Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
</ul>


Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Central Banks Decide

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

<ul>
<li>Our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-hang-seng-index-hsi-weekly-weak-bounce-resistance-analysis" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previous insight</a> correctly predicted the current pullback for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI)</a>, now let's analyze MRM WEEKLY support prices, to identify when/where a bounce could begin.</li>
<li>The 17835-17105 support price area is where the index should stop and bounce, however depending on the duration of the pullback the % correction could vary wildly.</li>
<li>If the index is about to bounce, it should bounce this week or the next, if it falls &gt;3 weeks down, it could enter a downward spiral towards 15707.</li>
</ul>


Our previous insight correctly predicted the current pullback for the Hang Seng Index (HSI), now let's analyze MRM WEEKLY support prices, to identify when/where a bounce could begin.
The 17835-17105 support price area is where the index should stop and bounce, however depending on the duration of the pullback the % correction could vary wildly.
If the index is about to bounce, it should bounce this week or the next, if it falls &gt;3 weeks down, it could enter a downward spiral towards 15707.


EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) Post-Typhoon WEEKLY Trend Analysis

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Slowing Growth

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a> reversal was overdue, but the bounce looks weak: so far it did not even reach Q1 resistance on week 1 and on week 2 (current).</li>
<li>Resistance level to watch where the current bounce could end is 18874, or any price around that area at Close, at the end of this week. High probability SHORT.</li>
<li>If some unexpected catalyst pushes the index to rally, look for resistance at 19459 on week 3, we think this won't happen but a tail is always possible.</li>
</ul>



HSI reversal was overdue, but the bounce looks weak: so far it did not even reach Q1 resistance on week 1 and on week 2 (current).
Resistance level to watch where the current bounce could end is 18874, or any price around that area at Close, at the end of this week. High probability SHORT.
If some unexpected catalyst pushes the index to rally, look for resistance at 19459 on week 3, we think this won't happen but a tail is always possible.


EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) WEEKLY Weak Bounce: Resistance Analysis

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI)</a> closed down last week (CC=-1), briefly touching OVERSOLD territory, it may close higher this week. </li>
<li>The HSI trend pattern currently identified with the Market Reversal Matrix (MRM) is quite bullish, on average.</li>
<li>
Support levels to go LONG are between 19367 (Q2/Median) and Q3 at 19021.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed down last week (CC=-1), briefly touching OVERSOLD territory, it may close higher this week. 
The HSI trend pattern currently identified with the Market Reversal Matrix (MRM) is quite bullish, on average.

Support levels to go LONG are between 19367 (Q2/Median) and Q3 at 19021.


EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) WEEKLY LONG: Support Levels and Probability

Hong Kong

The Hang Seng Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of a selection of companies from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The components of the index are divided into four subindices: Commerce and Industry, Finance, Utilities, and Properties. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of July 31, 1964.

Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Central Banks Decide

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) Post-Typhoon WEEKLY Trend Analysis

Analysis of Hang Seng Index WEEKLY support prices. Identification of areas for potential bounce and timing. If the index does not bounce within 2...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Slowing Growth

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) WEEKLY Weak Bounce: Resistance Analysis

The Hang Seng Index reversal was overdue, but the bounce looks weak so far (has not even reached Q1 resistance). MRM SHORT Level at 18874, high...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) WEEKLY LONG: Support Levels and Probability

Market Reversal Matrix (MRM)'s analysis of the Hang Seng Index WEEKLY support and levels + probability for the coming week.

Nico Rosti

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Central Banks Decide

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) Post-Typhoon WEEKLY Trend Analysis

Analysis of Hang Seng Index WEEKLY support prices. Identification of areas for potential bounce and timing. If the index does not bounce within 2...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Slowing Growth

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) WEEKLY Weak Bounce: Resistance Analysis

​The Hang Seng Index reversal was overdue, but the bounce looks weak so far (has not even reached Q1 resistance). MRM SHORT Level at 18874, high...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) WEEKLY LONG: Support Levels and Probability

Market Reversal Matrix (MRM)'s analysis of the Hang Seng Index WEEKLY support and levels + probability for the coming week.

Nico Rosti

The Hang Seng Index reversal was overdue, but the bounce looks weak so far (has not even reached Q1 resistance). MRM SHORT Level at 18874, high...