IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nine months after the offer was announced, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-natural-gas-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16456:1" rel="noopener">ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH)</a> has satisfied the regulatory precondition related to its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> offer. </li>
<li>The remaining precondition is approval from CSRC and HKEx, which are low-risk. The long stop date is 13 March 2026, which may have to be extended.</li>
<li>The appraised offer HK$80.00 value is the key debating point. Based on several methodologies, I estimate a realistic offer value of HK$78.53 (range of HK$71.85 to HK$89.72).</li>
</ul>


Nine months after the offer was announced, ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH) has satisfied the regulatory precondition related to its ENN Energy (2688 HK) offer. 
The remaining precondition is approval from CSRC and HKEx, which are low-risk. The long stop date is 13 March 2026, which may have to be extended.
The appraised offer HK$80.00 value is the key debating point. Based on several methodologies, I estimate a realistic offer value of HK$78.53 (range of HK$71.85 to HK$89.72).


ENN Energy (2688 HK): Regulatory Precondition Satisfied

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Single stock options showed early signs of stress, with both volumes and implied vols moving higher as Put trading outpaced Calls.</li>
<li>Breadth was weak across single names, with only 3 of 11 sectors trading higher.</li>
<li>We provide a table of earnings events for the week ahead.</li>
</ul>


Single stock options showed early signs of stress, with both volumes and implied vols moving higher as Put trading outpaced Calls.
Breadth was weak across single names, with only 3 of 11 sectors trading higher.
We provide a table of earnings events for the week ahead.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Oct 13 – 17): Option Stress Builds, Breadth Weakens

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-natural-gas-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16456:1" rel="noopener">ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH)</a> has made steady progress in satisfying the precondition for its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> offer. On 22 August, NDRC approval was obtained. </li>
<li>The appraised offer HK$80.00 value is the key debating point. Based on several methodologies, I estimate a realistic offer value of HK$74.44 (range of HK$67.84 to HK$83.64). </li>
<li>The protest votes for director re-elections at the 23 May AGM are a risk. On balance, the scheme vote should pass as the offer is reasonable and strategically sensible.   </li>
</ul>



ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH) has made steady progress in satisfying the precondition for its ENN Energy (2688 HK) offer. On 22 August, NDRC approval was obtained. 
The appraised offer HK$80.00 value is the key debating point. Based on several methodologies, I estimate a realistic offer value of HK$74.44 (range of HK$67.84 to HK$83.64). 
The protest votes for director re-elections at the 23 May AGM are a risk. On balance, the scheme vote should pass as the offer is reasonable and strategically sensible.   


ENN Energy (2688 HK): Chipping Away at the Precondition

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Ntes, HSBC, Zto Express, Midea, CCB, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining, Clp.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Ntes, HSBC, Zto Express, Midea, CCB, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining, Clp.


HSI Index Earning Revision (Jun): Ntes, HSBC, Zto Express, Midea, CCB, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

Korea Electric Power (KEPCO) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tariff turmoil crashed S&amp;P500 by 18% and MSCI Asia ex Japan by 13% over the past couple of weeks. But even amid this carnage, a handful of stocks have appreciated.</li>
<li>These "genuine defensives" are predominantly from utilities, telecommunications and consumer staples. HK/China and Korea dominate with one entry from Singapore. They have cheap valuations, stable earnings estimates and revenue visibility.</li>
<li>In addition to eleven defensives we highlight, there are other stocks that have appreciated - notably few HK pharmaceutical stocks HK and 18 Indian stocks. They are not cheap, however.</li>
</ul>


Tariff turmoil crashed S&amp;P500 by 18% and MSCI Asia ex Japan by 13% over the past couple of weeks. But even amid this carnage, a handful of stocks have appreciated.
These "genuine defensives" are predominantly from utilities, telecommunications and consumer staples. HK/China and Korea dominate with one entry from Singapore. They have cheap valuations, stable earnings estimates and revenue visibility.
In addition to eleven defensives we highlight, there are other stocks that have appreciated - notably few HK pharmaceutical stocks HK and 18 Indian stocks. They are not cheap, however.


Asian Equities: A Few Genuine Defensives in This Bloodbath

Hong Kong

The Hong Kong and China Gas Company Limited is the sole provider of town gas in Hong Kong, engaging in gas production and distribution, marketing of gas appliances, and comprehensive after-sales services. The company has diversified its operations to include city-gas projects, water supply, waste treatment, renewable energy, telecommunications, and property development in Hong Kong and mainland China. It was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in North Point, Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
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Hong Kong and China Gas (3 HK)

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Regulatory Precondition Satisfied

Nine months in, the regulatory precondition was finally satisfied. Based on several methodologies, I estimate a realistic offer value of HK$78.53...

Arun George

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Oct 13 – 17): Option Stress Builds, Breadth Weakens

Single stock options are showing signs of stress as Put trading surpasses Calls, while only 3 of 11 sectors are trading higher. Upcoming earnings...

John Ley

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Chipping Away at the Precondition

NDRC approval suggests that the precondition will be satisfied. The appraised value (HK$80.00) is a key sticking point. I estimate a realistic...

Arun George

HSI Index Earning Revision (Jun): Ntes, HSBC, Zto Express, Midea, CCB, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Ntes, HSBC, Zto Express, Midea, CCB, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining, Clp.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian Equities: A Few Genuine Defensives in This Bloodbath

Despite tariff turmoil crashing markets, a few stocks in utilities, telecom & consumer staples have appreciated. These genuine defensives have...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Regulatory Precondition Satisfied

Nine months in, the regulatory precondition was finally satisfied. Based on several methodologies, I estimate a realistic offer value of HK$78.53...

Arun George

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Oct 13 – 17): Option Stress Builds, Breadth Weakens

​Single stock options are showing signs of stress as Put trading surpasses Calls, while only 3 of 11 sectors are trading higher. Upcoming earnings...

John Ley

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Chipping Away at the Precondition

NDRC approval suggests that the precondition will be satisfied. The appraised value (HK$80.00) is a key sticking point. I estimate a realistic...

Arun George

HSI Index Earning Revision (Jun): Ntes, HSBC, Zto Express, Midea, CCB, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Ntes, HSBC, Zto Express, Midea, CCB, Shenzhou Intl, Zijin Mining, Clp.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian Equities: A Few Genuine Defensives in This Bloodbath

​Despite tariff turmoil crashing markets, a few stocks in utilities, telecom & consumer staples have appreciated. These genuine defensives have...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Single stock options are showing signs of stress as Put trading surpasses Calls, while only 3 of 11 sectors are trading higher. Upcoming earnings...

Despite tariff turmoil crashing markets, a few stocks in utilities, telecom & consumer staples have appreciated. These genuine defensives have...