Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 17 October, Pan Ocean (028670 KS) announced that it will sell its 3.9 million shares (5.85% stake) in Hanjin KAL Corp (180640 KS) for about 163 billion won. </li>
<li>The main purpose of this stake sale is to secure more funds for Pan Ocean to potentially acquire HMM Co., Ltd. (011200 KS). </li>
<li>As evidenced by the recent increase in Baltic Dry Index, the potential expansion of the war in Israel could benefit major bulk shipping companies such as Pan Ocean.</li>
</ul>


On 17 October, Pan Ocean (028670 KS) announced that it will sell its 3.9 million shares (5.85% stake) in Hanjin KAL Corp (180640 KS) for about 163 billion won. 
The main purpose of this stake sale is to secure more funds for Pan Ocean to potentially acquire HMM Co., Ltd. (011200 KS). 
As evidenced by the recent increase in Baltic Dry Index, the potential expansion of the war in Israel could benefit major bulk shipping companies such as Pan Ocean.


Pan Ocean To Sell 5.8% Stake in Hanjin Kal To Secure Funds to Acquire HMM

<ul>
<li>There were five stocks in Korea that dropped limit down (30%) today. They included Pang Rim, Dongil Industries, Manho Rope &amp; Wire, Taihan Textile, and Dongil Metal.</li>
<li>The share price decline of these five stocks are similar to the crash in eight stocks in Korea in April which were related to CFD derivatives related margin call selling. </li>
<li>Domestic securities firms in Korea have been trying to significantly reduce their exposure to CFD related trading and in this process, these sharp drops could be caused by this selling.</li>
</ul>


There were five stocks in Korea that dropped limit down (30%) today. They included Pang Rim, Dongil Industries, Manho Rope &amp; Wire, Taihan Textile, and Dongil Metal.
The share price decline of these five stocks are similar to the crash in eight stocks in Korea in April which were related to CFD derivatives related margin call selling. 
Domestic securities firms in Korea have been trying to significantly reduce their exposure to CFD related trading and in this process, these sharp drops could be caused by this selling.


5 Stocks in Korea Drop Limit Down - Caused by CFD Derivatives Related Margin Call Again?

<ul>
<li>The reduction of credit loans by Korea Investment &amp; Securities and Kiwoom Securities in the past week may have accelerated unwinding of positions of 8 stocks related to CFD selling.  </li>
<li>The balance of credit loans for KOSPI increased 12.7% YTD. On the other hand, the balance of credit loans for KOSDAQ increased by 36.1% YTD. </li>
<li>As local securities companies further reduce credit loans and regulators also restrict CFD related leverage, a sound pair trade could be to go long KOSPI 200 and short KOSDAQ 150. </li>
</ul>


The reduction of credit loans by Korea Investment &amp; Securities and Kiwoom Securities in the past week may have accelerated unwinding of positions of 8 stocks related to CFD selling.  
The balance of credit loans for KOSPI increased 12.7% YTD. On the other hand, the balance of credit loans for KOSDAQ increased by 36.1% YTD. 
As local securities companies further reduce credit loans and regulators also restrict CFD related leverage, a sound pair trade could be to go long KOSPI 200 and short KOSDAQ 150. 


Korea Investment & Securities' Suspension of Credit Loans for Stock Purchases - The Trigger Event?

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The biggest story in the Korean stock market in the past three days has been the crash in 8 stocks related to CFD derivatives.</li>
<li>As a result of the CFD related margin call selling, the following are the major impact on the 8 related stocks and the overall Korean stock market in our view.</li>
<li>They include a) overshooting on the downside on 8 related names, b) negative impact on the major rechargeable battery names, and c) negative impact on the overall Korean stock market. </li>
</ul>


The biggest story in the Korean stock market in the past three days has been the crash in 8 stocks related to CFD derivatives.
As a result of the CFD related margin call selling, the following are the major impact on the 8 related stocks and the overall Korean stock market in our view.
They include a) overshooting on the downside on 8 related names, b) negative impact on the major rechargeable battery names, and c) negative impact on the overall Korean stock market. 


A Crash in 8 Korean Stocks Related to CFD Derivatives: Margin Call in Korea

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The local ghost hedge fund began to excessively invest in credit, which leveraged 2.5 to 3 times when the eight manipulated stocks started to increase rapidly in price.</li>
<li>Then, the Financial Supervisory Service deemed this excessively-leveraged trading behavior as unusual, and news of an investigation into their activities broke out and triggered them to dump the shares.</li>
<li>The key now is identifying in advance the stocks that will experience similar selling patterns. To do so, we need to prioritize selecting stocks with high-margin balances in recent times.</li>
</ul>


The local ghost hedge fund began to excessively invest in credit, which leveraged 2.5 to 3 times when the eight manipulated stocks started to increase rapidly in price.
Then, the Financial Supervisory Service deemed this excessively-leveraged trading behavior as unusual, and news of an investigation into their activities broke out and triggered them to dump the shares.
The key now is identifying in advance the stocks that will experience similar selling patterns. To do so, we need to prioritize selecting stocks with high-margin balances in recent times.


Matched Order Fraud in Korea: Reason Behind Eight Stocks Hit Massively

South Korea

Jeil Holdings Co., Ltd. operates as a holding company. The Company provides grain distribution, shipping, feed manufacturing, livestock, slaughtering, and food manufacturing services. Jeil Holdings offers its services worldwide.   

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Harim Holdings (003380 KS)

Pan Ocean To Sell 5.8% Stake in Hanjin Kal To Secure Funds to Acquire HMM

Pan Ocean plans to sell stake in Hanjin KAL to raise funds for potential acquisition of HMM Co. The outbreak of a war in Israel has resulted in...

Douglas Kim

Korea Investment & Securities' Suspension of Credit Loans for Stock Purchases - The Trigger Event?

The reduction of credit loans by Korea Investment & Securities and Kiwoom Securities in the past week may have accelerated unwinding of positions...

Douglas Kim

Matched Order Fraud in Korea: Reason Behind Eight Stocks Hit Massively

This post investigates and explains the matched order fraud incident that engulfed Korea's local stock market this week and the potential names...

Sanghyun Park

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pan Ocean To Sell 5.8% Stake in Hanjin Kal To Secure Funds to Acquire HMM

​Pan Ocean plans to sell stake in Hanjin KAL to raise funds for potential acquisition of HMM Co. The outbreak of a war in Israel has resulted in...

Douglas Kim

5 Stocks in Korea Drop Limit Down - Caused by CFD Derivatives Related Margin Call Again?

There were five stocks in Korea that dropped limit down (30%) today, which could have been due to another round of CFD derivatives related margin...

Douglas Kim

Korea Investment & Securities' Suspension of Credit Loans for Stock Purchases - The Trigger Event?

The reduction of credit loans by Korea Investment & Securities and Kiwoom Securities in the past week may have accelerated unwinding of positions...

Douglas Kim

A Crash in 8 Korean Stocks Related to CFD Derivatives: Margin Call in Korea

The biggest story in the Korean stock market in the past three days has been the crash in 8 stocks related to CFD derivatives. We discuss the major...

Douglas Kim

Matched Order Fraud in Korea: Reason Behind Eight Stocks Hit Massively

This post investigates and explains the matched order fraud incident that engulfed Korea's local stock market this week and the potential names...

Sanghyun Park

Pan Ocean plans to sell stake in Hanjin KAL to raise funds for potential acquisition of HMM Co. The outbreak of a war in Israel has resulted in...