Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

Macroeconomics

The under-performance of Japan's non-IT sector was our focus last time (see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-non-it-industries-overcoming-deflation-not-enough" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:4491">Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough</a> ), where we demonstrated why overcoming deflation alone will not resolve Japan's economic problems.  We observed clear out-performance of the "deflationary" IT vs non-IT sector in terms of productivity.  We then examined the role of Investment-Specific Technology (relative capital vs consumer goods deflation) in productivity growth and found it responsible for…

The under-performance of Japan's non-IT sector was our focus last time (see Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough ), where we demonstrated why overcoming deflation alone will not resolve Japan's economic problems.  We observed clear out-performance of the "deflationary" IT vs non-IT sector in terms of productivity.  We then examined the role of Investment-Specific Technology (relative capital vs consumer goods deflation) in productivity growth and found it responsible for…

Overcoming Deflation Is Not Enough Part II: Japanese Services

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Fukuoka Financial Group / Technical Analysis

Chartonics webcast Wednesday 31 August 2016Japan stock long playsTo view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/GHtat5tVz" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/GHtat5tVz</a> 3:17 min.<div>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/012/504/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1472616736" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="12504"><figcaption class="figcaption">Long Japan stocks plays</figcaption></figure> 
</div>Our call on a weaker JPY puts into play Yen sensitive stocks paritulalry since the Nikkie overall remains rather boxed (prefer to load up on September weakness).<div>SMFG (8316) - Breakout today above 3,500 . Long from 3,620 with ST dip swing risk to 3,500. ST rally target at 3,900 representing MT inflection resistance above which we would…</div>

Chartonics webcast Wednesday 31 August 2016Japan stock long playsTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/GHtat5tVz 3:17 min.
Long Japan stocks plays 
Our call on a weaker JPY puts into play Yen sensitive stocks paritulalry since the Nikkie overall remains rather boxed (prefer to load up on September weakness).SMFG (8316) - Breakout today above 3,500 . Long from 3,620 with ST dip swing risk to 3,500. ST rally target at 3,900 representing MT inflection resistance above which we would…

Japan TMT Analyst

Pelham Smithers

Market Intel on Asian Tech with a Japan focus

Pelham Smithers Associates

Founded in 2009, Pelham Smithers Associates (PSA) provides market intelligence on Asian technology, focusing in particular on Japan. The industries covered by our team of specialists are: consumer electronics, telecomms, pharmaceuticals, internet, electronic parts and materials, automotive technology, retail and capital goods. 

Research is provided by the following:
Pelham Smithers: Macro, consumer electronics, telecoms & pharma
Joel Scheiman: Electronics materials / components
Julie Boote: Autos
Will Nestuk: Capital goods, machinery & transportation equipment parts
Thao Nguyen: eCommerce, internet content, marketing & advertising

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of the stock, but few others. However, it could have considerable importance for the Japanese stock market in this era of negative interest rates. Although share buybacks are common enough in Japan, they normally represent 1~2% of shares outstanding, not ten times that amount. Melco Holdings, a company probably best known for being regularly confused with…

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of the stock, but few others. However, it could have considerable importance for the Japanese stock market in this era of negative interest rates. Although share buybacks are common enough in Japan, they normally represent 1~2% of shares outstanding, not ten times that amount. Melco Holdings, a company probably best known for being regularly confused with…

Melco Holdings BuyBack: Start of a Trend?

Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist, Cameron Design

Jay Cameron

Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist

Cameron Design

We specialize in financial products and volatility. Our strategies balance speed, data, and risk control to capture opportunities across global markets. Our research leverages AI and data analytics to continuously refine our algorithms and adapt to evolving market dynamics.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A compelling investment strategy focused on high-quality Japanese equities, selected for strong financial health and growth prospects. This approach targets companies offering stability and long-term appreciation.</li>
<li>The portfolio emphasizes industrial, automation, pharma, and technology hardware sectors, balanced with a tactical volatility trading approach. This strategy aims to enhance returns while managing short-term market fluctuations.</li>
<li>Otsuka Holdings is highlighted as a core pharma pick. Screen and Hirose Electric are strong value picks in manufacturing and electronic tech, contributing to the portfolio's quality and value focus.</li>
</ul>


A compelling investment strategy focused on high-quality Japanese equities, selected for strong financial health and growth prospects. This approach targets companies offering stability and long-term appreciation.
The portfolio emphasizes industrial, automation, pharma, and technology hardware sectors, balanced with a tactical volatility trading approach. This strategy aims to enhance returns while managing short-term market fluctuations.
Otsuka Holdings is highlighted as a core pharma pick. Screen and Hirose Electric are strong value picks in manufacturing and electronic tech, contributing to the portfolio's quality and value focus.


