Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6780-6824 on SPX and $255-$257 on IWM continue to hold</li>
<li>We see deterioration in market dynamics, and while we still expect a period of consolidation/pullback, aforementioned support levels need to break to give us confidence that the pullback has begun.</li>
<li>We are upgrading Staples (XLP) to overweight, and we are downgrading Services to underweight</li>
</ul>


We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6780-6824 on SPX and $255-$257 on IWM continue to hold
We see deterioration in market dynamics, and while we still expect a period of consolidation/pullback, aforementioned support levels need to break to give us confidence that the pullback has begun.
We are upgrading Staples (XLP) to overweight, and we are downgrading Services to underweight


Upgrading Staples to Overweight; Downgrading Services. Still Cautious; Market Dynamics Deteriorating

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Equity Bottom-Up

Hawaiian Electric Inds / Equity Bottom-Up

Key points (machine generated)<ul><li>Hawaiian Electric is facing potential bankruptcy due to fire liabilities and the need for expensive investments to fire-harden their assets.</li><li>The estimated fire claims exceed the utility's worth, with total claims including debt exceeding $4.9-7.4 billion.</li><li>Unless the claims are significantly lower, it is unlikely that there will be any equity value for the utility, and the stock price is expected to be negatively impacted.</li></ul>This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Key points (machine generated)Hawaiian Electric is facing potential bankruptcy due to fire liabilities and the need for expensive investments to fire-harden their assets.The estimated fire claims exceed the utility's worth, with total claims including debt exceeding $4.9-7.4 billion.Unless the claims are significantly lower, it is unlikely that there will be any equity value for the utility, and the stock price is expected to be negatively impacted.This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Hawaiian Electric Co (HE1) - Sunday, Nov 12, 2023

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

EDP - Energias de Portugal SA / Event-Driven

The changes to the S&amp;P Global Clean Energy Index have been announced. There are 52 additions to the index to take the number of index constituents up to 82. The changes are effective after the close of trading on 16 April.The 52 additions and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of close to 55% and will require the ETFs tracking the index to trade US$12bn to rebalance their portfolios.The largest buying impact in terms of ADV to trade will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/edp-energias-de-portugal-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21362:1" rel="noopener">Edp - Energias De Portugal Sa (EDP PL)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22163:1" rel="noopener">SSE PLC (SSE LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northland-power-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25480:1" rel="noopener">Northland Power (NPI CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enel-americas-sa-c3a67f8a-ad13-45ff-a676-cbc513b8c458" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25965:1" rel="noopener">Enel Americas SA (ENIA US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/drax-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21911:1" rel="noopener">Drax Group PLC (DRX LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meyer-burger-technology-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25013:1" rel="noopener">Meyer Burger Technology Ag (MBTN SW)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/centrais-eletricas-br-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28638:1" rel="noopener">Centrais Eletricas Br-Sp Adr (EBR US)</a>.The largest selling impact will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meridian-ener-partly-paid-sh" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4327:1" rel="noopener">Meridian Energy (MEL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contact-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13136:1" rel="noopener">Contact Energy (CEN NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/verbund-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22563:1" rel="noopener">Verbund AG (VER AV)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innergex-renewable-energy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25479:1" rel="noopener">Innergex Renewable Energy (INE CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cia-energetica-de-spon-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28644:1" rel="noopener">Cia Energetica De-Spon Adr (CIG US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boralex-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25478:1" rel="noopener">Boralex Inc (BLX CN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scatec-solar-asa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25120:1" rel="noopener">Scatec Solar ASA (SSO NO)</a>.Among the current index constituents, there will be buying on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orsted-a-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24765:1" rel="noopener">Orsted A/S (ORSTED DC)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vestas-wind-systems-a-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22524:1" rel="noopener">Vestas Wind Systems A/S (VWS DC)</a>.We recommend buying the surprise inclusions and unwinding the positions by implementation date. A lot of the stocks that will have a reduction in index weight have been sold off over the last few months and the active positions will be covered leading up to implementation date - we recommend buying these stocks in the days leading up to implementation date since the stocks could rally once the overhang of passive selling has been removed.

The changes to the S&amp;P Global Clean Energy Index have been announced. There are 52 additions to the index to take the number of index constituents up to 82. The changes are effective after the close of trading on 16 April.The 52 additions and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of close to 55% and will require the ETFs tracking the index to trade US$12bn to rebalance their portfolios.The largest buying impact in terms of ADV to trade will be on Edp - Energias De Portugal Sa (EDP PL), SSE PLC (SSE LN), Northland Power (NPI CN), Enel Americas SA (ENIA US), Drax Group PLC (DRX LN), Meyer Burger Technology Ag (MBTN SW) and Centrais Eletricas Br-Sp Adr (EBR US).The largest selling impact will be on Meridian Energy (MEL NZ), Contact Energy (CEN NZ), Verbund AG (VER AV), Innergex Renewable Energy (INE CN), Cia Energetica De-Spon Adr (CIG US), Boralex Inc (BLX CN) and Scatec Solar ASA (SSO NO).Among the current index constituents, there will be buying on Orsted A/S (ORSTED DC) and Vestas Wind Systems A/S (VWS DC).We recommend buying the surprise inclusions and unwinding the positions by implementation date. A lot of the stocks that will have a reduction in index weight have been sold off over the last few months and the active positions will be covered leading up to implementation date - we recommend buying these stocks in the days leading up to implementation date since the stocks could rally once the overhang of passive selling has been removed.

Global Clean Energy Index: 52 Adds, 55% Index Turnover, US$12bn to Trade

M&A Reporting, CTFN

Jonathan Spitzer

M&A Reporting

CTFN

Bringing the marketplace leading coverage of mergers, events, and major corporate actions, CTFN has a team of seasoned reporters from Los Angeles to London, publishing news that advances stories that matter to event-driven investors and deal professionals.

Critics of the Hawaiian Electric-Nextera merger depict an order by Hawaii&rsquo;s Public Utilities Commission rejecting Hawaiian Electric&rsquo;s latest proposed long-term system plan as a blow to NextEra's merger plans.

Critics of the Hawaiian Electric-Nextera merger depict an order by Hawaii&rsquo;s Public Utilities Commission rejecting Hawaiian Electric&rsquo;s latest proposed long-term system plan as a blow to NextEra's merger plans.

PUC Setback Another Hurdle for Hawaiian Electric-NextEra Merger

United States

Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. is a diversified holding company that delivers a variety of services to the people of Hawaii.  The Company's subsidiaries offer electric utilities, savings banks and other businesses, primarily in the state of Hawaii.

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Hawaiian Electric Inds (HE US)

Upgrading Staples to Overweight; Downgrading Services. Still Cautious; Market Dynamics Deteriorating

Upgrading Staples $XLP to Overweight; Downgrading Services. Cautious $SPX $QQQ; Market Dynamics Deteriorating as Defensives Take the Lead $XLU...

Vermilion Research

Hawaiian Electric Co (HE1) - Sunday, Nov 12, 2023

Hawaiian Electric is facing potential bankruptcy due to fire liabilities and the need for expensive investments to fire-harden their assets.

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Global Clean Energy Index: 52 Adds, 55% Index Turnover, US$12bn to Trade

There are 52 additions to the S&P Global Clean Energy Index. One-way turnover is nearly 55% and the ETF benchmarked to the index will need to trade...

Brian Freitas

PUC Setback Another Hurdle for Hawaiian Electric-NextEra Merger

Critics of the Hawaiian Electric-Nextera merger depict an order by Hawaii’s Public Utilities Commission rejecting Hawaiian Electric’s latest...

CTFN

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