Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>New HDFC Bank appears to have far better returns and credit metrics that large Asian peers</li>
<li>Pro-Forma amalgamation puts HDFC Bank as 2nd largest bank in Asia Pacific in market cap </li>
<li>Comparably large banks in Asia are concentrated in China, where credit metrics are opaque</li>
</ul>


New HDFC Bank appears to have far better returns and credit metrics that large Asian peers
Pro-Forma amalgamation puts HDFC Bank as 2nd largest bank in Asia Pacific in market cap 
Comparably large banks in Asia are concentrated in China, where credit metrics are opaque


HDFC Bank - Ranks 2nd After Merger Compared With Asia Pacific Banks

<ul>
<li>HDFC Ltd will merge into HDFC Bank perhaps within some weeks</li>
<li>Amalgamation presumed benefits are a long list: scale, cross-sell, funding, loan mix, etc</li>
<li>Improvements in total funding costs may be immediate and significant, beyond expectations </li>
</ul>


HDFC Ltd will merge into HDFC Bank perhaps within some weeks
Amalgamation presumed benefits are a long list: scale, cross-sell, funding, loan mix, etc
Improvements in total funding costs may be immediate and significant, beyond expectations 


HDFC Ltd - Funding Benefits Can Be Immediate, Substantial

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

National Stock Exchange of India / Equity Capital Markets

National Stock Exchange of India (NSE IN)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23751:1" rel="noopener">National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN)</a> is looking to raise upto US$2.5bn in its India IPO.</li>
<li>NSE operates electronic platforms for trading equities, derivatives, currencies, and debt securities, also earning revenue from clearing and settlement services, market data, index licensing, listing fees, connectivity, and technology services.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) is looking to raise upto US$2.5bn in its India IPO.
NSE operates electronic platforms for trading equities, derivatives, currencies, and debt securities, also earning revenue from clearing and settlement services, market data, index licensing, listing fees, connectivity, and technology services.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Aequitas: NSE Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuations

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23751:1" rel="noopener">National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN)</a> is looking to raise upto US$2.5bn in its India IPO.</li>
<li>NSE operates electronic platforms for trading equities, derivatives, currencies, and debt securities, also earning revenue from clearing and settlement services, market data, index licensing, listing fees, connectivity, and technology services.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) is looking to raise upto US$2.5bn in its India IPO.
NSE operates electronic platforms for trading equities, derivatives, currencies, and debt securities, also earning revenue from clearing and settlement services, market data, index licensing, listing fees, connectivity, and technology services.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.


Aequitas:  NSE Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>It all went a bit potty in 2021-2022, and the market went from overextended lack of common sense to some mean reversion.</li><li>The need for QE and negative yields for sustaining innovation and maintaining valuation VC investments, Marked to Myth investments, are finally being called out.   </li><li>In short, Head Fakes are red herrings that divert attention from what is already happening.  </li></ul>

It all went a bit potty in 2021-2022, and the market went from overextended lack of common sense to some mean reversion.The need for QE and negative yields for sustaining innovation and maintaining valuation VC investments, Marked to Myth investments, are finally being called out.   In short, Head Fakes are red herrings that divert attention from what is already happening.  

India

Housing Development Finance Corporation (HDFC) was an Indian private-sector mortgage lender, widely recognized as the largest housing finance company in India, offering long-term home loans to individuals and corporations for housing purposes. It also provided construction finance to housing development businesses. The company had diversified interests through its associate and subsidiary companies in banking, life and general insurance, asset management, venture capital, and deposit services. HDFC was incorporated in 1977 and headquartered in Mumbai, India. On July 1, 2023, HDFC merged with HDFC Bank, its subsidiary.

Housing Development Finance Corporation (HDFC IN)

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Housing Development Finance Corporation (HDFC IN)

HDFC Bank - Ranks 2nd After Merger Compared With Asia Pacific Banks

The merger is now done, and this is more relevant, highlighting now large HDFC Bank is now in Asia Pacific, not only in India.

Daniel Tabbush

HDFC Ltd - Funding Benefits Can Be Immediate, Substantial

This has more detail on the merger benefits, than the note done today and this should be seen by people, as the merger is now done, today.

Daniel Tabbush

Aequitas: NSE Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuations

National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) is looking to raise upto US$2.5bn in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas: NSE Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) is looking to raise upto US$2.5bn in its India IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

Head Fakes

The need for QE and negative yields for sustaining innovation and maintaining valuation VC investments, Marked to Myth investments, are finally...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)