Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h3>What’s Original?</h3>
In this original, we have discussed some of the key aspects highlighted in Kishida’s policy statements along with the current status of these policies and companies that are likely to benefit.

What’s Original?
In this original, we have discussed some of the key aspects highlighted in Kishida’s policy statements along with the current status of these policies and companies that are likely to benefit.

Kishida as Prime Minister: The Path Ahead

Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>
Our Q3-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market-cap-weighted average price return of 2% and a simple average decline of 0.2%.</li>
<li>
Out of the 34 stocks that appeared in our Q3-2021 screen, 15 stocks saw an average share price decline of 11.5%, whilst 19 stocks appreciated on average by 14%. The two biggest declining stock  were down 25% and 19% respectively.</li>
<li>Our Q4 2021 screen, with 38 names (up from 34 seen in Q3 and Q2 2021) delivers an interesting composition this quarter, </li>
<li>
As in the previous few quarters, we anticipate the possibility of a risk of deteriorating credit metrics during the next few quarters: Q4 2021’s Altman Z score rests at 1.23, which is just up on Q3 2021’s level of 1.19.</li>
</ul>



Our Q3-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market-cap-weighted average price return of 2% and a simple average decline of 0.2%.

Out of the 34 stocks that appeared in our Q3-2021 screen, 15 stocks saw an average share price decline of 11.5%, whilst 19 stocks appreciated on average by 14%. The two biggest declining stock  were down 25% and 19% respectively.
Our Q4 2021 screen, with 38 names (up from 34 seen in Q3 and Q2 2021) delivers an interesting composition this quarter, 

As in the previous few quarters, we anticipate the possibility of a risk of deteriorating credit metrics during the next few quarters: Q4 2021’s Altman Z score rests at 1.23, which is just up on Q3 2021’s level of 1.19.


Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

While modern pharmacology has been able to produce new medicines to treat or manage most diseases, these drugs often cause unpredictable side effects, which sometimes lead to the development of secondary diseases, especially for chronic conditions. One possible alternative to the problem of sustained use of drugs is electro, radiation, and ultrasound therapy. 
In the area of electrotherapy, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boston-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11115:1" rel="noopener">Boston Scientific (BSX US)</a> are the clear leaders by far, with dominance in the number of innovations, positive mentions, and impact of their innovations. However, with the increased use of electrotherapy for pain management and physiotherapy smaller players with unique products now compete in specific silos. Three small-cap names that screen well technologically are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nevro-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2218:1" rel="noopener">Nevro Corp (NVRO US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuvasive-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8384:1" rel="noopener">Nuvasive Inc (NUVA US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integer-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18313:1" rel="noopener">Greatbatch Inc (ITGR US)</a>.
In Radiotherapy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siemens-healthineers-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29221:1" rel="noopener">Siemens Healthineers AG (SHL GR)</a>  leads the field.  Surprisingly a private company Aerin Medical which provides treatment options for chronic nasal conditions and is a play on rising allergies and sleep apnoea comes in second
In Ultrasound therapy, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/johnson-johnson" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1132:1" rel="noopener">Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US)</a> tops the list. A small-cap company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/butterfly-network-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33050:1" rel="noopener">Butterfly Network Inc (BFLY US)</a> prima facie seems to have products that could potentially change the way ultrasound scans are performed as their technologies allow for use of small portable equipment in conjunction with a smartphone or tablet to create an ultrasound machine.

While modern pharmacology has been able to produce new medicines to treat or manage most diseases, these drugs often cause unpredictable side effects, which sometimes lead to the development of secondary diseases, especially for chronic conditions. One possible alternative to the problem of sustained use of drugs is electro, radiation, and ultrasound therapy. 
In the area of electrotherapy, Medtronic Plc (MDT US) and Boston Scientific (BSX US) are the clear leaders by far, with dominance in the number of innovations, positive mentions, and impact of their innovations. However, with the increased use of electrotherapy for pain management and physiotherapy smaller players with unique products now compete in specific silos. Three small-cap names that screen well technologically are Nevro Corp (NVRO US), Nuvasive Inc (NUVA US), and Greatbatch Inc (ITGR US).
In Radiotherapy Siemens Healthineers AG (SHL GR)  leads the field.  Surprisingly a private company Aerin Medical which provides treatment options for chronic nasal conditions and is a play on rising allergies and sleep apnoea comes in second
In Ultrasound therapy, Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US) tops the list. A small-cap company Butterfly Network Inc (BFLY US) prima facie seems to have products that could potentially change the way ultrasound scans are performed as their technologies allow for use of small portable equipment in conjunction with a smartphone or tablet to create an ultrasound machine.

Stock Ideas Based on Data Mined from Technical Publications - Electro, Radio, & Ultrasound Therapies

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jul 10th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD30,748m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Taiyo Yuden, Fast Retailing, Advantest, Kioxia, Tokyo Electron, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec, Valor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jul 10th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD30,748m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Taiyo Yuden, Fast Retailing, Advantest, Kioxia, Tokyo Electron, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec, Valor.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 10th): SoftBank, Taiyo Yuden, Fast Retailing, Advantest, Kioxia

Equity Capital Markets

Sieyuan Electric Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sieyuan Electric, a power equipment manufacturer, is seeking an A+H listing. CITIC is the sole sponsor.</li>
<li>We look at the company's core segments: switchgear, transformers and protection and automation.</li>
<li>We discuss our preliminary thoughts on the company's valuation based on A-H premium.</li>
</ul>


Sieyuan Electric, a power equipment manufacturer, is seeking an A+H listing. CITIC is the sole sponsor.
We look at the company's core segments: switchgear, transformers and protection and automation.
We discuss our preliminary thoughts on the company's valuation based on A-H premium.


Sieyuan Electric (思源电气) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Japan

Hitachi, Ltd. manufactures communications and electronic equipment, heavy electrical and industrial machinery, and consumer electronics.  The Company's diverse product line ranges from nuclear power systems to kitchen appliances. Hitachi also operates subsidiaries in the wire and cable, metal, and chemical industries.

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Hitachi Ltd Adr (HTHIY US)

Kishida as Prime Minister: The Path Ahead

In this original, we have discussed some of the key aspects highlighted in Kishida’s policy statements along with the current status of these...

Mio Kato

Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

As we move through into Q1 2022, we expect to see volatility around highly priced & leveraged names. This screen is a key starting point towards...

David Lepper

Stock Ideas Based on Data Mined from Technical Publications - Electro, Radio, & Ultrasound Therapies

The report identifies companies best positioned in Electro, Radiation, and Ultrasound therapeutic technologies. These therapies are a safer...

Pyari Menon

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 10th): SoftBank, Taiyo Yuden, Fast Retailing, Advantest, Kioxia

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Taiyo Yuden (6976 JP), Fast Retailing (9983...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sieyuan Electric (思源电气) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Sieyuan Electric is seeking an A+H listing. In this note, we look at the company's business, its industry context and provide early valuation...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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