SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&amp;B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and internationalisation.</li>
<li>The 10 biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks in Singapore have averaged a 12.6% total return in the year thus far. This compared to 10.1% for Asia Pacific’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks and 8.9% for the world’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19714" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19714:1">Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15597" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15597:1">Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20972" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20972:1">Super Group Ltd (SUPER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/9051" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9051:1">Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd</a>…</li>
</ul>


Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&amp;B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and internationalisation.
The 10 biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks in Singapore have averaged a 12.6% total return in the year thus far. This compared to 10.1% for Asia Pacific’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks and 8.9% for the world’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks.

Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP), Japfa Ltd (JAP SP), Super Group Ltd (SUPER SP), Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd…


Key Drivers of the Packaged Food Industry

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually improving domestic demand is likely to see non-oil imports growth move back into positive territory. The four rate cuts that Bank Indonesia has undertaken since the start of 2016 is expected to provide a lift to domestic demand in the economy.On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis, exports declined 8.8% y-o-y in June compared to a decline of 11.9% in…

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually improving domestic demand is likely to see non-oil imports growth move back into positive territory. The four rate cuts that Bank Indonesia has undertaken since the start of 2016 is expected to provide a lift to domestic demand in the economy.On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis, exports declined 8.8% y-o-y in June compared to a decline of 11.9% in…

Indonesia: Non-Oil Imports Growth Likely to Turn Positive on Gradually Improving Domestic Demand

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A company visit with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya</a> revealed confidence in the outlook with its more aggressive store expansion on track, as it nearly draws level with Indomaret.</li>
<li>The company remains focused on expanding its Lawson convenience store outlets plus larger size Midi outlets. Its membership scheme is growing fast with 10m shopping once a week. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ)</a> remains a core retail holding, with its premium valuation justified by its strong growth prospects, with estimated 2-year Forward EPS growth of +25% and +17%. </li>
</ul>


A company visit with Sumber Alfaria Trijaya revealed confidence in the outlook with its more aggressive store expansion on track, as it nearly draws level with Indomaret.
The company remains focused on expanding its Lawson convenience store outlets plus larger size Midi outlets. Its membership scheme is growing fast with 10m shopping once a week. 

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) remains a core retail holding, with its premium valuation justified by its strong growth prospects, with estimated 2-year Forward EPS growth of +25% and +17%. 


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - Ongoing Momentum Sustained

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ)</a> remains a leading player in Indonesian retail through its minimarkets with plans to accelerate store opening in 2022</li>
<li>The company reported strong 9M2021 results and we expect a strong seasonal finish to the year as mobility restrictions have relaxed in 4Q2021 further boosting demand</li>
<li>Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ) trades on 24.9x FY22ER PER and 21.7x FY2023E PER versus its 5-year average of 36.7x, making it look attractive from a historical perspective.</li>
</ul>



Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ) remains a leading player in Indonesian retail through its minimarkets with plans to accelerate store opening in 2022
The company reported strong 9M2021 results and we expect a strong seasonal finish to the year as mobility restrictions have relaxed in 4Q2021 further boosting demand
Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ) trades on 24.9x FY22ER PER and 21.7x FY2023E PER versus its 5-year average of 36.7x, making it look attractive from a historical perspective.


