Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.</li>
<li>Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.
Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

<ul>
<li>There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518.</li>
<li>19 of the 24 HSCI inclusions will be added to Southbound Stock Connect, while 12 of the 14 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Five of the HSCI constituents could be removed from Southbound Stock Connect only since the average market cap over the last year is less than HK$5bn.</li>
</ul>


There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518.
19 of the 24 HSCI inclusions will be added to Southbound Stock Connect, while 12 of the 14 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.
Five of the HSCI constituents could be removed from Southbound Stock Connect only since the average market cap over the last year is less than HK$5bn.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 14 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

<ul>
<li>We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI in September, plus another 9 stocks that are close to the inclusion cutoff. Some stocks are already a part of Stock Connect.</li>
<li>There could be 22 deletions from the index on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspension. Most of the deletions would be moved to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list.</li>
<li>Some of the stocks that remain in the HSCI could move to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.</li>
</ul>


We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI in September, plus another 9 stocks that are close to the inclusion cutoff. Some stocks are already a part of Stock Connect.
There could be 22 deletions from the index on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspension. Most of the deletions would be moved to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list.
Some of the stocks that remain in the HSCI could move to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<p>Recently, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/transcenta-holding-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33523:1" rel="noopener">Transcenta Holding (THL HK)</a> has passed the listing hearing of the HKEX and is expected to be listed on the main board in the near future. Transcenta is a clinical stage global biopharmaceutical company that integrates the capacities of discovery, research, development, manufacturing and business development, with nine product candidates in the pipeline, eight of which are oncology drug candidates. This insight mainly analyzed the important product candidates (such as MSB2311, TST001, TST005 and MSB0254) in the pipeline and related concerns. </p>

Recently, Transcenta Holding (THL HK) has passed the listing hearing of the HKEX and is expected to be listed on the main board in the near future. Transcenta is a clinical stage global biopharmaceutical company that integrates the capacities of discovery, research, development, manufacturing and business development, with nine product candidates in the pipeline, eight of which are oncology drug candidates. This insight mainly analyzed the important product candidates (such as MSB2311, TST001, TST005 and MSB0254) in the pipeline and related concerns. 

Pre-IPO Transcenta Holding - Insights on Pipeline and the Concerns

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Zhaoke Ophthalmology / Equity Capital Markets

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhaoke-ophthalmology-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31495:1" rel="noopener">Zhaoke Ophthalmology Pharmaceutical (6622 HK)</a> is an ophthalmic pharma company that has an ophthalmic drug pipeline of 13 innovative drugs and 12 generic drugs. Zhaoke was founded by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lee-s-pharmaceutical-hldgs" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14616:1" rel="noopener">Lee's Pharmaceutical (950 HK)</a> which is the largest shareholder. </p>
<p>Zhaoke has launched an HKEx IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$1,857.8 million ($239 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range of HK$15.38-16.80 per share.</p>
</div><div><p>Eight cornerstone investors have agreed to invest about $55 million in the IPO (21.51% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price range). The cornerstone investors are CaaS Capital, GIC, Golden Valley, Jennison Associates, Mass Ave, Matthews Asia, OrbiMed Funds and VMS Investment.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zhaoke-ophthalmology-ipo-initiation-the-eyes-have-it" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50243" rel="noopener">Zhaoke Ophthalmology IPO Initiation: The Eyes Have It</a>, we stated that the prospects of Zhaoke’s drug assets are favourable. Overall, our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. </p></div></div></div>


Zhaoke Ophthalmology Pharmaceutical (6622 HK) is an ophthalmic pharma company that has an ophthalmic drug pipeline of 13 innovative drugs and 12 generic drugs. Zhaoke was founded by Lee's Pharmaceutical (950 HK) which is the largest shareholder. 
Zhaoke has launched an HKEx IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$1,857.8 million ($239 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range of HK$15.38-16.80 per share.
Eight cornerstone investors have agreed to invest about $55 million in the IPO (21.51% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price range). The cornerstone investors are CaaS Capital, GIC, Golden Valley, Jennison Associates, Mass Ave, Matthews Asia, OrbiMed Funds and VMS Investment.In Zhaoke Ophthalmology IPO Initiation: The Eyes Have It, we stated that the prospects of Zhaoke’s drug assets are favourable. Overall, our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. 

Zhaoke Ophthalmology IPO: Valuation Insights

China

Engages in research and development of therapeutics in the fields of immuno-oncology and immunology diseases

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

HBM Holdings Limited (2142 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

There could be 3 adds in December while there will be MANY more changes in March. The adds should outnumber the deletes, but there will be many...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 14 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the HSCI at the September rebalance. 19 stocks will be added to Stock Connect and 12 will be removed. Some of...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

We see 28 potential adds and 9 close adds for the HSCI in September. There are 22 potential deletes on market cap, liquidity and prolonged...

Brian Freitas

Pre-IPO Transcenta Holding - Insights on Pipeline and the Concerns

The article mainly analyzed Transcenta Holding in terms of its important product candidates MSB2311, TST001, TST005 and MSB0254,including the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Zhaoke Ophthalmology IPO: Valuation Insights

Zhaoke has launched an HKEx IPO to raise net proceeds of $239m at the mid-point of the IPO price range of HK$15.38-16.80 per share. Overall, we...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)