Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>HSI is a top short vehicle and continues to show a heavy bias going into a cycle peak due in March. Short bounce attempts into March.</li>
<li>Hong Kong tech index is pressuring key support with a fresh down leg expected to the sub 5k level. Bear weight on the HSI. Bearish triangle to break lower.</li>
<li>HSI re test on 23,100 expected in March with risk to 22,200. 26k is the ideal short barrier.</li>
</ul>


HSI is a top short vehicle and continues to show a heavy bias going into a cycle peak due in March. Short bounce attempts into March.
Hong Kong tech index is pressuring key support with a fresh down leg expected to the sub 5k level. Bear weight on the HSI. Bearish triangle to break lower.
HSI re test on 23,100 expected in March with risk to 22,200. 26k is the ideal short barrier.


HK Tech Index Pressure Bleed into HSI Fresh Sell Zone

House of Market Insights, Market Radar

Market Radar

House of Market Insights

Quick market updates and lot of ideas for your investments from a multi-asset portfolio manager working for a family office.

Quick Market Updates

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>After almost 2 years of rising stock prices, and falling yields, 2022 started in a frustrating way.</li><li><p>Most of the equity indices are negative YTD, and after the big fall in the first 3 weeks of the year, the reaction has been weak. Indeed many indices have been flat in the last weeks.</p></li><li><p>Of course markets are now focused on 3 main themes: earnings, inflation and geopolitics.</p></li></ul>

After almost 2 years of rising stock prices, and falling yields, 2022 started in a frustrating way.Most of the equity indices are negative YTD, and after the big fall in the first 3 weeks of the year, the reaction has been weak. Indeed many indices have been flat in the last weeks.Of course markets are now focused on 3 main themes: earnings, inflation and geopolitics.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.</li>
<li>An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.</li>
<li>Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.
An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.
Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/autohome-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33492:1" rel="noopener">Autohome (2518 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weimob-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27394:1" rel="noopener">Weimob Inc. (2013 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-elong-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng-Elong Holdings Ltd (780 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a>. </li>
<li>A few changes have been made from the way stocks are treated to ensure the inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> in the index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> has been included at a much higher float than what it should be and this could take the stock higher in the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>



SenseTime Group (20 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK) and XPeng (9868 HK) replace Autohome (2518 HK), Weimob Inc. (2013 HK) and Tongcheng-Elong Holdings Ltd (780 HK) in the HSTECH INDEX. 
A few changes have been made from the way stocks are treated to ensure the inclusion of Li Auto (2015 HK) and XPeng (9868 HK) in the index.

SenseTime Group (20 HK) has been included at a much higher float than what it should be and this could take the stock higher in the next couple of weeks.


Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance: Forced Changes Lead to BIG Turnover

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-solar-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:318:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30921:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 4 March.</li>
<li>Using prices from the close on 18 February to cap the stocks, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.37% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$3,350m.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-solar-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:318:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK)</a> is 13 days of ADV to cover. While the inclusion was expected, short covering could take the stock higher.</li>
</ul>


As expected, Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK) replaces Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) at the close of trading on 4 March.
Using prices from the close on 18 February to cap the stocks, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.37% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$3,350m.
Short interest on Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK) is 13 days of ADV to cover. While the inclusion was expected, short covering could take the stock higher.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: Another Evergrande Stock Is Deleted; Xinyi Solar IN

Hong Kong

The Hang Seng Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of a selection of companies from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The components of the index are divided into four subindices: Commerce and Industry, Finance, Utilities, and Properties. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of July 31, 1964.

Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)

HK Tech Index Pressure Bleed into HSI Fresh Sell Zone

HSI is a top short vehicle and continues to show a heavy bias going into a cycle peak due in March. Short bounce attempts into March.

Thomas Schroeder

A frustrating month for markets

After almost 2 years of rising stock prices, and falling yields, 2022 started in a frustrating way. Most of the equity indices are negative YTD,...

Market Radar

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance: Forced Changes Lead to BIG Turnover

SenseTime, Li Auto and XPeng will join the HSTECH Index, replacing Tongcheng Travel, Weimob and Autohome. We estimate passive trackers will need to...

Brian Freitas

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Another Evergrande Stock Is Deleted; Xinyi Solar IN

Xinyi Solar replaces Evergrande Prop Serv in the HSCEI at the close on 4 March. Xinyi Solar is up 20% from its early Jan lows. Short interest on...

Brian Freitas