Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a>  &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harley-davidson-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4386:1" rel="noopener">Harley Davidson (HOG US)</a> launched their collaborative creation, the Harley-Davidson X440, in India.</li>
<li>While this is a step in the right and anticipated direction, there are potentially grave mistakes that need to be corrected.</li>
<li>For HOG, there is more to lose than to gain from this development. Additionally, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a> moat around the brand and a strong riding culture is likely underrated.</li>
</ul>



Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)  &amp; Harley Davidson (HOG US) launched their collaborative creation, the Harley-Davidson X440, in India.
While this is a step in the right and anticipated direction, there are potentially grave mistakes that need to be corrected.
For HOG, there is more to lose than to gain from this development. Additionally, Eicher Motors (EIM IN) moat around the brand and a strong riding culture is likely underrated.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a>  is undergoing a course correction, acknowledging its past mistakes.</li>
<li>Multiple levers on the horizon arguing for a change of stance on HMCL.</li>
<li>The stock is reasonably valued, and institutional holdings are at a 12-quarter low, signaling the need for attention.</li>
</ul>



Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)  is undergoing a course correction, acknowledging its past mistakes.
Multiple levers on the horizon arguing for a change of stance on HMCL.
The stock is reasonably valued, and institutional holdings are at a 12-quarter low, signaling the need for attention.


Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) | Course Correction

Asia Consumer Research, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Asia Consumer Research

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Electric 2-wheeler capacity in India is set to multiply manifold as growing demand is changing the face of the country's nascent EV sector.</li>
<li>Attractive Government incentives and subsidies, supportive policy framework have helped sector growth. However, the lack of key component supply systems locally and charging infrastructure are bottlenecks.</li>
<li>New entrants dominate the segment while incumbent 2-wheeler players are yet to create a meaningful presence. In the listed space,  Greaves Cotton (GRV IN) offers exposure via Ampere.</li>
</ul>


Electric 2-wheeler capacity in India is set to multiply manifold as growing demand is changing the face of the country's nascent EV sector.
Attractive Government incentives and subsidies, supportive policy framework have helped sector growth. However, the lack of key component supply systems locally and charging infrastructure are bottlenecks.
New entrants dominate the segment while incumbent 2-wheeler players are yet to create a meaningful presence. In the listed space,  Greaves Cotton (GRV IN) offers exposure via Ampere.


India EV Sector: Electric 2-Wheelers Are the Early Riders - Know the What, Why & Who

<ul>
<li>We screen our coverage universe for earnings surprises, EPS upgrades, and management narratives to identify fundamental longs.</li>
<li>Stocks discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tvs-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16123:1" rel="noopener">TVS Motor (TVSL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honasa-consumer-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36117:1" rel="noopener">Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN)</a> </li>
<li>TVSL EVs could surprise, NEST offers the right safety in the current environment, and for HONASA there is a possibility of turning around. </li>
</ul>


We screen our coverage universe for earnings surprises, EPS upgrades, and management narratives to identify fundamental longs.
Stocks discussed include TVS Motor (TVSL IN), Nestle India (NEST IN), and Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN) 
TVSL EVs could surprise, NEST offers the right safety in the current environment, and for HONASA there is a possibility of turning around. 


Fundamental Longs - TVS Motors | Nestle India | Honasa

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.</li>
<li>In our previous note we looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.
Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.
In our previous note we looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


Ola Electric Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

India

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. designs, manufactures and distributes motorcycles. The Company's products also include motorcycle parts and accessories.

Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)