Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There have only been 7 new listings on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> in the third quarter of the year so far.</li>
<li>Of those stocks, only <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keep-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35947:1" rel="noopener">Keep Inc (3650 HK)</a> has a chance of being added to the Hang Seng Composite Index in December and then into Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keep-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35947:1" rel="noopener">Keep Inc (3650 HK)</a> is the largest online fitness platform in China and the name recognition could bring in substantial flows via Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
</ul>


There have only been 7 new listings on the HKEX (388 HK) in the third quarter of the year so far.
Of those stocks, only Keep Inc (3650 HK) has a chance of being added to the Hang Seng Composite Index in December and then into Southbound Stock Connect.

Keep Inc (3650 HK) is the largest online fitness platform in China and the name recognition could bring in substantial flows via Southbound Stock Connect.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Low Probability Add in December

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 8th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in ICBC, Xiaomi, Petrochina, CCB, Li Auto, Baba, Aac Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 8th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in ICBC, Xiaomi, Petrochina, CCB, Li Auto, Baba, Aac Tech.


HK Short Interest Weekly: ICBC, Xiaomi, Petrochina, CCB, Li Auto, Baba, Aac Tech

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 1st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, Li Auto, Baba, China Mobile, Evergrande.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 1st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Tencent, Li Auto, Baba, China Mobile, Evergrande.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Li Auto, Baba, China Mobile, Evergrande

<ul>
<li>With no stocks in inclusion or deletion zone, we do not expect any constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of a touch below 1% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$255m.</li>
<li>The impact on the stocks is relatively small for now but that could increase till the end of November when the stocks will be capped.</li>
</ul>


With no stocks in inclusion or deletion zone, we do not expect any constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in December.
Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of a touch below 1% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$255m.
The impact on the stocks is relatively small for now but that could increase till the end of November when the stocks will be capped.


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$255m in December

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Meituan, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, HKEX.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Meituan, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, HKEX.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (August): $8.8bn Outflows

Hong Kong

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Limited owns and operates the stock exchange, futures exchange, and their related clearing houses in Hong Kong.  The Company provides the trading platforms for a range of cash and derivatives products and the facilities for processing trades.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

HKEX (388 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Low Probability Add in December

Only Keep (3650 HK) had a chance of being added to the HSCI in Dec. Coming in right at the cutoff, price moves over the next two weeks are...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: ICBC, Xiaomi, Petrochina, CCB, Li Auto, Baba, Aac Tech

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 8th and highlight short interest changes in ICBC, Xiaomi, Petrochina,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Li Auto, Baba, China Mobile, Evergrande

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 1st and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, Li Auto, Baba,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$255m in December

We do not see any constituents changing in December. Capping will lead to a one-way turnover of 1% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$255m....

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (August): $8.8bn Outflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for the month of August and highlight flows for Meituan, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, HKEX.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)