Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>FSC Chairman Kim Joo-hyun mentioned that too many companies in Korea are trading below book value and the FSC plans to implement changes to improve upon this issue. </li>
<li>According to Korea Exchange, 1,111 companies out of total listed in KOSPI and KOSDAQ in Korea (2,538) are trading at below 1x book value (PBR) (liquidation value). </li>
<li>According to the Capital Group, about 39% of companies in the TOPIX trade below book value, compared to just 5% for companies in the S&amp;P 500 Index. </li>
</ul>


FSC Chairman Kim Joo-hyun mentioned that too many companies in Korea are trading below book value and the FSC plans to implement changes to improve upon this issue. 
According to Korea Exchange, 1,111 companies out of total listed in KOSPI and KOSDAQ in Korea (2,538) are trading at below 1x book value (PBR) (liquidation value). 
According to the Capital Group, about 39% of companies in the TOPIX trade below book value, compared to just 5% for companies in the S&amp;P 500 Index. 


44% of Korean Stocks Are Trading Below Book Value - FSC Wants to Improve This (Following Japan)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Stay long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One (2412 JP)</a>. Dai-Ichi Life can pay more, if pushed on pricing. May not be huge, but it could be a few percent or even 10%. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-company-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19369:1" rel="noopener">Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS)</a>'s family feud goes public. The public tender looks set to fail. Coal in stockings all-round.</li>
<li>If you had any <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a> left over from the rally up to ¥1,300+, get out. There may be a better opportunity later, but not here.</li>
</ul>


Stay long Benefit One (2412 JP). Dai-Ichi Life can pay more, if pushed on pricing. May not be huge, but it could be a few percent or even 10%. 

Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS)'s family feud goes public. The public tender looks set to fail. Coal in stockings all-round.
If you had any Toyo Construction (1890 JP) left over from the rally up to ¥1,300+, get out. There may be a better opportunity later, but not here.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Benefit One, Hankook, Toyo Construction, Hanwha, Tsuruha, Livent/Allkem

<ul>
<li>The Cho brothers are currently sparring over control of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-company-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19369:1" rel="noopener">Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS)</a>, and in turn, its 30.7% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-tire-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20031:1" rel="noopener">Hankook Tire (161390 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>After the honorary chairman of Hankook backed the younger son (&amp; chairman of Hankook), PE-outfit MBK, aligned with the elder son, bumped its public tender Offer by 20% to ₩24,000/share.</li>
<li>Hankook is currently trading 27.3% adrift of the revised terms. That pretty much sums up the situation. The public tender closes on December 25. However, December 23-25 are holidays.</li>
</ul>


The Cho brothers are currently sparring over control of Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS), and in turn, its 30.7% stake in Hankook Tire (161390 KS).
After the honorary chairman of Hankook backed the younger son (&amp; chairman of Hankook), PE-outfit MBK, aligned with the elder son, bumped its public tender Offer by 20% to ₩24,000/share.
Hankook is currently trading 27.3% adrift of the revised terms. That pretty much sums up the situation. The public tender closes on December 25. However, December 23-25 are holidays.


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Critical now is estimating MBK's achievable volume in the tender offer, a key indicator for assessing cancellation risk. Evidence suggests few allies for Cho Hyun-beom, prompting MBK's strategic persistence.</li>
<li>MBK can secure 23.58%, but NPS's involvement is pivotal. If neutral, MBK aims for 19.55%, below the minimum. MBK proceeds with a revised offering price, anticipating NPS participation.</li>
<li>Though the FSS investigation may favor MBK, a successful tender offer depends on achieving 87% participation. The higher-than-expected likelihood of success hints at a strong upward stock adjustment from Monday.</li>
</ul>


Critical now is estimating MBK's achievable volume in the tender offer, a key indicator for assessing cancellation risk. Evidence suggests few allies for Cho Hyun-beom, prompting MBK's strategic persistence.
MBK can secure 23.58%, but NPS's involvement is pivotal. If neutral, MBK aims for 19.55%, below the minimum. MBK proceeds with a revised offering price, anticipating NPS participation.
Though the FSS investigation may favor MBK, a successful tender offer depends on achieving 87% participation. The higher-than-expected likelihood of success hints at a strong upward stock adjustment from Monday.


Hankook & Co Tender: Clues to Gauge Cancellation Risk Obtained Through Local Channels So Far

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>MBK Partners has increased its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-company-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19369:1" rel="noopener">Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS)</a> partial tender offer to KRW24,000 per share, 20.0% and 51.4% above its previous offer and the last close, respectively.</li>
<li>While the offer is attractive, we estimate that the minimum acceptance condition of 19.3 million shares (20.35% of outstanding shares) requires an 84.3% minority acceptance rate. </li>
<li>The minority acceptance rate is challenging unless MBK can secure a ruling preventing share purchases from Cho Yang-rai, who disclosed a 2.72% stake on 14 December and opposes the tender. </li>
</ul>


MBK Partners has increased its Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS) partial tender offer to KRW24,000 per share, 20.0% and 51.4% above its previous offer and the last close, respectively.
While the offer is attractive, we estimate that the minimum acceptance condition of 19.3 million shares (20.35% of outstanding shares) requires an 84.3% minority acceptance rate. 
The minority acceptance rate is challenging unless MBK can secure a ruling preventing share purchases from Cho Yang-rai, who disclosed a 2.72% stake on 14 December and opposes the tender. 


Hankook & Company (000240 KS): MBK Raises Partial Offer to KRW24,000

South Korea

Hankook & Company Co., Ltd. operates as a holding company. The Company operates batteries manufacturing, leasing, management consulting, tires production, and other businesses. Hankook provides services worldwide.

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Hankook & Company (000240 KS)

44% of Korean Stocks Are Trading Below Book Value - FSC Wants to Improve This (Following Japan)

A 44% of Korean stocks are trading below book value. FSC wants to improve this, following Japan's "name and shame" policy.

Douglas Kim

Last Week in Event SPACE: Benefit One, Hankook, Toyo Construction, Hanwha, Tsuruha, Livent/Allkem

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Hankook's Bothersome Brothers

This partial tender Offer looks dead in the water. Chances are Hankook further declines whether Chairman Cho, inter alia, continue purchasing...

David Blennerhassett

Hankook & Co Tender: Clues to Gauge Cancellation Risk Obtained Through Local Channels So Far

This post discloses what has been obtained so far through various local channels regarding the cancellation risk of the tender offer involving...

Sanghyun Park

Hankook & Company (000240 KS): MBK Raises Partial Offer to KRW24,000

While the offer is attractive, the minimum acceptance condition requires an 84% minority acceptance rate - a challenge, particularly if Cho Yang...

Arun George

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