Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In its last update, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group</a> announced that the company was preparing for its primary listing in Hong Kong and the process was expected to complete by the end August.</li>
<li>The Board meets on 14 August to approve results for the three months ending June. Could there be an announcement on the dual primary listing too?</li>
<li>Mainland Chinese own between 3.5%-15.5% of companies that converted from Secondary to Dual-Primary in the last few years. Similar buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba</a> could take the stock higher from here. </li>
</ul>


In its last update, Alibaba Group announced that the company was preparing for its primary listing in Hong Kong and the process was expected to complete by the end August.
The Board meets on 14 August to approve results for the three months ending June. Could there be an announcement on the dual primary listing too?
Mainland Chinese own between 3.5%-15.5% of companies that converted from Secondary to Dual-Primary in the last few years. Similar buying in Alibaba could take the stock higher from here. 


Alibaba (9988 HK/BABA) Dual Primary Listing: Are We There Yet?

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In the short-term, meaningful policy reforms needed out of the Third Plenum</li>
<li>Chinese data continues to be lacklustre as expected while markets tread water</li>
<li>What can we expect from the Third Plenum to galvanise the next stage</li>
</ul>


In the short-term, meaningful policy reforms needed out of the Third Plenum
Chinese data continues to be lacklustre as expected while markets tread water
What can we expect from the Third Plenum to galvanise the next stage


The Hang Seng Index Is at a Critical Juncture

<ul>
<li>Minimum correction targets  have been hit for the Hang Seng Index</li>
<li>Some potential catalysts for the resumption of the bull market</li>
<li>We highlight some suggested sector allocations for the next phase </li>
</ul>


Minimum correction targets  have been hit for the Hang Seng Index
Some potential catalysts for the resumption of the bull market
We highlight some suggested sector allocations for the next phase 


<ul>
<li>There is a chance for a correction in the HK markets as latecomers to the party get nervous</li>
<li>All the signs are pointing to a continuation of this bull market as government support measures continue to roll out.</li>
<li>Don’t get bucked off that bull by a short-term correction!</li>
</ul>


There is a chance for a correction in the HK markets as latecomers to the party get nervous
All the signs are pointing to a continuation of this bull market as government support measures continue to roll out.
Don’t get bucked off that bull by a short-term correction!


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Except <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a>, many stocks in the China gas utilities sector are still underperforming the HSI and HSCEI YTD. Yet, industry fundamentals are improving. </li>
<li>More cities and counties will implement a gas price pass-through mechanism, with 90% of cities and counties to be completed by late 2024, benefiting sector profitability.  </li>
<li>Consensus forecasts are still conservative which places room for pick-up in share prices. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-gas-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20525:1" rel="noopener">CR Gas (1193 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-gas-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14315:1" rel="noopener">China Gas Holdings (384 HK)</a> are opportunities.</li>
</ul>


Except ENN Energy (2688 HK), many stocks in the China gas utilities sector are still underperforming the HSI and HSCEI YTD. Yet, industry fundamentals are improving. 
More cities and counties will implement a gas price pass-through mechanism, with 90% of cities and counties to be completed by late 2024, benefiting sector profitability.  
Consensus forecasts are still conservative which places room for pick-up in share prices. CR Gas (1193 HK) and China Gas Holdings (384 HK) are opportunities.


China

The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index comprised of H-Shares listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and included in the Hang Seng Mainland Composite Index. The base value of this index is 2000 as of Jan 3, 2000. This index replaced the old HSCE index on Oct. 3, 2001.

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)

Alibaba (9988 HK/BABA) Dual Primary Listing: Are We There Yet?

Alibaba will be in included in Southbound Stock Connect from the open of trading today. Volumes should be higher than usual as mainland investors...

Brian Freitas

The Hang Seng Index Is at a Critical Juncture

Third Plenum must deliver meaningful policy reforms to boost the Chinese consumer and market performance in the short-term.

Rikki Malik

Where Now for the Hong Kong Market?

Hang Seng Index has hit minimum correction targets, potential catalysts for bull market resumption and sector allocation suggestions discussed.

Rikki Malik

Don’t Let the Bull Throw You Off!

HK markets may see a correction due to nervous latecomers, but signs point to a continued bull market with government support measures in place...

Rikki Malik

China Gas Utilities: Dark Horses?

China's gas utilities sector's industry fundamentals are improving. Gas price pass-through mechanism to benefit profitability. Room for share...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Alibaba (9988 HK/BABA) Dual Primary Listing: Are We There Yet?

Alibaba will be in included in Southbound Stock Connect from the open of trading today. Volumes should be higher than usual as mainland investors...

Brian Freitas

The Hang Seng Index Is at a Critical Juncture

​Third Plenum must deliver meaningful policy reforms to boost the Chinese consumer and market performance in the short-term.

Rikki Malik

Where Now for the Hong Kong Market?

​Hang Seng Index has hit minimum correction targets, potential catalysts for bull market resumption and sector allocation suggestions discussed.

Rikki Malik

Don’t Let the Bull Throw You Off!

​HK markets may see a correction due to nervous latecomers, but signs point to a continued bull market with government support measures in place...

Rikki Malik

China Gas Utilities: Dark Horses?

​China's gas utilities sector's industry fundamentals are improving. Gas price pass-through mechanism to benefit profitability. Room for share...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Third Plenum must deliver meaningful policy reforms to boost the Chinese consumer and market performance in the short-term.

Hang Seng Index has hit minimum correction targets, potential catalysts for bull market resumption and sector allocation suggestions discussed.

HK markets may see a correction due to nervous latecomers, but signs point to a continued bull market with government support measures in place...

China's gas utilities sector's industry fundamentals are improving. Gas price pass-through mechanism to benefit profitability. Room for share...