Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Last week we noted that the bullish reversals had begun, with the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), STOXX Europe 50, and SPX the first few to reverse topside their 4-month downtrends.</li>
<li>As we discuss below, bullish reversals are proliferating globally, something that continues to support our belief that global equities are bottoming.</li>
<li>Global growth Sectors continue to gain momentum and have emerged as leadership -- overweight growth. Sectors covered today include Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Industrials -- add exposure</li>
</ul>


Last week we noted that the bullish reversals had begun, with the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), STOXX Europe 50, and SPX the first few to reverse topside their 4-month downtrends.
As we discuss below, bullish reversals are proliferating globally, something that continues to support our belief that global equities are bottoming.
Global growth Sectors continue to gain momentum and have emerged as leadership -- overweight growth. Sectors covered today include Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Industrials -- add exposure


Bullish Reversals Proliferate; Stick With Growth; Buy Ideas in Tech, Discretionary, & Industrials

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hanwha Group announced another large-scale reorganization directly involving Hanwha Corp, Hanwha Aerospace, and Hanwha Impact. Several deal contracts arise, two of which require shareholder approval. However, none grants appraisal rights.</li>
<li>The market responded quite positively to this. Direct parties to the reorganization were Hanwha Corp and Hanwha Aerospace, up 7.83% and 19.93%, respectively, on Friday.</li>
<li>This event has little room for event trading for its size. We have no choice but to approach this event with outright momentum trading, which inevitably increases the risk-reward ratio.</li>
</ul>


Hanwha Group announced another large-scale reorganization directly involving Hanwha Corp, Hanwha Aerospace, and Hanwha Impact. Several deal contracts arise, two of which require shareholder approval. However, none grants appraisal rights.
The market responded quite positively to this. Direct parties to the reorganization were Hanwha Corp and Hanwha Aerospace, up 7.83% and 19.93%, respectively, on Friday.
This event has little room for event trading for its size. We have no choice but to approach this event with outright momentum trading, which inevitably increases the risk-reward ratio.


Compact Summary of Hanwha Group Reorganization

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a> gains 10.3% following the completion of TauRx's Alzheimer's drug trial. That's an RM1.9bn lift in its market cap, or US$0.43bn.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Genting, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-solutions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8656:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Solutions (009830 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semirara-mining-and-power-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18925:1" rel="noopener">Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM)</a> are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Genting Bhd (GENT MK) gains 10.3% following the completion of TauRx's Alzheimer's drug trial. That's an RM1.9bn lift in its market cap, or US$0.43bn.
Preceding my comments on Genting, Hanwha Solutions (009830 KS), and Semirara Mining And Power Corp (SCC PM) are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Genting's TauRx Boost. Also Hanhwa Solutions, Semirara Mining

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Henry Kissinger's statement that Ukraine must give Russia some territory could be a crucial inflection point in the global markets.</li>
<li>Most of the market rebound in KOSPI in the past 100 days have occurred in the past one week.</li>
<li>The rally in global equity markets in the past week seems to suggest some higher probability that the war in Ukraine could be ended in the next several months. </li>
</ul>


Henry Kissinger's statement that Ukraine must give Russia some territory could be a crucial inflection point in the global markets.
Most of the market rebound in KOSPI in the past 100 days have occurred in the past one week.
The rally in global equity markets in the past week seems to suggest some higher probability that the war in Ukraine could be ended in the next several months. 


Kissinger's Warning that Ukraine Must Give Russia Territory - A Key Inflection Point for KOSPI?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Chubu Electric Power Co / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 12 additions to the S&amp;P Global Clean Energy Index for Asia. The changes were announced on 8 April and will be implemented at the close on 22 April.</li>
<li>Largest inflows are on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chubu-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14574:1" rel="noopener">Chubu Electric Power</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-yangtze-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3210:1" rel="noopener">China Yangtze Power</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-green-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29012:1" rel="noopener">Adani Green Energy</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energy-absolute-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10377:1" rel="noopener">Energy Absolute</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/longi-green-energy-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12703:1" rel="noopener">LONGi Green Energy Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ja-solar-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16597:1" rel="noopener">JA Solar Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianjin-zhonghuan-semiconductor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6791:1" rel="noopener">Tianjin Zhonghuan Semiconductor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sungrow-power-supply-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4255:1" rel="noopener">Sungrow Power Supply</a>.</li>
<li>The largest outflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meridian-ener-partly-paid-sh" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4327:1" rel="noopener">Meridian Energy (MEL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contact-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13136:1" rel="noopener">Contact Energy (CEN NZ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27808:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Energy Holdings Ltd (3868 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There are 12 additions to the S&amp;P Global Clean Energy Index for Asia. The changes were announced on 8 April and will be implemented at the close on 22 April.
Largest inflows are on Chubu Electric Power, China Yangtze Power, Adani Green Energy, Energy Absolute, LONGi Green Energy Technology, JA Solar Technology, Tianjin Zhonghuan Semiconductor and Sungrow Power Supply.
The largest outflows are expected on Meridian Energy (MEL NZ), Contact Energy (CEN NZ) and Xinyi Energy Holdings Ltd (3868 HK). 


S&P Global Clean Energy Index: Changes for Asia & Impact

South Korea

Hanwha Solution Corporation is a chemical manufacturer.  The Company's products include a line of chlorine alkali chemicals, such as caustic soda, chlorine, and hydrochloric acid.  Hanwha also produces resins including low density polyethylene (LDPE) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC).

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Hanwha Solutions (009830 KS)

Bullish Reversals Proliferate; Stick With Growth; Buy Ideas in Tech, Discretionary, & Industrials

Bullish reversals begun last week in $ACWI, $SPX, and $STOXX Europe 50, with each reversing topside their 4-month downtrends. Now, bullish...

Vermilion Research

Compact Summary of Hanwha Group Reorganization

This post compactly summarizes the large-scale reorganization of Hanwha Group, directly involving Hanwha Corp, Hanwha Aerospace, and Hanwha Impact.

Sanghyun Park

StubWorld: Genting's TauRx Boost. Also Hanhwa Solutions, Semirara Mining

Genting Bhd (GENT MK) gains ~10% following the completion of TauRx's Alzheimer's drug trial. That's an RM1.9bn lift in its market cap, or US$0.43bn.

David Blennerhassett

Kissinger's Warning that Ukraine Must Give Russia Territory - A Key Inflection Point for KOSPI?

Henry Kissinger's statement that Ukraine must give Russia some territory could be a crucial inflection point in the global markets. Global equity...

Douglas Kim

S&P Global Clean Energy Index: Changes for Asia & Impact

There are 12 adds for Asia as a part of the S&P Global Clean Energy Index rebal, plus other changes. There have not been any big price moves since...

Brian Freitas

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