Otsuka, Hirose Electric, Screen, Advantest: The Value Seeker Portfolio and NK Options

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas, Azabu Research

Michael Allen

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas

Azabu Research

Azabu Research is a publishing and consulting firm focused on distressed equities in the Japanese market. We specialize in turnaround strategies, corporate combinations, divestitures, and restructuring.

Publisher of the Tokyo Turnaround Letter, which conducts the most thorough research possible of publicly available information, including forensic tests for fraudulent overstatement of assets and understatement of liabilities, as well as rigorous market and industry analysis to assess the underlying strengths of the company’s products or services, the appropriateness of the company’s turnaround strategy, and the skill of its current management team. The average length of a report exceeds 25 pages of text and tables, excluding any disclosures or executive summaries.

We have more than 30 years of experience in applying this process to distressed equities in Japan. Additionally, subscribers have free access to detailed, yet easily navigated earnings models for the target company as well as the top five comparable companies, and unlimited access to the analyst for follow-up questions.

Azabu Research also conducts be-spoke research on a project basis, and provides consulting services to companies looking to restructure, divest, make acquisitions, go public, or improve investor sentiment toward their stock.

Independent Research and Consulting Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiyo Yuden underperformed its peers in electronic components by 29% over the past year, but its change in operating profit margin should outperform peers by 68% in the current year.</li>
<li>Exposure to the U.S. is less than 7% of direct sales, but probably 25% including indirect exposure. Still, based on supply/demand analysis, we think Yuden is probably tariff proof.  </li>
<li>While rivals have prioritized high-margin device modules to offset component sales declines, Yuden doubled down on its core capacitor and inductor strengths and appears to be coming out ahead.</li>
</ul>


Taiyo Yuden underperformed its peers in electronic components by 29% over the past year, but its change in operating profit margin should outperform peers by 68% in the current year.
Exposure to the U.S. is less than 7% of direct sales, but probably 25% including indirect exposure. Still, based on supply/demand analysis, we think Yuden is probably tariff proof.  
While rivals have prioritized high-margin device modules to offset component sales declines, Yuden doubled down on its core capacitor and inductor strengths and appears to be coming out ahead.


Taiyo Yuden (6976):  A Slightly Different Path to Massively Higher Margins

Japan

HIROSE ELECTRIC CO., LTD. develops and sells electronic equipment, specializing in connectors.  The Company's products include circular, rectangular and ribbon cables, printed circuit boards, integrated circuits, PC cards, nylon boards, and board connectors.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hirose Electric (6806 JP)

Overcoming Deflation Is Not Enough Part II: Japanese Services

The under-performance of Japan's non-IT sector was our focus last time (see Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough ), where we...

Naomi Fink

Japan Bullish Breakout Stock Bets

Chartonics webcast Wednesday 31 August 2016Japan stock long playsTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/GHtat5tVz 3:17 min. Our...

Thomas Schroeder

Melco Holdings BuyBack: Start of a Trend?

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of...

Pelham Smithers Associates

Otsuka, Hirose Electric, Screen, Advantest: The Value Seeker Portfolio and NK Options

High quality value portfolio for stability and long-term growth, with focus on industrial, automation, pharma, technology hardware sectors. Otsuka...

Jay Cameron

Taiyo Yuden (6976): A Slightly Different Path to Massively Higher Margins

Taiyo Yuden's focus on core strengths is paying off with a projected 68% increase in operating profit this year. Low U.S. exposure makes it likely...

Michael Allen

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Overcoming Deflation Is Not Enough Part II: Japanese Services

The under-performance of Japan's non-IT sector was our focus last time (see Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough ), where we...

Naomi Fink

Japan Bullish Breakout Stock Bets

Chartonics webcast Wednesday 31 August 2016Japan stock long playsTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/GHtat5tVz 3:17 min. Our...

Thomas Schroeder

Melco Holdings BuyBack: Start of a Trend?

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of...

Pelham Smithers Associates

Otsuka, Hirose Electric, Screen, Advantest: The Value Seeker Portfolio and NK Options

High quality value portfolio for stability and long-term growth, with focus on industrial, automation, pharma, technology hardware sectors. Otsuka...

Jay Cameron

Taiyo Yuden (6976): A Slightly Different Path to Massively Higher Margins

​Taiyo Yuden's focus on core strengths is paying off with a projected 68% increase in operating profit this year. Low U.S. exposure makes it likely...

Michael Allen

Taiyo Yuden's focus on core strengths is paying off with a projected 68% increase in operating profit this year. Low U.S. exposure makes it likely...