Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This insight provides select Industry-wise highlights from the 59 checks, across 5 sectors and 14 industries that we did in Q4 (Jan 2022 to March 2022).</li>
<li>The objective of the checks is to understand the underlying business narrative not to forecast the coming quarter and hence the limited sample sizes. </li>
<li>These checks are used as a tool to identify areas of discrepancy between management commentary and ground reality that could be the subject of future deeper dives. </li>
</ul>


This insight provides select Industry-wise highlights from the 59 checks, across 5 sectors and 14 industries that we did in Q4 (Jan 2022 to March 2022).
The objective of the checks is to understand the underlying business narrative not to forecast the coming quarter and hence the limited sample sizes. 
These checks are used as a tool to identify areas of discrepancy between management commentary and ground reality that could be the subject of future deeper dives. 


India Channel Insight | Q4 Report Card | 59 Checks Across 5 Sectors

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>Electric 2-wheeler capacity in India is set to multiply manifold as growing demand is changing the face of the country's nascent EV sector.</li>
<li>Attractive Government incentives and subsidies, supportive policy framework have helped sector growth. However, the lack of key component supply systems locally and charging infrastructure are bottlenecks.</li>
<li>New entrants dominate the segment while incumbent 2-wheeler players are yet to create a meaningful presence. In the listed space,  Greaves Cotton (GRV IN) offers exposure via Ampere.</li>
</ul>


Electric 2-wheeler capacity in India is set to multiply manifold as growing demand is changing the face of the country's nascent EV sector.
Attractive Government incentives and subsidies, supportive policy framework have helped sector growth. However, the lack of key component supply systems locally and charging infrastructure are bottlenecks.
New entrants dominate the segment while incumbent 2-wheeler players are yet to create a meaningful presence. In the listed space,  Greaves Cotton (GRV IN) offers exposure via Ampere.


India EV Sector: Electric 2-Wheelers Are the Early Riders - Know the What, Why & Who

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We visit dealers of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda Motor (7267 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tvs-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16123:1" rel="noopener">TVS Motor (TVSL IN)</a> to understand the current demand environment for Electric Vehicles(EV).</li>
<li>High fuel prices and a very low base lead to high growth for EV OEMs</li>
<li>Customers are waiting for launches from legacy players and a reduction in battery cost to decide the best alternative, but this is costing the overall 2W industry lower volumes. </li>
</ul>


We visit dealers of Honda Motor (7267 JP) , Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) and TVS Motor (TVSL IN) to understand the current demand environment for Electric Vehicles(EV).
High fuel prices and a very low base lead to high growth for EV OEMs
Customers are waiting for launches from legacy players and a reduction in battery cost to decide the best alternative, but this is costing the overall 2W industry lower volumes. 


India Channel Insight #28 | What Is the Two-Wheeler EV Scene in India?

<ul>
<li>The focus of this channel Insight is the state of Uttar Pradesh, one of the largest and most important states in India currently undergoing Legislative elections. </li>
<li>The objective is to know the on-ground narrative about business and elections and is not aimed at forecasting the outcome of the event. </li>
<li>Business sentiment is not very encouraging, however, most of them seem to be hinting at the ruling party BJP remaining in power. </li>
</ul>


The focus of this channel Insight is the state of Uttar Pradesh, one of the largest and most important states in India currently undergoing Legislative elections. 
The objective is to know the on-ground narrative about business and elections and is not aimed at forecasting the outcome of the event. 
Business sentiment is not very encouraging, however, most of them seem to be hinting at the ruling party BJP remaining in power. 


India Channel Insight # 27 | Postcard from Uttar Pradesh (UP) | BJP Likely to Remain in Power

<ul>
<li>We interact with six dealers of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a> and Royal Enfield (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a>)</li>
<li>The demand environment for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a> remains weak.</li>
<li>The supply situation and demand environment for Royal Enfield is improving. </li>
</ul>


We interact with six dealers of Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) and Royal Enfield (Eicher Motors (EIM IN))
The demand environment for Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) remains weak.
The supply situation and demand environment for Royal Enfield is improving. 


India Channel Insight #21 | Hero Motocorp, Royal Enfield (Eicher Motors)

India

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. designs, manufactures and distributes motorcycles. The Company's products also include motorcycle parts and accessories.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)

India Channel Insight | Q4 Report Card | 59 Checks Across 5 Sectors

This insight provides select Industry-wise highlights from the 59 checks, across 5 sectors and 14 industries that we did in Q4 (Jan 2022 to March...

Pranav Bhavsar

India EV Sector: Electric 2-Wheelers Are the Early Riders - Know the What, Why & Who

A quick primer on India's rapidly growing electric two wheeler (scooters) segment including factors driving accelerated growth and the key players...

Devi Subhakesan

India Channel Insight #28 | What Is the Two-Wheeler EV Scene in India?

We visit dealers of Honda Motor (7267 JP) , Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) and TVS Motor (TVSL IN) to understand the current demand environment for...

Pranav Bhavsar

India Channel Insight # 27 | Postcard from Uttar Pradesh (UP) | BJP Likely to Remain in Power

The focus of this channel Insight is the state of Uttar Pradesh, one of the largest and most important states in India currently undergoing...

Pranav Bhavsar

India Channel Insight #21 | Hero Motocorp, Royal Enfield (Eicher Motors)

For this India Channel Insight, we interact with six dealers of Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) and Royal Enfield (Eicher Motors (EIM IN)) to understand...

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)