IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 27 March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skyworth-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10941:1" rel="noopener">Skyworth Group Limited (751 HK)</a> launched a conditional buyback to acquire a maximum of 350.0m shares (15.67% of outstanding) at HK$3.11, a 15.2% premium to undisturbed price.</li>
<li>Unlike the previous buybacks, the controlling shareholder can vote. Therefore, while the buyback offer is unattractive, the shareholder vote will pass. </li>
<li>Based on the irrevocables, a 100% share minority participation rate implies a minimum proration of 37.84%. The actual proration was around twice the minimum proration for the previous two. </li>
</ul>


On 27 March, Skyworth Group Limited (751 HK) launched a conditional buyback to acquire a maximum of 350.0m shares (15.67% of outstanding) at HK$3.11, a 15.2% premium to undisturbed price.
Unlike the previous buybacks, the controlling shareholder can vote. Therefore, while the buyback offer is unattractive, the shareholder vote will pass. 
Based on the irrevocables, a 100% share minority participation rate implies a minimum proration of 37.84%. The actual proration was around twice the minimum proration for the previous two. 


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>'s net profit grew 20.1% in FY24, there is a marked slowdown in 2H24 (+7.4%) vs. 1H24 (+37.5%), suggesting increased operating pressure. </li>
<li>North American sales slowed to 10.7% growth in 2H24, from 13% in 1H24. The deteriorating financial and operating performance affirmed that privatisation is an exit opportunity.</li>
<li>Its PER discount (on privatiation price) to peers has widened to 35-38%, compared with 25-30% in Dec. Its US exposure makes it unable to reap benefits from China market stimulus.</li>
</ul>


While Vesync (2148 HK)'s net profit grew 20.1% in FY24, there is a marked slowdown in 2H24 (+7.4%) vs. 1H24 (+37.5%), suggesting increased operating pressure. 
North American sales slowed to 10.7% growth in 2H24, from 13% in 1H24. The deteriorating financial and operating performance affirmed that privatisation is an exit opportunity.
Its PER discount (on privatiation price) to peers has widened to 35-38%, compared with 25-30% in Dec. Its US exposure makes it unable to reap benefits from China market stimulus.


Vesync (2148 HK): What Did the FY24 Results Tell?

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China-made home appliance exports have exceeded $100 billion for four straight years as manufacturers in the country have pushed into the high-end market as part of their global expansion efforts.</li>
<li>Home appliance shipments from China rose 14.8% last year to $128.6 billion, according to an annual report released last month by the China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronic Products (CCCME).</li>
<li>Zhou Nan, secretary-general of the CCCME’s home appliance branch, called the pace “incredible.</li>
</ul>


China-made home appliance exports have exceeded $100 billion for four straight years as manufacturers in the country have pushed into the high-end market as part of their global expansion efforts.
Home appliance shipments from China rose 14.8% last year to $128.6 billion, according to an annual report released last month by the China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronic Products (CCCME).
Zhou Nan, secretary-general of the CCCME’s home appliance branch, called the pace “incredible.


China’s Home Appliance Exports Grow as Makers Eye Emerging, High-End Markets 

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Home appliance / China’s home appliance exports grow as makers eye emerging, high-end markets</li><li>Stocks /: China’s Two Sessions report boosts investor confidence, as stocks upgraded to ‘overweight’</li><li>Power /In Depth: Chemical plant with its own power grid proves viability of disruptive model</li></ul>

Home appliance / China’s home appliance exports grow as makers eye emerging, high-end marketsStocks /: China’s Two Sessions report boosts investor confidence, as stocks upgraded to ‘overweight’Power /In Depth: Chemical plant with its own power grid proves viability of disruptive model

CX Daily: Home Appliance Exports Grow as Makers Eye Emerging, High-End Markets 

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>'s major shareholders proposed to privatise at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium to the pre-suspension price. This is the same as we calculated using the 3-year average P/B. </li>
<li>At such a price, it will sit at 7.6x PER for FY25F, a level that it only touched briefly 3 times in the last two years. </li>
<li>This PER is at a 25-30% discount to the sector and justified by its smaller size and lesser diversification. All in all, the proposed price looks fair and reasonable.</li>
</ul>



Vesync (2148 HK)'s major shareholders proposed to privatise at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium to the pre-suspension price. This is the same as we calculated using the 3-year average P/B. 
At such a price, it will sit at 7.6x PER for FY25F, a level that it only touched briefly 3 times in the last two years. 
This PER is at a 25-30% discount to the sector and justified by its smaller size and lesser diversification. All in all, the proposed price looks fair and reasonable.


Vesync (2148 HK): Proposed Privatisation at HK$5.60 Fair and Reasonable

China

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells refrigerators, air conditioners, freezers, and product components.

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. H (921 HK)

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. H

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. H (921 HK)

Skyworth (751 HK): Another Buyback

The buyback is likely a precursor to an eventual privatisation offer. Although the offer is unattractive, the vote will pass. The minimum proration...

Arun George

Vesync (2148 HK): What Did the FY24 Results Tell?

Vesync's profit growth slows in 2H24, indicating increased operating pressure and affirming privatisation as an exit opportunity. Its non-China...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China’s Home Appliance Exports Grow as Makers Eye Emerging, High-End Markets

China-made home appliance exports have exceeded $100 billion for four straight years as manufacturers in the country have pushed into the high-end...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: Home Appliance Exports Grow as Makers Eye Emerging, High-End Markets

Home appliance / China’s home appliance exports grow as makers eye emerging, high-end markets China-made home appliance exports have exceeded $100...

Caixin Global

Vesync (2148 HK): Proposed Privatisation at HK$5.60 Fair and Reasonable

Vesync's major shareholders propose to privatise it at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium. We consider this a fair and reasonable price based on PER, P/B,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Skyworth (751 HK): Another Buyback

The buyback is likely a precursor to an eventual privatisation offer. Although the offer is unattractive, the vote will pass. The minimum proration...

Arun George

Vesync (2148 HK): What Did the FY24 Results Tell?

​Vesync's profit growth slows in 2H24, indicating increased operating pressure and affirming privatisation as an exit opportunity. Its non-China...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China’s Home Appliance Exports Grow as Makers Eye Emerging, High-End Markets

China-made home appliance exports have exceeded $100 billion for four straight years as manufacturers in the country have pushed into the high-end...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: Home Appliance Exports Grow as Makers Eye Emerging, High-End Markets

Home appliance / China’s home appliance exports grow as makers eye emerging, high-end markets China-made home appliance exports have exceeded $100...

Caixin Global

Vesync (2148 HK): Proposed Privatisation at HK$5.60 Fair and Reasonable

​Vesync's major shareholders propose to privatise it at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium. We consider this a fair and reasonable price based on PER, P/B,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Vesync's profit growth slows in 2H24, indicating increased operating pressure and affirming privatisation as an exit opportunity. Its non-China...

Vesync's major shareholders propose to privatise it at HK$5.60, a 33.3% premium. We consider this a fair and reasonable price based on PER, P/B,...