Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

SenseTime Group  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (1475539D HK)</a>  is looking to raise about US$2bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>STG was the market leading computer vision software provider in China for various industries in FY2020. But we estimate that the company has been losing market share.</li>
<li>We think that it is the price to pay for STG’s blanket approach to growth; trying its hands in everything and anything.</li>
</ul>



SenseTime Group (1475539D HK)  is looking to raise about US$2bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
STG was the market leading computer vision software provider in China for various industries in FY2020. But we estimate that the company has been losing market share.
We think that it is the price to pay for STG’s blanket approach to growth; trying its hands in everything and anything.


SenseTime Group (商汤集团) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison & Industry - Paying the Price of Diversification

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

China A-Shares represent the 6th largest country holding among active EM investors, if taken as a separate allocation from their non A-Share peers.  Average holding weights of 4.74% puts them sandwiched between Russia and Brazil, and inline with the benchmark iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF weight.Industrials and Consumer Discretionary are the most widely held sectors, as well as being the largest allocations and biggest overweights in active EM portfolios.  Financials are the key underweight holding.The most widely held stocks are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a>, both held by 23% of the funds in our analysis.  There is a reasonable gap to the 2nd tier, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gree-electric-appliances-inc-of-zhuhai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7622:1" rel="noopener">Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">CATL (A) (300750 CH)</a> held by 14% of funds at much lower average weights.Over the last 6-months, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sungrow-power-supply-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4255:1" rel="noopener">Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH)</a> saw the largest increase in the percentage of EM Funds invested (+6.3%), followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">CATL (A) (300750 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/longi-green-energy-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12703:1" rel="noopener">LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH)</a>.

China A-Shares represent the 6th largest country holding among active EM investors, if taken as a separate allocation from their non A-Share peers.  Average holding weights of 4.74% puts them sandwiched between Russia and Brazil, and inline with the benchmark iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF weight.Industrials and Consumer Discretionary are the most widely held sectors, as well as being the largest allocations and biggest overweights in active EM portfolios.  Financials are the key underweight holding.The most widely held stocks are Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH) and Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH), both held by 23% of the funds in our analysis.  There is a reasonable gap to the 2nd tier, with Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH), Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH) and CATL (A) (300750 CH) held by 14% of funds at much lower average weights.Over the last 6-months, Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH) saw the largest increase in the percentage of EM Funds invested (+6.3%), followed by CATL (A) (300750 CH) and LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH).

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Allocations in China Technology stocks have soared since late last year, breaking out of their decade long range of between 1.4-2% and powering on to 2.55% today.Asia Ex-Japan investors have increased exposures to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/longi-green-energy-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12703:1" rel="noopener">LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glodon-company-limited-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10536:1" rel="noopener">Glodon Company Limited A (002410 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-solar-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:318:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK)</a> through the last 6-months.Such has been the scale and speed of the ownership rise suggests a seed change in how investors are viewing the China Information Technology sector.  Currently, China Technology is the 9th largest country/sector holding, behind the major China sectors and the big hitters from South Korea, Taiwan and India.  But, as investors grow in confidence both in buying in to the sector and increasing existing allocations, China Technology looks to have a good chance of making the leap to the big league. Taken from our Asia Ex-Japan fund research, covering 96 active strategies with combined AUM of $82bn.

Allocations in China Technology stocks have soared since late last year, breaking out of their decade long range of between 1.4-2% and powering on to 2.55% today.Asia Ex-Japan investors have increased exposures to Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH), Glodon Company Limited A (002410 CH) and Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK) through the last 6-months.Such has been the scale and speed of the ownership rise suggests a seed change in how investors are viewing the China Information Technology sector.  Currently, China Technology is the 9th largest country/sector holding, behind the major China sectors and the big hitters from South Korea, Taiwan and India.  But, as investors grow in confidence both in buying in to the sector and increasing existing allocations, China Technology looks to have a good chance of making the leap to the big league. Taken from our Asia Ex-Japan fund research, covering 96 active strategies with combined AUM of $82bn.

China Technology:  Sentiment Change Forces Allocation Shift

Last month saw China allocations hit record levels across Asia Ex-Japan, Emerging Market and Global active long-only funds.  The average China weight in Asia Ex-Japan funds stands at a record 50.96%, in active GEM funds a record 37.63% and in active Global funds an all-time high of 5.33%However, these increases have come at the expense of greater concentration.  Among Global managers, the top 10 largest China stock holdings now account for 62% of total China allocations, among GEM and Asia Ex-Japan funds just under 50% - an all-time high across all 3 investor groups. Dedicated China managers, however, are more diversified.  In this analysis, we look at the differences between dedicated China funds and their regional peers.  We find that Asia, GEM and Global managers are more concentrated in the Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services sectors, whereas dedicated China managers are more diversified across Technology, Industrials and Health Care stocks.  Regional funds are also underinvested in China A-Shares compared to dedicated China managers, who are running significant overweights vs the MSCI China benchmark.We identify the next generation of Chinese stocks outside of the big index names by following the lead of dedicated managers in the region.  We provide a list of 40 stocks, identified as 'Next Generation' stocks due to their widespread investment in dedicated China funds, but that are currently underowned by Asia Ex-Japan, GEM and Global investors.The list is headed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, one of the standout domestic holdings within the Health Care sector, followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12278:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12310:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)</a> .Analysis taken from our Global, GEM, Asia Ex-Japan and China fund universes.  Global:  386 Active Funds, combined AUM $750bn                                                                                        GEM:  242 Active Funds, combined AUM $370bn                                                                                          Asia Ex-Japan: 98 Active Funds, combined AUM $70bn                                                                              China:  119 Active Funds, combined AUM $50bn

