 contracts.


Alibaba (9988 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> one-month implied volatility has decreased from recent peaks but remains above the 70th percentile, while realized volatility exceeds 80% (96th percentile).</li>
<li>A relatively flat term structure and skew render Calendar and Diagonal Spreads interesting strategies.</li>
<li>Open interest extends to March 2026, with balanced call and put interest across all expiries.</li>
</ul>



Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) one-month implied volatility has decreased from recent peaks but remains above the 70th percentile, while realized volatility exceeds 80% (96th percentile).
A relatively flat term structure and skew render Calendar and Diagonal Spreads interesting strategies.
Open interest extends to March 2026, with balanced call and put interest across all expiries.


Alibaba (9988 HK): Volatility Surface Favoring Diagonal and Calendar Spreads

China

The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index comprised of H-Shares listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and included in the Hang Seng Mainland Composite Index. The base value of this index is 2000 as of Jan 3, 2000. This index replaced the old HSCE index on Oct. 3, 2001.

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)

BYD (1211 HK): Volatility Smile Signals Opportunity in Spreads

Implied volatility for BYD (1211 HK) remains high at 48%, skew favors call and put spreads, and open interest is concentrated in specific expiries...

Gaudenz Schneider

Tencent (700 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

Tencent's multi-leg option strategies show a bullish bias, with Call/Put Spreads dominating and Lottery Trades making an appearance.

Gaudenz Schneider

Tencent (700 HK): Volatility Smile Signals Strategic Opportunities in Options Trading

Implied volatility for Tencent stabilizes, term structure flat with upcoming earnings, call open interest slightly outweighs puts.

Gaudenz Schneider

Alibaba (9988 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

Alibaba's recent live option strategies feature Diagonal Spreads and protection against low probability tail events, with one strategy trading 100...

Gaudenz Schneider

Alibaba (9988 HK): Volatility Surface Favoring Diagonal and Calendar Spreads

Alibaba's volatility remains high, making Calendar and Diagonal Spreads attractive strategies. Open interest extends to 2026 with balanced call...

Gaudenz Schneider

BYD (1211 HK): Volatility Smile Signals Opportunity in Spreads

​Implied volatility for BYD (1211 HK) remains high at 48%, skew favors call and put spreads, and open interest is concentrated in specific expiries...

Gaudenz Schneider

Tencent (700 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

​Tencent's multi-leg option strategies show a bullish bias, with Call/Put Spreads dominating and Lottery Trades making an appearance.

Gaudenz Schneider

Tencent (700 HK): Volatility Smile Signals Strategic Opportunities in Options Trading

​Implied volatility for Tencent stabilizes, term structure flat with upcoming earnings, call open interest slightly outweighs puts.

Gaudenz Schneider

Alibaba (9988 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

​Alibaba's recent live option strategies feature Diagonal Spreads and protection against low probability tail events, with one strategy trading 100...

Gaudenz Schneider

Alibaba (9988 HK): Volatility Surface Favoring Diagonal and Calendar Spreads

​Alibaba's volatility remains high, making Calendar and Diagonal Spreads attractive strategies. Open interest extends to 2026 with balanced call...

Gaudenz Schneider

Implied volatility for BYD (1211 HK) remains high at 48%, skew favors call and put spreads, and open interest is concentrated in specific expiries...

Tencent's multi-leg option strategies show a bullish bias, with Call/Put Spreads dominating and Lottery Trades making an appearance.

Implied volatility for Tencent stabilizes, term structure flat with upcoming earnings, call open interest slightly outweighs puts.

Alibaba's recent live option strategies feature Diagonal Spreads and protection against low probability tail events, with one strategy trading 100...

Alibaba's volatility remains high, making Calendar and Diagonal Spreads attractive strategies. Open interest extends to 2026 with balanced call...