Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Sep 18th. The aggregated short interest was USD18.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in SK Hynix, DB HiTek, SIMMTECH, JEL, Samsung Elec (PREF).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Sep 18th. The aggregated short interest was USD18.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in SK Hynix, DB HiTek, SIMMTECH, JEL, Samsung Elec (PREF).


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 18th): SK Hynix, DB HiTek, SIMMTECH, JEL, Samsung Elec (PREF)

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In the past several days, it has been reported that Hoban Group has raised its stake in Hanjin KAL Corp (180640 KS) to more than 20%.</li>
<li>Now, Hoban Group's stake in Hanjin Kal is less than 1%  than the controlling shareholding entities led by Walter Cho (Chairman of the Hanjin Group). </li>
<li>My base case valuation of Hanjin Kal suggests implied NAV per share of 104,060 won per share which is 21% lower than its current share price.</li>
</ul>


In the past several days, it has been reported that Hoban Group has raised its stake in Hanjin KAL Corp (180640 KS) to more than 20%.
Now, Hoban Group's stake in Hanjin Kal is less than 1%  than the controlling shareholding entities led by Walter Cho (Chairman of the Hanjin Group). 
My base case valuation of Hanjin Kal suggests implied NAV per share of 104,060 won per share which is 21% lower than its current share price.


Hoban Group Raises Stake in Hanjin Kal to More than 20%: Next Step (A Partnership with a Major PE?)

Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

Cross Asset Strategy

2020 saw Asia Pacific activist campaigns down 9.7% YoY. Considering the issues which played out over the year this is a better than expected result. What is key is that Asia remained resilient compared to Europe which saw a 16% YoY decline, in activism campaigns respectively. Sifting through the data highlights some interesting and share price impactful trends when looking at how Activism may play out in 2021.

2020 saw Asia Pacific activist campaigns down 9.7% YoY. Considering the issues which played out over the year this is a better than expected result. What is key is that Asia remained resilient compared to Europe which saw a 16% YoY decline, in activism campaigns respectively. Sifting through the data highlights some interesting and share price impactful trends when looking at how Activism may play out in 2021.

Notes from the Silk Road: Activism - 2020 Review Reveals Some Interesting Trends

Whilst Q4's list posted strong price performance it was a case that a rising tide floated most boats. As in the previous few quarters, we are on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics, but in particular during H1 2021. In Q1, the Altman Z score is at a market-cap-weighted 1.03 times, a significant decrease on the 1.52 in Q4. This deterioration needs to be monitored since earnings continue to be adjusted by analysts and their limited visibility of any bottoming. 25 stocks appear in our Q1 2021 screen, versus 15 in Q4 2020.

Whilst Q4's list posted strong price performance it was a case that a rising tide floated most boats. As in the previous few quarters, we are on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics, but in particular during H1 2021. In Q1, the Altman Z score is at a market-cap-weighted 1.03 times, a significant decrease on the 1.52 in Q4. This deterioration needs to be monitored since earnings continue to be adjusted by analysts and their limited visibility of any bottoming. 25 stocks appear in our Q1 2021 screen, versus 15 in Q4 2020.

Screening the Silk Road: Q1 2021 High Risk Names to Avoid

Q3 delivered marked underperformanceOur Q3-2020 Small-Mid Cap High-Risk list of stocks produced an average price increase of 0.3%. In comparison, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index posted an increase of 6.3% over the same period. 15 stocks appear in our Q4 2020 screen, versus 21 in Q3 2020. As we highlighted in the previous three quarters, we are specifically on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics during 2020. This screen presents names which are worthy of investigation as they present with fundamentals which are at risk.

Q3 delivered marked underperformanceOur Q3-2020 Small-Mid Cap High-Risk list of stocks produced an average price increase of 0.3%. In comparison, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index posted an increase of 6.3% over the same period. 15 stocks appear in our Q4 2020 screen, versus 21 in Q3 2020. As we highlighted in the previous three quarters, we are specifically on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics during 2020. This screen presents names which are worthy of investigation as they present with fundamentals which are at risk.

Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2020 High Risk Names to Avoid

South Korea

Hanjin Transportation Co., Ltd. provides integrated transportation and logistics services.  The Company operates truck transportation, stevedoring, coastal shipping, passenger buses, and international freight services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hanjin Transportation Co (002320 KS)

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 18th): SK Hynix, DB HiTek, SIMMTECH, JEL, Samsung Elec (PREF)

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in SK Hynix, DB HiTek, SIMMTECH, JEL, Samsung Elec...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hoban Group Raises Stake in Hanjin Kal to More than 20%: Next Step (A Partnership with a Major PE?)

Hoban Group increases stake in Hanjin KAL Corp, but still falls short of controlling shareholding entities led by Walter Cho. Valuation suggests...

Douglas Kim

Notes from the Silk Road: Activism - 2020 Review Reveals Some Interesting Trends

2020 activism numbers are in with some interesting underlying trends reflecting possibilities of how campaigns in 2021 & 2022 may evolve notably...

David Lepper

Screening the Silk Road: Q1 2021 High Risk Names to Avoid

As in the previous few quarters, we are on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics, but in particular during H1 2021. 25 stocks...

David Lepper

Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2020 High Risk Names to Avoid

Our Q3 screen delivered 600bps of under performance. With volatility is set to increase as we head into H1 2020, which stocks are most at risk in...

David Lepper

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 18th): SK Hynix, DB HiTek, SIMMTECH, JEL, Samsung Elec (PREF)

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in SK Hynix, DB HiTek, SIMMTECH, JEL, Samsung Elec...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hoban Group Raises Stake in Hanjin Kal to More than 20%: Next Step (A Partnership with a Major PE?)

​Hoban Group increases stake in Hanjin KAL Corp, but still falls short of controlling shareholding entities led by Walter Cho. Valuation suggests...

Douglas Kim

Notes from the Silk Road: Activism - 2020 Review Reveals Some Interesting Trends

2020 activism numbers are in with some interesting underlying trends reflecting possibilities of how campaigns in 2021 & 2022 may evolve notably...

David Lepper

Screening the Silk Road: Q1 2021 High Risk Names to Avoid

As in the previous few quarters, we are on the watch for the risk of deteriorating credit metrics, but in particular during H1 2021. 25 stocks...

David Lepper

Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2020 High Risk Names to Avoid

Our Q3 screen delivered 600bps of under performance. With volatility is set to increase as we head into H1 2020, which stocks are most at risk in...

David Lepper

Hoban Group increases stake in Hanjin KAL Corp, but still falls short of controlling shareholding entities led by Walter Cho. Valuation suggests...