European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos and DLC mainly tightened during June. Coverage of CF Alba is discontinued following delisting. Discounts (30 June): GBL, 36% (vs. 37.9% on 30 May); </li>
<li>Heineken Holding, 14% (vs. 12.5%); Industrivärden C, 10% (vs. 9.6%); Investor B, 12.1% (vs. 9.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 28% (vs. 29.5%); Rio DLC 20.9% (vs. 22.2%); Vivendi 44.9% (vs. 47.1%). </li>
<li>What seems interesting (unchanged views): Heineken Holding, vs. Heineken, Porsche SE vs. listed assets and Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos and DLC mainly tightened during June. Coverage of CF Alba is discontinued following delisting. Discounts (30 June): GBL, 36% (vs. 37.9% on 30 May); 
Heineken Holding, 14% (vs. 12.5%); Industrivärden C, 10% (vs. 9.6%); Investor B, 12.1% (vs. 9.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 28% (vs. 29.5%); Rio DLC 20.9% (vs. 22.2%); Vivendi 44.9% (vs. 47.1%). 
What seems interesting (unchanged views): Heineken Holding, vs. Heineken, Porsche SE vs. listed assets and Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: June 2025 Report

Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Heineken has lost operational control and withdrawn its staff from its facilities in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (“DRC”) due to an escalating conflict.</li>
<li>The company had suspended operations in March in the cities of Goma, Bukavu, and Uvira after its breweries and depots were attacked during clashes between the army and M23 rebels.</li>
<li>As of June 12, 2025, armed groups have seized its sites in Goma and Bukavu, prompting a full withdrawal.</li>
</ul>


Heineken has lost operational control and withdrawn its staff from its facilities in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (“DRC”) due to an escalating conflict.
The company had suspended operations in March in the cities of Goma, Bukavu, and Uvira after its breweries and depots were attacked during clashes between the army and M23 rebels.
As of June 12, 2025, armed groups have seized its sites in Goma and Bukavu, prompting a full withdrawal.


What's News in Amsterdam - 23 June (Heineken | Consumer Confidence)

<ul><li>In this edition: • Heineken | Vietnam’s consumption tax increases: no near-term impact expected • AMG Critical Materials | increases interest in Zinnwald Lithium to 29.6% • PostNL | House committees to meet today on which topics to declare controversial • E-commerce / E-com logistics | online spending in the Netherlands up 4% YoY in 1Q25</li></ul>

In this edition: • Heineken | Vietnam’s consumption tax increases: no near-term impact expected • AMG Critical Materials | increases interest in Zinnwald Lithium to 29.6% • PostNL | House committees to meet today on which topics to declare controversial • E-commerce / E-com logistics | online spending in the Netherlands up 4% YoY in 1Q25

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 18 June (Heineken | AMG Critical Materials | PostNL | E-com/logistics)

BE Semiconductor Industries NV / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In today's edition: • ABN Amro | restructuring within Corporate Banking • BE Semiconductor Industries | increases long-term financial targets • Heineken | intends to invest USD 2.75bn in Mexico until 2028 • KPN | VodafoneZiggo secures access to part of Delta Fiber’s network • KPN | CEO denounces ‘populistic discussion’ on high broadband tariffs • InPost | court dismisses motion for injunction against Yodel • DHL | CMA to start DHL/EVRi merger inquiry</li></ul>

In today's edition: • ABN Amro | restructuring within Corporate Banking • BE Semiconductor Industries | increases long-term financial targets • Heineken | intends to invest USD 2.75bn in Mexico until 2028 • KPN | VodafoneZiggo secures access to part of Delta Fiber’s network • KPN | CEO denounces ‘populistic discussion’ on high broadband tariffs • InPost | court dismisses motion for injunction against Yodel • DHL | CMA to start DHL/EVRi merger inquiry

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during May. Coverage of CF Alba is discontinued following delisting. </li>
<li>Discounts (30 May): GBL, 37.9% (vs 35.3%, 2 May); Heineken Holding, 12.5% (vs. 12.3%); Industrivärden C, 9.6% (vs. 9.1%); Investor B, 9.6% (vs. 5.8%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 29.5% (vs. 29.2%); </li>
<li>Rio DLC 22.2% (vs. 25.8%); Vivendi 45% (vs. 46%).  What seems interesting: Heineken Holding, vs. Heineken, Porsche SE vs. listed assets and Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during May. Coverage of CF Alba is discontinued following delisting. 
Discounts (30 May): GBL, 37.9% (vs 35.3%, 2 May); Heineken Holding, 12.5% (vs. 12.3%); Industrivärden C, 9.6% (vs. 9.1%); Investor B, 9.6% (vs. 5.8%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 29.5% (vs. 29.2%); 
Rio DLC 22.2% (vs. 25.8%); Vivendi 45% (vs. 46%).  What seems interesting: Heineken Holding, vs. Heineken, Porsche SE vs. listed assets and Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: May 2025 Report

Netherlands

Heineken NV produces and distributes beverages internationally. The Company produces beers, spirits, wines, and soft drinks under various brand names.

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Heineken NV (HEIA NA)

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: June 2025 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos and DLC mainly tightened during June. What seems interesting (unchanged views): Heineken Holding, Porsche SE...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

What's News in Amsterdam - 23 June (Heineken | Consumer Confidence)

Heineken has lost operational control and withdrawn its staff from its facilities in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (“DRC”) due to an...

The IDEA!

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 18 June (Heineken | AMG Critical Materials | PostNL | E-com/logistics)

In this edition: • Heineken | Vietnam’s consumption tax increases: no near-term impact expected • AMG Critical Materials | increases interest in...

The IDEA!

What's News in Amsterdam - 12 June (ABN Amro | Besi | Heineken | KPN | InPost | DHL)

In today's edition: • ABN Amro | restructuring within Corporate Banking • BE Semiconductor Industries | increases long-term financial...

The IDEA!

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: May 2025 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during May. Coverage of CF Alba is discontinued following delisting. What seems interesting:...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

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