Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A weekly recap of volatility and price metrics, including option volumes, volatility trends, the spot/implied relationship, and open interest statistics.</li>
<li>The recent cooling in volatility may be more of a pause than a reversal—we explore why that might be.</li>
<li>Trading activity continued to fade as the market works through the volatility of recent weeks.</li>
</ul>


A weekly recap of volatility and price metrics, including option volumes, volatility trends, the spot/implied relationship, and open interest statistics.
The recent cooling in volatility may be more of a pause than a reversal—we explore why that might be.
Trading activity continued to fade as the market works through the volatility of recent weeks.


HSI Index Options Weekly (Apr 14-17): Volatility Cools, But the Floor May Hold

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX EQUITY)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> all have elevated implied vols vs their peers and vs historical observations for October.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>  implied vols are on the low end of what is typically realized in October.</li>
<li>Most markets see price weakness in the 3rd week of the month with realized volatility underperforming over the back half of the month.</li>
</ul>



Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX), Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX EQUITY) and Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) all have elevated implied vols vs their peers and vs historical observations for October.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) , S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)  implied vols are on the low end of what is typically realized in October.
Most markets see price weakness in the 3rd week of the month with realized volatility underperforming over the back half of the month.


EQD | Asia Monthly Vol Roadmap: Elevated IV's in CSI300 and Hang Seng Present Tactical Opportunity

<ul>
<li>A challenging week for HK single stocks, with weak breadth and sharp losses punctuated by a gap lower to start the week.</li>
<li>Monday marked the highest options volume day of the year, with a spike in the Put/Call ratio and unusual ETF option activity.</li>
<li>Implied vols surged, with the average implied vol percentile at very elevated levels.</li>
</ul>


A challenging week for HK single stocks, with weak breadth and sharp losses punctuated by a gap lower to start the week.
Monday marked the highest options volume day of the year, with a spike in the Put/Call ratio and unusual ETF option activity.
Implied vols surged, with the average implied vol percentile at very elevated levels.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Apr 07–11): Vol Spikes, Breadth Cracks & ETF Activity Surges

<ul>
<li>A volatile week for HSI, with sharp moves in price, volume, and implied volatility concentrated around Monday’s gap lower.</li>
<li>We discuss the shift in spot-vol dynamics and how it may influence short-term vol trading.</li>
<li>Changes in open interest and vol structure are examined in the context of ongoing global tensions.</li>
</ul>


A volatile week for HSI, with sharp moves in price, volume, and implied volatility concentrated around Monday’s gap lower.
We discuss the shift in spot-vol dynamics and how it may influence short-term vol trading.
Changes in open interest and vol structure are examined in the context of ongoing global tensions.


HSI Index Options Weekly (Apr 07–11): Vol Shifts and Early Signs of USD Toxicity

<ul>
<li>A shortened trading week masks the true extent of the HSI sell-off, with global markets down sharply Thursday and Friday</li>
<li>We use related indexes and historical relationships to estimate Monday’s price change and 1M implied vol for HSI.</li>
<li>Put activity surged, with heavy interest at the 19,600 strike potentially adding pressure to price and vol on Monday.</li>
</ul>


A shortened trading week masks the true extent of the HSI sell-off, with global markets down sharply Thursday and Friday
We use related indexes and historical relationships to estimate Monday’s price change and 1M implied vol for HSI.
Put activity surged, with heavy interest at the 19,600 strike potentially adding pressure to price and vol on Monday.


HSI Index Options Weekly (Mar 31-Apr 03): Global Meltdown, What to Expect on Monday

Hong Kong

The Hang Seng Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index of a selection of companies from the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. The components of the index are divided into four subindices: Commerce and Industry, Finance, Utilities, and Properties. The index was developed with a base level of 100 as of July 31, 1964.

Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)

HSI Index Options Weekly (Apr 14-17): Volatility Cools, But the Floor May Hold

A weekly overview of market volatility and trading activity, suggesting that the recent decrease in volatility may be a pause as opposed to an...

John Ley

EQD | Asia Monthly Vol Roadmap: Elevated IV's in CSI300 and Hang Seng Present Tactical Opportunity

Implied volatility levels across key Asian indices present several tactical opportunities this month for outright or pairs trades...

John Ley

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Apr 07–11): Vol Spikes, Breadth Cracks & ETF Activity Surges

HK single stocks faced a tough week with sharp losses, high options volume, surging implied vols and very poor breadth.

John Ley

HSI Index Options Weekly (Apr 07–11): Vol Shifts and Early Signs of USD Toxicity

This Insight analyzes the recent volatility in HSI and its impact on short-term vol trading, highlighting shifts in spot-vol dynamics and changes...

John Ley

HSI Index Options Weekly (Mar 31-Apr 03): Global Meltdown, What to Expect on Monday

Global markets experienced a sharp sell-off at the end of the shortened trading week, with potential pressure on price and volatility for the Hang...

John Ley

HSI Index Options Weekly (Apr 14-17): Volatility Cools, But the Floor May Hold

​A weekly overview of market volatility and trading activity, suggesting that the recent decrease in volatility may be a pause as opposed to an...

John Ley

EQD | Asia Monthly Vol Roadmap: Elevated IV's in CSI300 and Hang Seng Present Tactical Opportunity

​Implied volatility levels across key Asian indices present several tactical opportunities this month for outright or pairs trades...

John Ley

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Apr 07–11): Vol Spikes, Breadth Cracks & ETF Activity Surges

​HK single stocks faced a tough week with sharp losses, high options volume, surging implied vols and very poor breadth.

John Ley

HSI Index Options Weekly (Apr 07–11): Vol Shifts and Early Signs of USD Toxicity

​This Insight analyzes the recent volatility in HSI and its impact on short-term vol trading, highlighting shifts in spot-vol dynamics and changes...

John Ley

HSI Index Options Weekly (Mar 31-Apr 03): Global Meltdown, What to Expect on Monday

​Global markets experienced a sharp sell-off at the end of the shortened trading week, with potential pressure on price and volatility for the Hang...

John Ley

A weekly overview of market volatility and trading activity, suggesting that the recent decrease in volatility may be a pause as opposed to an...

Implied volatility levels across key Asian indices present several tactical opportunities this month for outright or pairs trades...

HK single stocks faced a tough week with sharp losses, high options volume, surging implied vols and very poor breadth.

This Insight analyzes the recent volatility in HSI and its impact on short-term vol trading, highlighting shifts in spot-vol dynamics and changes...

Global markets experienced a sharp sell-off at the end of the shortened trading week, with potential pressure on price and volatility for the Hang...