IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

SHEIN Global Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK)</a>, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, is pre-marketing a HKEx IPO to raise US$3 billion.</li>
<li>I previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/shein-global-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:248212" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/shein-global-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:248735" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, I present my forecasts and examine Shein's potential valuation range. My analysis suggests a valuation range of US$33.3 billion to US$34.0 billion.</li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK), a global online fashion and lifestyle company, is pre-marketing a HKEx IPO to raise US$3 billion.
I previously discussed the IPO in SHEIN Global IPO: The Bull Case and SHEIN Global IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, I present my forecasts and examine Shein's potential valuation range. My analysis suggests a valuation range of US$33.3 billion to US$34.0 billion.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK)</a>, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, is pre-marketing a HKEx IPO to raise US$3 billion.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/shein-global-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:248212" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on a business model under severe strain, as reflected in rapidly declining growth, margin pressure, and down rounds. </li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK), a global online fashion and lifestyle company, is pre-marketing a HKEx IPO to raise US$3 billion.
In SHEIN Global IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on a business model under severe strain, as reflected in rapidly declining growth, margin pressure, and down rounds. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK)</a>, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, is pre-marketing a HKEx IPO to raise US$3 billion.</li>
<li>Shein is the largest online fashion destination globally as measured by apparel and footwear retail sales value in 2025.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on scale and cost advantages that are hard to replicate, robust order growth, the largest geographic segment not being constrained by tariff politics, and cash generation. </li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK), a global online fashion and lifestyle company, is pre-marketing a HKEx IPO to raise US$3 billion.
Shein is the largest online fashion destination globally as measured by apparel and footwear retail sales value in 2025.
The bull case rests on scale and cost advantages that are hard to replicate, robust order growth, the largest geographic segment not being constrained by tariff politics, and cash generation. 


Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

<ul>
<li>Reportedly, SHEN recently shared FY25 targets of US$2 bn Net, "mid-teens" sales growth</li>
<li>SHEIN faces familiar issues in France, where the company has just opened a physical store</li>
<li>The release of new FY25 financial targets suggest SHEIN is progressing towards an IPO </li>
</ul>


Reportedly, SHEN recently shared FY25 targets of US$2 bn Net, "mid-teens" sales growth
SHEIN faces familiar issues in France, where the company has just opened a physical store
The release of new FY25 financial targets suggest SHEIN is progressing towards an IPO 


SHEIN Update: US$2 Bn Net, "Mid-Teens" Revenue Growth Targets Shared | New Challenges in France?

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

February has seen several very large ESG-linked and sustainability bond issuances, some in double-digits billions of dollars and setting records. Issuers include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem (051910 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anheuser-busch-inbev-sa-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:865:1" rel="noopener">Anheuser Busch Inbev (ABI BB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hennes-mauritz-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22380:1" rel="noopener">Hennes &amp; Mauritz Ab (HMB SS)</a>.Unlike green bonds, the proceeds from which usually finance one specific project, these deals allow issuers to invest proceeds in multiple areas of sustainability/ESG like renewable energy, recycling, and various Social-pillar initiatives. This has the potential to create a virtuous cycle, as it were.Importantly, a common characteristic of the deals discussed herein is that interest rates are tied to sustainability or ESG performance; if issuers fall short of targets the cost of servicing the debt goes up. Demand has been strong; H&amp;M's was seven times over, and it was able to price at lower rates.More than US$15 billion, just one month into the year.

February has seen several very large ESG-linked and sustainability bond issuances, some in double-digits billions of dollars and setting records. Issuers include LG Chem (051910 KS), Anheuser Busch Inbev (ABI BB), and Hennes &amp; Mauritz Ab (HMB SS).Unlike green bonds, the proceeds from which usually finance one specific project, these deals allow issuers to invest proceeds in multiple areas of sustainability/ESG like renewable energy, recycling, and various Social-pillar initiatives. This has the potential to create a virtuous cycle, as it were.Importantly, a common characteristic of the deals discussed herein is that interest rates are tied to sustainability or ESG performance; if issuers fall short of targets the cost of servicing the debt goes up. Demand has been strong; H&amp;M's was seven times over, and it was able to price at lower rates.More than US$15 billion, just one month into the year.

Recent ESG-Linked and Sustainable Bond Issues Are Breaking Records in Size and Demand

Sweden

Hennes & Mauritz AB (H&M) designs and retails fashions for women, men, teens, and children.  The Company sells a variety trendy, sporty, and classic garments in addition to accessories such as jewelery, bags, and scarves, and cosmetics. H&M owns and operates stores in many European countries and the United States.

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Hennes & Mauritz AB (HMB SS)

SHEIN Global IPO: Valuation First-Look

SHEIN Global, an online fashion and lifestyle company, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$3 billion. In this note, I examine Shein's...

Arun George

SHEIN Global IPO: The Bear Case

SHEIN, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$3 billion. In this note, I discuss the bear case.

Arun George

SHEIN Global IPO: The Bull Case

SHEIN, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, is pre-marketing a HKEx IPO to raise US$3 billion. In this note, I discuss the bull case.

Arun George

SHEIN Update: US$2 Bn Net, "Mid-Teens" Revenue Growth Targets Shared | New Challenges in France?

Now that fast-fashion giant SHEIN has finally filed offering documents in Hong Kong (July 27), we believe it's a good time to revisit the company's...

Tracking Traffic

Recent ESG-Linked and Sustainable Bond Issues Are Breaking Records in Size and Demand

Recently, three record-setting ESG-linked and sustainability-linked bond issues totaling US$15 billion. Three deals, two months into the year, and...

Kyle Rudden

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