Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>A global index provider will be moving to a new float methodology from the upcoming rebalance in May. That will lead to lower floats for a lot of HK-listed stocks.</li>
<li>Lower float will result in passive selling of over US$5bn across HK-listed stocks. The top 15 sells by notional make up over 75% of the total sell flow.</li>
<li>The largest passive selling is expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:656:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of China</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-hung-kai-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:111:1" rel="noopener">Sun Hung Kai Properties</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring</a>. </li>
</ul>


A global index provider will be moving to a new float methodology from the upcoming rebalance in May. That will lead to lower floats for a lot of HK-listed stocks.
Lower float will result in passive selling of over US$5bn across HK-listed stocks. The top 15 sells by notional make up over 75% of the total sell flow.
The largest passive selling is expected in Tencent, China Construction Bank, Bank Of China, Sun Hung Kai Properties, Trip.com Group, BeiGene, Baidu and Nongfu Spring. 


Global Index Float Methodology Change: HK Stocks with Big Passive Sells

Deciphering real estate markets globally., Rems Advisors

TAN Kok Keong

Deciphering real estate markets globally.

Rems Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>The positive momentum of the primary home sales market has triggered positive responses from developers. Developers have been aggressively bidding for Government Land Sale Sites and are likely to take on the relatively more cumbersome process of purchasing private land for redevelopment. </p><h2>One of the largest private estate put up for redevelopment</h2><p>Within a space of 2 weeks, two rather large private estates were put up for redevelopment. Rio Casa in Hougang (a heartland locality) and the latest and…</p>

The positive momentum of the primary home sales market has triggered positive responses from developers. Developers have been aggressively bidding for Government Land Sale Sites and are likely to take on the relatively more cumbersome process of purchasing private land for redevelopment. One of the largest private estate put up for redevelopmentWithin a space of 2 weeks, two rather large private estates were put up for redevelopment. Rio Casa in Hougang (a heartland locality) and the latest and…

Amareos

Ryan Shea

<p><strong>Summary: </strong></p><p><em>Housing has several characteristics that mean it is almost perfectly designed to be prone to bubble-like behaviour. By definition a bubble occurs when the price of an asset is significantly overvalued making it increasingly difficult to justify based on underlying fundamentals. In such situations it is the overriding optimism of the crowd, with unrealistically high expectations, that acts as the propellant for further gains. Ten years on from the bursting of the US housing market</em>…</p>

Summary: Housing has several characteristics that mean it is almost perfectly designed to be prone to bubble-like behaviour. By definition a bubble occurs when the price of an asset is significantly overvalued making it increasingly difficult to justify based on underlying fundamentals. In such situations it is the overriding optimism of the crowd, with unrealistically high expectations, that acts as the propellant for further gains. Ten years on from the bursting of the US housing market…

The Market Sentimentalist: Global Real Estate – Where Are The Risks Residing?

<p>We visited the newly completed residential project, The Crest on 17th Mar 2017. The Crest is developed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19015" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19015:1">Wing Tai Holdings Ltd (WINGT SP)</a> and designed by award-winning Japanese architect Toyo Ito. The Crest is located at the high-end Jervois precinct, fronted by the ultra-high end Good Class Bungalow estates of Chatsworth and Bishop Gate.  The project has just obtained Temporary Occupation Permit and the developer held a briefing and site visit for real estate agents. </p><h2>What is on offer? </h2><p>The…</p>

We visited the newly completed residential project, The Crest on 17th Mar 2017. The Crest is developed by Wing Tai Holdings Ltd (WINGT SP) and designed by award-winning Japanese architect Toyo Ito. The Crest is located at the high-end Jervois precinct, fronted by the ultra-high end Good Class Bungalow estates of Chatsworth and Bishop Gate.  The project has just obtained Temporary Occupation Permit and the developer held a briefing and site visit for real estate agents. What is on offer? The…

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

<h2>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma</h2><p>In this week's ASEAN weekly, <strong>better consumption numbers in Indonesia</strong> are a theme, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/937" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:937">Angus Mackintosh</a>highlighting <strong>better numbers for February</strong> in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ace-hardware-consumers-are-back-on-the-ground-in-j-town" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:9387">ACE Hardware - Consumers Are Back!</a> and writing about more <strong>optimism on mortgages</strong> in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/bank-central-asia-surprising-in-its-positivity-on-the-ground-in-j-town" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:9343">Bank Central Asia - Surprising in Its Positivity</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/1006" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:1006">Henry Soediarko</a>  writes on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/23035" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23035">GMA Network Inc (GMA7 PM)</a> which is the second largest TV network in the Philippines, trading on almost a five-year low PER, with a dividend yield of 6.5%.</p><p>We…</p>

The Week That Was in ASEAN@SmartkarmaIn this week's ASEAN weekly, better consumption numbers in Indonesia are a theme, with Angus Mackintoshhighlighting better numbers for February in ACE Hardware - Consumers Are Back! and writing about more optimism on mortgages in Bank Central Asia - Surprising in Its Positivity. Henry Soediarko  writes on GMA Network Inc (GMA7 PM) which is the second largest TV network in the Philippines, trading on almost a five-year low PER, with a dividend yield of 6.5%.We…

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Consumers, Frontiers, and Mortgages

Bermuda

Hongkong Land is a major listed property development, investment, and management group. It focuses on developing, owning, and managing premium mixed-use real estate, including Grade A office, luxury retail, residential, and hospitality products, primarily in Asian gateway cities like Hong Kong, Singapore, and Shanghai. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

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Hongkong Land (HKL SP)

Global Index Float Methodology Change: HK Stocks with Big Passive Sells

A lot of the stocks with expected passive outflows have underperformed the indices over the last couple of weeks. We would look to unwind trades in...

Brian Freitas

Mother of All Enbloc Sale on the Market

The positive momentum of the primary home sales market has triggered positive responses from developers. Developers have been aggressively bidding...

TAN Kok Keong

The Market Sentimentalist: Global Real Estate – Where Are The Risks Residing?

Summary: Housing has several characteristics that mean it is almost perfectly designed to be prone to bubble-like behaviour. By definition a bubble...

Amareos

On Site: The Crest by WingTai Holdings

We visited the newly completed residential project, The Crest on 17th Mar 2017. The Crest is developed by Wing Tai Holdings Ltd (WINGT SP) and...

TAN Kok Keong

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Consumers, Frontiers, and Mortgages

The Week That Was in ASEAN@SmartkarmaIn this week's ASEAN weekly, better consumption numbers in Indonesia are a theme, with Angus...

Angus Mackintosh

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