Last month saw China allocations hit record levels across Asia Ex-Japan, Emerging Market and Global active long-only funds.  The average China weight in Asia Ex-Japan funds stands at a record 50.96%, in active GEM funds a record 37.63% and in active Global funds an all-time high of 5.33%However, these increases have come at the expense of greater concentration.  Among Global managers, the top 10 largest China stock holdings now account for 62% of total China allocations, among GEM and Asia Ex-Japan funds just under 50% - an all-time high across all 3 investor groups. Dedicated China managers, however, are more diversified.  In this analysis, we look at the differences between dedicated China funds and their regional peers.  We find that Asia, GEM and Global managers are more concentrated in the Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services sectors, whereas dedicated China managers are more diversified across Technology, Industrials and Health Care stocks.  Regional funds are also underinvested in China A-Shares compared to dedicated China managers, who are running significant overweights vs the MSCI China benchmark.We identify the next generation of Chinese stocks outside of the big index names by following the lead of dedicated managers in the region.  We provide a list of 40 stocks, identified as 'Next Generation' stocks due to their widespread investment in dedicated China funds, but that are currently underowned by Asia Ex-Japan, GEM and Global investors.The list is headed by Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), one of the standout domestic holdings within the Health Care sector, followed by China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH) and Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH) .Analysis taken from our Global, GEM, Asia Ex-Japan and China fund universes.  Global:  386 Active Funds, combined AUM $750bn                                                                                        GEM:  242 Active Funds, combined AUM $370bn                                                                                          Asia Ex-Japan: 98 Active Funds, combined AUM $70bn                                                                              China:  119 Active Funds, combined AUM $50bn

China's Next Generation:  Diversifying Away from Tencent and Alibaba.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

In 1998, before the US and China entered into Permanent Normal Trade Relations with China in 2000, the US Congress enacted a law requiring the Clinton Administration to publish a list of Chinese companies in the US which did business with the People's Liberation Army (Public Law 105-261, Section 1237), and a "Communist Chinese military company" was defined in that law as any company named in to Defense Intelligence Agency documents from 1990 and 1995 and "any other entity owned or controlled by the PLA and engaged in providing commercial services, manufacturing, or exporting."That law basically lay dormant until last year when the Pentagon launched a review of such companies following the Trump White House's labelling of China (and Russia) a "revisionist" power in its first National Security Strategy <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905-2.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">report</a> in 2017. The goal was to investigate and warn about supply-chain vulnerabilities. The Department of Defense published a list in June 2020 of 20 companies which were "Qualified Entities". It updated the list in late August 2020. The former Secretary of Defense was ousted several days ago and the new Secretary of Defense is now responsible for the list. There is, as of last night, an Executive Order by the White House blocking US 'persons' investment in any of the names mentioned - a list now 31 names long.More below on the impact.

In 1998, before the US and China entered into Permanent Normal Trade Relations with China in 2000, the US Congress enacted a law requiring the Clinton Administration to publish a list of Chinese companies in the US which did business with the People's Liberation Army (Public Law 105-261, Section 1237), and a "Communist Chinese military company" was defined in that law as any company named in to Defense Intelligence Agency documents from 1990 and 1995 and "any other entity owned or controlled by the PLA and engaged in providing commercial services, manufacturing, or exporting."That law basically lay dormant until last year when the Pentagon launched a review of such companies following the Trump White House's labelling of China (and Russia) a "revisionist" power in its first National Security Strategy report in 2017. The goal was to investigate and warn about supply-chain vulnerabilities. The Department of Defense published a list in June 2020 of 20 companies which were "Qualified Entities". It updated the list in late August 2020. The former Secretary of Defense was ousted several days ago and the new Secretary of Defense is now responsible for the list. There is, as of last night, an Executive Order by the White House blocking US 'persons' investment in any of the names mentioned - a list now 31 names long.More below on the impact.

Trump's Executive Order on Chinese Military Companies

China

Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd develops, manufactures and sells video surveillance products.  The Company manufactures video and audio compression card, network hard disk video recorders, video servers, cameras, network storage, and other digital products.

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Hangzhou Hikvision (002415 CH)

SenseTime Group (商汤集团) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison & Industry - Paying the Price of Diversification

SenseTime Group (1475539D HK) is looking to raise about US$2bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. We estimate that the company has been losing market...

Sumeet Singh

China A-Shares - EM Fund Ownership Guide

China A-Shares represent the 6th largest country holding among active EM investors. In this analysis, we analyse the current set up of A-Shares in...

Steven Holden

China Technology: Sentiment Change Forces Allocation Shift

Allocations in China Technology stocks have soared since late last year, breaking out of their decade long range of between 1.4-2% and powering on...

Steven Holden

China's Next Generation: Diversifying Away from Tencent and Alibaba.

China exposure is becoming more concentrated in a small number of large cap stocks. We identify the next generation of China stocks by analyzing...

Steven Holden

Trump's Executive Order on Chinese Military Companies

The White House announced an Executive Order prohibiting "US persons" from "providing capital" to a list of "China Military Cos" which has been...

Travis Lundy

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