Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Happiest Minds Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

Happiest Minds Technologies (HAPPSTMN IN)

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/happiest-minds-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29128:1" rel="noopener">Happiest Minds Technologies (HAPPY IN)</a> (HM) is an information technology services company providing end-to-end solutions in the digital space. Its offerings include digital transformation, product engineering, infrastructure management and security services to its clients. It aims to raise around US$100m in its India listing.HM was started by Ashok Soota, who earlier worked with Wipro Limited as Vice Chairman and Mindtree Limited as Chairman and CEO. He was one of the co-founders of Mindtree.HM’s revenue has grown at 23% CAGR over FY18-20 and the company has managed to turn profitable owing to improving employee utilization. In addition, the industry outlook remains robust with IT spending on HM’s chosen areas of focus expected to grow at 20%+ CAGR.At the same time, the company’s average revenue per customer has been growing faster than its overall revenue. This is because the number of customers has been declining. Even if one looks at its largest customers, there are no clear signs of growth picking up. Furthermore, the company’s acquisition track record hasn’t been all that great and the founder has already pledged a substantial part of his shareholding.

Happiest Minds Technologies (HAPPY IN) (HM) is an information technology services company providing end-to-end solutions in the digital space. Its offerings include digital transformation, product engineering, infrastructure management and security services to its clients. It aims to raise around US$100m in its India listing.HM was started by Ashok Soota, who earlier worked with Wipro Limited as Vice Chairman and Mindtree Limited as Chairman and CEO. He was one of the co-founders of Mindtree.HM’s revenue has grown at 23% CAGR over FY18-20 and the company has managed to turn profitable owing to improving employee utilization. In addition, the industry outlook remains robust with IT spending on HM’s chosen areas of focus expected to grow at 20%+ CAGR.At the same time, the company’s average revenue per customer has been growing faster than its overall revenue. This is because the number of customers has been declining. Even if one looks at its largest customers, there are no clear signs of growth picking up. Furthermore, the company’s acquisition track record hasn’t been all that great and the founder has already pledged a substantial part of his shareholding.

Happiest Minds Pre-IPO - Decent Growth, Reputed Founder but Less than Reassuring Metrics

India

Happiest Minds Technologies Ltd. is an AI-first, customer-centric digital engineering company that provides IT services focusing on digital transformation for enterprises. The company delivers secure and scalable solutions across product engineering, cybersecurity, analytics, and automation platforms. Happiest Minds Technologies was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Bengaluru, India.

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Happiest Minds Technologies (HAPPSTMN IN)

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

The reclassification of stocks to large, mid and small cap will set off a churn in mutual fund portfolios where historically stocks migrating...

Brian Freitas

Happiest Minds Pre-IPO - Decent Growth, Reputed Founder but Less than Reassuring Metrics

Happiest Minds Technologies (HAPPY IN) (HM) is an information technology services company providing end-to-end solutions in the digital space. Its...

Sumeet Singh

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