Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>In just three weeks, on June 3rd, South Korea will hold an early presidential election.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> on Tuesday closed at 347.17,  <strong>entering deeply overbought territory based on our time and price quantitative models</strong>. </li>
<li>Whether the index rallies into the election and then declines, or starts selling off ahead of the vote,<strong> our tactical stance is unchanged: we recommend short exposure or appropriate hedging.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


In just three weeks, on June 3rd, South Korea will hold an early presidential election.
The KOSPI 200 INDEX on Tuesday closed at 347.17,  entering deeply overbought territory based on our time and price quantitative models. 
Whether the index rallies into the election and then declines, or starts selling off ahead of the vote, our tactical stance is unchanged: we recommend short exposure or appropriate hedging.



KOSPI 200 Tactical Outlook: Waiting for the June Elections

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of May 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD497.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD580mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Daewoo Shipbuilding, Kakao, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of May 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD497.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD580mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Daewoo Shipbuilding, Kakao, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 2nd): Daewoo Shipbuilding, Kakao, Samsung Electronics

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The main issue with IFRS 18 is that it counts non-regular items like asset sales or FX gains as operating profit, potentially misleading investors about a company’s actual business performance.</li>
<li>As the Korean market might re-rate, companies with solid English IR materials could attract more global attention, creating trading opportunities, while others might face a significant flow gap.</li>
<li>As Blue Orca’s Soren Aandahl noted, small- and mid-cap stocks, especially those with English IR updates, could drive trading flows as the 2027 IFRS 18 rollout approaches.</li>
</ul>


The main issue with IFRS 18 is that it counts non-regular items like asset sales or FX gains as operating profit, potentially misleading investors about a company’s actual business performance.
As the Korean market might re-rate, companies with solid English IR materials could attract more global attention, creating trading opportunities, while others might face a significant flow gap.
As Blue Orca’s Soren Aandahl noted, small- and mid-cap stocks, especially those with English IR updates, could drive trading flows as the 2027 IFRS 18 rollout approaches.


New Trading Angle for Korean Market Re-Rating: Flow Gap from English IR Materials

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Korea Development Bank (KDB) plans to raise around US$740m via selling around 5%+ stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>HO’s shares have nearly tripled since the start of the year, and the company reported its results today.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>


Korea Development Bank (KDB) plans to raise around US$740m via selling around 5%+ stake in Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS).
HO’s shares have nearly tripled since the start of the year, and the company reported its results today.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.


Hanwha Ocean Placement - Recent Run-Up, Results Make It Tricky

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 1Q 2025.</li>
<li>The recent martial law cancellation and numerous impeachments of acting Presidents have raised political uncertainty in Korea resulting in widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 25 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 13 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 1Q 2025.
The recent martial law cancellation and numerous impeachments of acting Presidents have raised political uncertainty in Korea resulting in widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea.
Of the 38 pair trades, 25 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 13 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 1Q 2025

South Korea

Hanwha Solution Corporation is a chemical manufacturer.  The Company's products include a line of chlorine alkali chemicals, such as caustic soda, chlorine, and hydrochloric acid.  Hanwha also produces resins including low density polyethylene (LDPE) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC).

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Hanwha Solutions (009830 KS)

KOSPI 200 Tactical Outlook: Waiting for the June Elections

The KOSPI 200 INDEX is in overbought territory ahead of SK's early presidential election on June 3rd, this insight discusses tactical...

Nico Rosti

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 2nd): Daewoo Shipbuilding, Kakao, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Daewoo Shipbuilding, Kakao, Samsung Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

New Trading Angle for Korean Market Re-Rating: Flow Gap from English IR Materials

This post discusses a new trading angle for the Korean stock market re-rating: the flow gap created by providing English IR materials.

Sanghyun Park

Hanwha Ocean Placement - Recent Run-Up, Results Make It Tricky

Korea Development Bank (KDB) plans to raise around US$740m via selling around 5%+ stake in Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS). In this note, we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 1Q 2025

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

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