Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ESG Premium Anchored: 100% hydro power + FTSE4Good inclusion support Press Metal’s 12× EV/EBITDA multiple, in line with Norsk Hydro.</li>
<li>Commodity Torque: Earnings highly leveraged to LME aluminium (~RM0.2 bn EBITDA shift per US$100/t); current base case assumes US$2,650/t.</li>
<li>Valuation Balance: SoTP fair value MYR 6.5–6.9/share (~10–15% upside); without ESG uplift, fair value reverts to ~MYR 5.0–5.2/share.</li>
</ul>


ESG Premium Anchored: 100% hydro power + FTSE4Good inclusion support Press Metal’s 12× EV/EBITDA multiple, in line with Norsk Hydro.
Commodity Torque: Earnings highly leveraged to LME aluminium (~RM0.2 bn EBITDA shift per US$100/t); current base case assumes US$2,650/t.
Valuation Balance: SoTP fair value MYR 6.5–6.9/share (~10–15% upside); without ESG uplift, fair value reverts to ~MYR 5.0–5.2/share.


Press Metal: ESG Premium Vs. Aluminium Price Torque

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>The past month has witnessed a remarkable shift in India-China relations, with multiple high-profile developments signaling the most significant thaw in bilateral ties since 2020.</li>
<li>Despite the expansion in bilateral commerce, India continues to face a significant trade deficit, especially in pharmaceuticals, where dependence on Chinese imports remains high. </li>
<li>At present, the revived engagement seems to offer greater advantages to Chinese companies than to their Indian counterparts.</li>
</ul>


The past month has witnessed a remarkable shift in India-China relations, with multiple high-profile developments signaling the most significant thaw in bilateral ties since 2020.
Despite the expansion in bilateral commerce, India continues to face a significant trade deficit, especially in pharmaceuticals, where dependence on Chinese imports remains high. 
At present, the revived engagement seems to offer greater advantages to Chinese companies than to their Indian counterparts.


India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-aluminium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1770:1" rel="noopener">National Aluminium (NACL IN)</a> has announced a significant INR 30,000 crore capex over the next five years, its largest in recent history, to expand its core smelting, power generation capabilities.</li>
<li>Targeting an almost doubling of its smelting capacity and securing long-term power supply. This is crucial for NALCO to enhance its competitiveness and achieve the coveted "Maharatna" status by 2030.</li>
<li>This expansion, funded by a mix of internal accruals and debt, positions NALCO for an earnings inflection point, contingent on disciplined execution and favorable long-term commodity cycles.</li>
</ul>



National Aluminium (NACL IN) has announced a significant INR 30,000 crore capex over the next five years, its largest in recent history, to expand its core smelting, power generation capabilities.
Targeting an almost doubling of its smelting capacity and securing long-term power supply. This is crucial for NALCO to enhance its competitiveness and achieve the coveted "Maharatna" status by 2030.
This expansion, funded by a mix of internal accruals and debt, positions NALCO for an earnings inflection point, contingent on disciplined execution and favorable long-term commodity cycles.


The Beat Ideas: Nalco's ₹30,000 Crore Expansion

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Jiaxin International Resources Investment / Equity Capital Markets

Jiaxin International Resources Investment (3858 HK)

Jiaxin International Resources Investment

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiaxin-international-resources-investment-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45065:1" rel="noopener">Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited</a>(JIRI) raised around US$153m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Jiaxin International owns exclusive rights to a globally significant tungsten asset, supported by Jiangxi Copper. Commercial production began in April 2025, with full ramp-up expected by 2027</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s background and pricing in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited(JIRI) raised around US$153m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Jiaxin International owns exclusive rights to a globally significant tungsten asset, supported by Jiangxi Copper. Commercial production began in April 2025, with full ramp-up expected by 2027
We have looked at the company’s background and pricing in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the trading dynamics.


Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO Trading - Decent Demand, Despite Lack of Track Record

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiaxin-international-resources-investment-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45065:1" rel="noopener">Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited</a> (JIRI) is looking to raise around US$153m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Jiaxin International owns exclusive rights to a globally significant tungsten asset, supported by Jiangxi Copper. Commercial production began in April 2025, with full ramp-up expected by 2027.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s background in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the deal pricing.</li>
</ul>



Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited (JIRI) is looking to raise around US$153m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Jiaxin International owns exclusive rights to a globally significant tungsten asset, supported by Jiangxi Copper. Commercial production began in April 2025, with full ramp-up expected by 2027.
We have looked at the company’s background in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the deal pricing.


Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO - No Track Record, Government Supported

India

Hindalco Industries Limited is an Indian aluminium and copper manufacturing company, and a subsidiary of the Aditya Birla Group. It is a major producer of primary aluminium, flat-rolled products, extrusions, and foils, and also manufactures copper cathodes and continuous cast copper rods. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 1958.

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Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN)

Press Metal: ESG Premium Vs. Aluminium Price Torque

Press Metal's ESG focus and inclusion in FTSE4Good drive valuation, with potential upside based on commodity prices and sustainability factors.

Rahul Jain

India & China – Rekindling Brotherhood

India-China relations have seen a notable improvement, but India still struggles with trade deficit and dependence on Chinese imports, giving...

Pranav Bhavsar

The Beat Ideas: Nalco's ₹30,000 Crore Expansion

National Aluminium (NACL IN) plans INR 30,000 crore capex to double smelting capacity and secure long-term power supply, aiming for "Maharatna"...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO Trading - Decent Demand, Despite Lack of Track Record

Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited(JIRI) raised around US$153m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO - No Track Record, Government Supported

Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited (JIRI) is looking to raise around US$153m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Press Metal: ESG Premium Vs. Aluminium Price Torque

​Press Metal's ESG focus and inclusion in FTSE4Good drive valuation, with potential upside based on commodity prices and sustainability factors.

Rahul Jain

India & China – Rekindling Brotherhood

​India-China relations have seen a notable improvement, but India still struggles with trade deficit and dependence on Chinese imports, giving...

Pranav Bhavsar

The Beat Ideas: Nalco's ₹30,000 Crore Expansion

​National Aluminium (NACL IN) plans INR 30,000 crore capex to double smelting capacity and secure long-term power supply, aiming for "Maharatna"...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO Trading - Decent Demand, Despite Lack of Track Record

Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited(JIRI) raised around US$153m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO - No Track Record, Government Supported

Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited (JIRI) is looking to raise around US$153m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Press Metal's ESG focus and inclusion in FTSE4Good drive valuation, with potential upside based on commodity prices and sustainability factors.

India-China relations have seen a notable improvement, but India still struggles with trade deficit and dependence on Chinese imports, giving...

National Aluminium (NACL IN) plans INR 30,000 crore capex to double smelting capacity and secure long-term power supply, aiming for "Maharatna"...