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - Back to Expansion Mode

Private Capital Markets

Founded in 2010, Blibli was one of the pioneers of online shopping malls in Indonesia operating under a B2C model rather unlike its competitors, which have adopted a mixed approach with more focus on the C2C marketplace and adding B2C later. It has branched out to B2B, B2B2C, and B2G (government) and its target market is a more affluent consumer versus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokopedia-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24239:1" rel="noopener">Tokopedia</a> and Shopee. Given the private nature of the company, we view BliBli as the Dark Knight of Indonesian e-commerce. 
The company is owned by GDP Ventures which is part of Djarum Group, which owns one of the major tobacco companies in Indonesia as well as a controlling stake in<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ),</a> Indonesia's largest private bank and leader in transactional banking.
BliBli has around 100,000 merchants selling 30,000 local and international brands on the platform covering a total of 16 product different categories.
It has around 18m monthly active users on the platform ranking number five in terms of visitors in 2Q2021, ahead of JD.id and behind <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lazada-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26148:1" rel="noopener">Lazada Group (LAZADA SP)</a>.
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BliBli uses a wide range of payment options including GoPay, which is not surprising since it is a shareholder in<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> Gojek.</a> It has also invested in medical internet provider HaloDoc and took over travel platform Tiket.com in mid-2017.
The company has been bringing more MSMEs onto the platform that produce goods themselves rather than resell items from elsewhere. 
BliBli also offers free deliveries plus a multitude of payment options, with its own in-house wallet called BliPay but also uses a multitude of payment and financing options outlined below.
BliBli presents stiff competition with the other major players, with a strong backer in Djarum, which has deep pockets. It is increasingly diversified in its product offering and has its interests well-aligned with the government, especially with its push to bring MSMEs onto the platform.
The company recently announced that it would buy a 51% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/supra-boga-lestari-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16780:1" rel="noopener">Supra Boga Lestari (RANC IJ)</a>, which operates upscale supermarket chains including Ranch Market, The Gourmet, and Farmers Market. This potentially increases the company's exposure to online groceries. 
<div class="content-highlight">
BliBli is already said to have achieved unicorn status with a valuation of over US$1bn and has appointed advisors Credit Suisse and Morgan Stanley ahead of a potential listing in early 2022 said to be in Jakarta. A valuation above US$1bn should be easily achievable on the first inspection and this IPO will attract the attention of both local and foreign investors.
</div>

Founded in 2010, Blibli was one of the pioneers of online shopping malls in Indonesia operating under a B2C model rather unlike its competitors, which have adopted a mixed approach with more focus on the C2C marketplace and adding B2C later. It has branched out to B2B, B2B2C, and B2G (government) and its target market is a more affluent consumer versus Tokopedia and Shopee. Given the private nature of the company, we view BliBli as the Dark Knight of Indonesian e-commerce. 
The company is owned by GDP Ventures which is part of Djarum Group, which owns one of the major tobacco companies in Indonesia as well as a controlling stake in Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ), Indonesia's largest private bank and leader in transactional banking.
BliBli has around 100,000 merchants selling 30,000 local and international brands on the platform covering a total of 16 product different categories.
It has around 18m monthly active users on the platform ranking number five in terms of visitors in 2Q2021, ahead of JD.id and behind Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) and Lazada Group (LAZADA SP).



BliBli uses a wide range of payment options including GoPay, which is not surprising since it is a shareholder in Gojek. It has also invested in medical internet provider HaloDoc and took over travel platform Tiket.com in mid-2017.
The company has been bringing more MSMEs onto the platform that produce goods themselves rather than resell items from elsewhere. 
BliBli also offers free deliveries plus a multitude of payment options, with its own in-house wallet called BliPay but also uses a multitude of payment and financing options outlined below.
BliBli presents stiff competition with the other major players, with a strong backer in Djarum, which has deep pockets. It is increasingly diversified in its product offering and has its interests well-aligned with the government, especially with its push to bring MSMEs onto the platform.
The company recently announced that it would buy a 51% stake in Supra Boga Lestari (RANC IJ), which operates upscale supermarket chains including Ranch Market, The Gourmet, and Farmers Market. This potentially increases the company's exposure to online groceries. 

BliBli is already said to have achieved unicorn status with a valuation of over US$1bn and has appointed advisors Credit Suisse and Morgan Stanley ahead of a potential listing in early 2022 said to be in Jakarta. A valuation above US$1bn should be easily achievable on the first inspection and this IPO will attract the attention of both local and foreign investors.


Indonesia

DFI Retail Nusantara operates a special retail business in Indonesia, focusing on health and beauty stores under the Guardian brand and home furnishing stores under the IKEA brand. The company aims to provide quality, value, and service to Indonesian consumers through its extensive store network and efficient supply chains. Headquartered in Tangerang Selatan, Indonesia, the company was founded in 1971.

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DFI Retail Nusantara (HERO IJ)

Key Drivers of the Packaged Food Industry

Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Indonesia: Non-Oil Imports Growth Likely to Turn Positive on Gradually Improving Domestic Demand

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually...

Rajan Govil

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - Ongoing Momentum Sustained

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya remains a core retail holding, with its premium valuation justified by its strong growth prospects, with estimated 2-year...

Angus Mackintosh

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - Back to Expansion Mode

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ) remains a leading player in Indonesian retail through its minimarkets with plans to accelerate store...

Angus Mackintosh

BliBli - Enter The Dark Knight

BliBli is the "Dark Knight" of Indonesian e-commerce, given its private nature, strong market presence, and unicorn status. It has plans to IPO in...

Angus Mackintosh

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