Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are increasing evidence that suggests that the M&amp;A fight Korea Zinc (010130 KS) between the Jang and Choi families is becoming more heightened.</li>
<li>The family of the owners of Hankook Tire and Chosun Refractories have a close relationship with Korea Zinc Vice Chairman Choi and they have become friendly shareholders to Choi.</li>
<li>Our NAV valuation of Young Poong (000670 KS) suggests NAV of 2.2 trillion won or NAV per share of 1,210,644, which represents a 61% upside from current levels.</li>
</ul>


There are increasing evidence that suggests that the M&amp;A fight Korea Zinc (010130 KS) between the Jang and Choi families is becoming more heightened.
The family of the owners of Hankook Tire and Chosun Refractories have a close relationship with Korea Zinc Vice Chairman Choi and they have become friendly shareholders to Choi.
Our NAV valuation of Young Poong (000670 KS) suggests NAV of 2.2 trillion won or NAV per share of 1,210,644, which represents a 61% upside from current levels.


Hankook Tire & Chosun Refractories Enter M&A Fight for Korea Zinc: [Young Poong's Cheap NAV]

<ul>
<li>On 23 November, Korea Zinc announced that it will swap its treasury shares with LG Chem and Hanwha Corp and sell part of its treasury shares to other investors.</li>
<li>Korea Zinc could gain additional dividend payments by exchanging part of its treasury shares with shares of LG Chem and Hanwha Corp. </li>
<li>Potential separation of Young Poong and Korea Zinc between the Choi and Jang families is likely to be an on-going process, although it is difficult to tell the exact timing. </li>
</ul>


On 23 November, Korea Zinc announced that it will swap its treasury shares with LG Chem and Hanwha Corp and sell part of its treasury shares to other investors.
Korea Zinc could gain additional dividend payments by exchanging part of its treasury shares with shares of LG Chem and Hanwha Corp. 
Potential separation of Young Poong and Korea Zinc between the Choi and Jang families is likely to be an on-going process, although it is difficult to tell the exact timing. 


Korea Zinc: Treasury Shares Swap with LG Chem & Hanwha Corp + Treasury Share Sale

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergence of the major Korean holdcos and opcos amid market carnage.</li>
<li>In general, more holdcos/quasi-holdcos have been outperforming the opcos in the past year, as compared to the previous years as more investors seek value-oriented, deep NAV discount stocks.</li>
<li>We highlight 26 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergence of the major Korean holdcos and opcos amid market carnage.
In general, more holdcos/quasi-holdcos have been outperforming the opcos in the past year, as compared to the previous years as more investors seek value-oriented, deep NAV discount stocks.
We highlight 26 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities Amid Market Carnage

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The acquisition will be carried out through a third-party allocation rights offering. DSME will issue 104M new shares, solely allocated to Hanwha's six affiliates, which will own a combined 49.3%</li>
<li>This DSME acquisition will likely raise Hanwha's holding ratio, potentially to more than 50%. What preemptive measures Hanwha will take will likely become a noteworthy subject from an investment perspective.</li>
<li>Hanwha Aerospace and Hanwha Systems will likely proceed with a capital increase. As their current cash capacity is quite limited, liquidity concerns will likely be raised in the market.</li>
</ul>


The acquisition will be carried out through a third-party allocation rights offering. DSME will issue 104M new shares, solely allocated to Hanwha's six affiliates, which will own a combined 49.3%
This DSME acquisition will likely raise Hanwha's holding ratio, potentially to more than 50%. What preemptive measures Hanwha will take will likely become a noteworthy subject from an investment perspective.
Hanwha Aerospace and Hanwha Systems will likely proceed with a capital increase. As their current cash capacity is quite limited, liquidity concerns will likely be raised in the market.


A Detailed Summary of Hanwha's DSME Acquisition Deal

<ul>
<li>There is no unlocking of treasury shares, so a flow betting on dramatic value accretion will not occur. For tendering, the proration risk appears to be relatively high.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will sell at the close on February 24 and repurchase (likely only for Solutions) at the close on March 31. The flow size would be around 5.5x ADTV.</li>
<li>ECO risk wouldn't be a concern as the new rule will grant appraisal/preemptive rights to the existing shareholders. Also, Hanwha hinted at the possibility of choosing private placement over ECO.</li>
</ul>


There is no unlocking of treasury shares, so a flow betting on dramatic value accretion will not occur. For tendering, the proration risk appears to be relatively high.
Passive trackers will sell at the close on February 24 and repurchase (likely only for Solutions) at the close on March 31. The flow size would be around 5.5x ADTV.
ECO risk wouldn't be a concern as the new rule will grant appraisal/preemptive rights to the existing shareholders. Also, Hanwha hinted at the possibility of choosing private placement over ECO.


A Detailed Summary of Hanwha Solutions Demerger & Tender Offer

South Korea

Hanwha Corporation imports and exports petrochemicals, machinery, automotives, electronics, and steel.  The Company also produces explosives for the defense and construction industries.  In addition, Hanwha manufactures automotive airbag inflators and telecommunication equipment, such as wireless phones and provides financial services through its subsidiaries.

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Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS)

Hankook Tire & Chosun Refractories Enter M&A Fight for Korea Zinc: [Young Poong's Cheap NAV]

There are increasing evidence that suggests that the M&A fight Korea Zinc (010130 KS) between the Jang and Choi families is becoming more heightened.

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities Amid Market Carnage

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergence of the major Korean holdcos and opcos amid market carnage. We highlight 26 pair trades...

Douglas Kim

A Detailed Summary of Hanwha's DSME Acquisition Deal

This post details the terms, shareholdings, and schedule of Hanwha's DSME acquisition deal and touches on the thinking points from a trading...

Sanghyun Park

A Detailed Summary of Hanwha Solutions Demerger & Tender Offer

This post details the demerger and tender offer of Hanwha Solutions, filed last Friday. And it discusses trading angles resulting from this event.

Sanghyun Park

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hankook Tire & Chosun Refractories Enter M&A Fight for Korea Zinc: [Young Poong's Cheap NAV]

There are increasing evidence that suggests that the M&A fight Korea Zinc (010130 KS) between the Jang and Choi families is becoming more heightened.

Douglas Kim

Korea Zinc: Treasury Shares Swap with LG Chem & Hanwha Corp + Treasury Share Sale

On 23 November, Korea Zinc announced that it will swap its treasury shares with LG Chem and Hanwha Corp and sell part of its treasury shares to...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities Amid Market Carnage

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergence of the major Korean holdcos and opcos amid market carnage. We highlight 26 pair trades...

Douglas Kim

A Detailed Summary of Hanwha's DSME Acquisition Deal

This post details the terms, shareholdings, and schedule of Hanwha's DSME acquisition deal and touches on the thinking points from a trading...

Sanghyun Park

A Detailed Summary of Hanwha Solutions Demerger & Tender Offer

This post details the demerger and tender offer of Hanwha Solutions, filed last Friday. And it discusses trading angles resulting from this event.

Sanghyun Park