Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Henry Schein had a successful quarter, generating $3.4 billion in net sales and managing to surpass the revenue expectations of Wall Street.</li><li>The company achieved an operating margin of 7.27%, which is an 18 basis point increase from the prior year's GAAP operating margin, despite experiencing a decline in sales of PPE and COVID-19-related products due to pricing volatility.</li><li>Although global dental sales declined by 3.1%, with LCI sales down 0.3%, LCI sales growth, except for COVID-19-related products and PPE, was 3.5%.</li></ul>

Henry Schein had a successful quarter, generating $3.4 billion in net sales and managing to surpass the revenue expectations of Wall Street.The company achieved an operating margin of 7.27%, which is an 18 basis point increase from the prior year's GAAP operating margin, despite experiencing a decline in sales of PPE and COVID-19-related products due to pricing volatility.Although global dental sales declined by 3.1%, with LCI sales down 0.3%, LCI sales growth, except for COVID-19-related products and PPE, was 3.5%.

Henry Schein Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Dental Sales Decline: A Temporary Setback or a Long-Term Problem? - Key Drivers

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Economic slowdown, China lockdown and more competition has hit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/align-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2817:1" rel="noopener">Align Technology (ALGN US)</a> share performance. Quantity and quality of innovations suggests a solid moat that should help a comeback.</li>
<li>ALGN has dominant leadership in digital design and mass custom manufacture of clear aligner orthodontics. A return of demand should lead to strong upside. </li>
<li>Dentistry has seen significant new technologies we list the top fifteen innovators in the sector. Align is primarily in the narrow business of straightening teeth, but dominates the space.</li>
</ul>


Economic slowdown, China lockdown and more competition has hit Align Technology (ALGN US) share performance. Quantity and quality of innovations suggests a solid moat that should help a comeback.
ALGN has dominant leadership in digital design and mass custom manufacture of clear aligner orthodontics. A return of demand should lead to strong upside. 
Dentistry has seen significant new technologies we list the top fifteen innovators in the sector. Align is primarily in the narrow business of straightening teeth, but dominates the space.


Align Technology - Very Well Positioned when Demand Returns

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>On a constant-currency basis, Q3 revenue of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/align-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2817:1" rel="noopener">Align Technology (ALGN US)</a> was reduced by 3% sequentially and 6% year-over-year, one of the largest quarterly foreign exchange impacts.</li>
<li>Weak consumer sentiment is taking a toll on Invisalign shipment, with adult case starts plunging 11% q/q and 16% y/y to 377K. Invisalign ASPs nosedived to nine-quarter low of $1,150.  </li>
<li>Amid increasing competition and macroeconomic headwinds, long-term model of 20–30% revenue growth is hard to achieve. The company is also expected to miss 2022 operating margin target of 20%.</li>
</ul>


On a constant-currency basis, Q3 revenue of Align Technology (ALGN US) was reduced by 3% sequentially and 6% year-over-year, one of the largest quarterly foreign exchange impacts.
Weak consumer sentiment is taking a toll on Invisalign shipment, with adult case starts plunging 11% q/q and 16% y/y to 377K. Invisalign ASPs nosedived to nine-quarter low of $1,150.  
Amid increasing competition and macroeconomic headwinds, long-term model of 20–30% revenue growth is hard to achieve. The company is also expected to miss 2022 operating margin target of 20%.


Align Technology (ALGN US): Q3 Result Not Aligned with Consensus; Outlook Remains Cloudy

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Russell 2000 ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The bifurcation between large-cap growth and small-caps that we discussed last week has continued, where small-caps have generally not been participating in the rally.</li>
<li>As we said last week, this bifurcation can continue, but it is not the type of breadth that supports a sustainable new bull market.</li>
<li>We need to see the Russell 2000 (IWM) stay above $209 in order to have confidence that the bottom is in. Meanwhile, stick with the commodity and defensive Sectors.</li>
</ul>


The bifurcation between large-cap growth and small-caps that we discussed last week has continued, where small-caps have generally not been participating in the rally.
As we said last week, this bifurcation can continue, but it is not the type of breadth that supports a sustainable new bull market.
We need to see the Russell 2000 (IWM) stay above $209 in order to have confidence that the bottom is in. Meanwhile, stick with the commodity and defensive Sectors.


Bifurcation Continues; Banks, Semiconductors, Small-Caps, Homebuilders Remain Concerns

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/align-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2817:1" rel="noopener">Align Technology (ALGN US)</a> is better investment idea than its Chinese competitor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/angelalign-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31480:1" rel="noopener">Angelalign Technology (6699 HK),</a> due to its larger global scale of operation, early mover advantage, and cheaper valuation.    </li>
<li>Align Technology is well-positioned for 20%+ revenue and earnings growth through 2024, driven by large and underpenetrated TAM of 19 million annual ortho starts.</li>
<li>Align Technology shares are trading at a steep discount to Angelalign Technology shares. Price erosion due to the increasing competition remains the key risks for both the companies.</li>
</ul>



Align Technology (ALGN US) is better investment idea than its Chinese competitor Angelalign Technology (6699 HK), due to its larger global scale of operation, early mover advantage, and cheaper valuation.    
Align Technology is well-positioned for 20%+ revenue and earnings growth through 2024, driven by large and underpenetrated TAM of 19 million annual ortho starts.
Align Technology shares are trading at a steep discount to Angelalign Technology shares. Price erosion due to the increasing competition remains the key risks for both the companies.


Align Technology (ALGN US) Vs. Angelalign Technology (6699 HK): Which One Is Better Investment

United States

Henry Schein, Inc. distributes healthcare products and services, including practice management software, to office-based healthcare practitioners.  The Company has operations in North America and other countries.  Henry Schein's operations include direct marketing, telesales, and field sales.

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Henry Schein (HSIC US)

Henry Schein Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Dental Sales Decline: A Temporary Setback or a Long-Term Problem? - Key Drivers

Henry Schein had a successful quarter, generating $3.4 billion in net sales and managing to surpass the revenue expectations of Wall Street. The...

Baptista Research

Align Technology - Very Well Positioned when Demand Returns

Decline in earnings has driven the sell-off, but with patience and tolerance for volatility ALGN's innovation dominance should lead to good long...

Pyari Menon

Align Technology (ALGN US): Q3 Result Not Aligned with Consensus; Outlook Remains Cloudy

With ~50% revenue from international market, Align’s Q3 result was significantly impacted by unfavorable Fx. Macroeconomic uncertainty and weak...

Tina Banerjee

Bifurcation Continues; Banks, Semiconductors, Small-Caps, Homebuilders Remain Concerns

Several indexes remain below key resistance, including 4600 on $SPX, $110 on $QQEW, $209 on $IWM, $111 on $IJR, $507 on the $SOX index $SOXX, $73...

Vermilion Research

Align Technology (ALGN US) Vs. Angelalign Technology (6699 HK): Which One Is Better Investment

This insight has analyzed why Align Technology is a better investment idea than Angelalign Technology and thrown light on former’s fundamental...

Tina Banerjee

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