Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Lumir is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in September. The IPO which is expected to raise between 49.5 billion won to 61.5 billion won.</li>
<li>Lumir specializes in the development of observation satellite technology including image data processing devices and onboard computers for a number of government satellite series.</li>
<li>Lumir had sales of 12.1 billion won (up 90.5% YoY) in 2023. Its sales surged by 477% YoY to reach 8.2 billion won in 1H24.</li>
</ul>


Lumir is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in September. The IPO which is expected to raise between 49.5 billion won to 61.5 billion won.
Lumir specializes in the development of observation satellite technology including image data processing devices and onboard computers for a number of government satellite series.
Lumir had sales of 12.1 billion won (up 90.5% YoY) in 2023. Its sales surged by 477% YoY to reach 8.2 billion won in 1H24.


Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The September KOSPI Size Index rebalancing could bring back the typical price impacts seen over the past decade, unlike the March rebalancing.</li>
<li>The previous rebalancing had anomalies due to newly listed stocks in LARGE and a stronger downward trend in LARGE-to-MID transitions, disrupting the expected price impact.</li>
<li>For September's rebalancing, fewer distortions are expected compared to March. The NPS Mid to Small Cap fund, a key influence, shows no significant changes in benchmark or AUM.</li>
</ul>


The September KOSPI Size Index rebalancing could bring back the typical price impacts seen over the past decade, unlike the March rebalancing.
The previous rebalancing had anomalies due to newly listed stocks in LARGE and a stronger downward trend in LARGE-to-MID transitions, disrupting the expected price impact.
For September's rebalancing, fewer distortions are expected compared to March. The NPS Mid to Small Cap fund, a key influence, shows no significant changes in benchmark or AUM.


Examining the September Reshuffle of the KOSPI Size Index Series

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD547.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,687mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Hyundai Glovis, Woori Financial, Korea Aerospace, Samsung Biologic, Sk Hynix.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 2nd which has an aggregated holding worth USD547.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,687mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Hyundai Glovis, Woori Financial, Korea Aerospace, Samsung Biologic, Sk Hynix.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 2nd): Hyundai Glovis, Woori Financial, Korea Aerospace

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.
We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.


KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

<ul>
<li>Innospace is getting ready to complete its IPO in June 2024. According to bankers' valuation, the implied market cap of Innospace is from 347 billion won to 434 billion won.</li>
<li>Innospace engages in the satellite launch vehicle production and launch service business.</li>
<li>The company estimates its sales to increase from 0.2 billion won in 2023 to 2.0 billion won in 2024, 47.8 billion won in 2025, and 97.2 billion won in 2026.</li>
</ul>


Innospace is getting ready to complete its IPO in June 2024. According to bankers' valuation, the implied market cap of Innospace is from 347 billion won to 434 billion won.
Innospace engages in the satellite launch vehicle production and launch service business.
The company estimates its sales to increase from 0.2 billion won in 2023 to 2.0 billion won in 2024, 47.8 billion won in 2025, and 97.2 billion won in 2026.


South Korea

Hanwha Systems Co., Ltd. designs, develops, and distributes high-tech systems for the defense industry. The Company manufactures tactical communication systems, radar systems, naval combat systems, electro-optics, and fire control systems. Hanwha Systems markets its products throughout South Korea.

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Hanwha Systems Co Ltd (272210 KS)

Lumir IPO Preview

Lumir is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ. Lumir specializes in the development of observation satellite technology including image data...

Douglas Kim

Examining the September Reshuffle of the KOSPI Size Index Series

This post examines the potential for flow trading setups targeting the September rebalancing of the KOSPI Size Index Series.

Sanghyun Park

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 2nd): Hyundai Glovis, Woori Financial, Korea Aerospace

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hyundai Glovis, Woori Financial, Korea Aerospace,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

There are many changes expected for the KOSPI size indices in September. The potential upward migrations have outperformed the potential downward...

Brian Freitas

Innospace IPO Preview

Innospace is getting ready to complete its IPO in June 2024. According to bankers' valuation, the implied market cap of Innospace is from 347...

Douglas Kim

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