Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>PC units grew by 1% in 2024, accelerating to 5% YoY in 1Q25. Best performers: Apple, Lenovo. Higher shipments to the US ahead of potential import tariffs but flat end-demand.</li>
<li>~70% of Computers are Made in China, US consumes 25% of total PC. The supply chain is accelerating relocating US-purchased PC out of China, this should be done by end-2025.</li>
<li>There is a risk of over-built and over-stocking in my view if PC Brands are too optimistic on Windows 10 end-of-support and AI PC upgrades.</li>
</ul>


PC units grew by 1% in 2024, accelerating to 5% YoY in 1Q25. Best performers: Apple, Lenovo. Higher shipments to the US ahead of potential import tariffs but flat end-demand.
~70% of Computers are Made in China, US consumes 25% of total PC. The supply chain is accelerating relocating US-purchased PC out of China, this should be done by end-2025.
There is a risk of over-built and over-stocking in my view if PC Brands are too optimistic on Windows 10 end-of-support and AI PC upgrades.


PC 1Q25: 5% YoY Growth but Shipments Inflated Ahead of US Tariffs. Dream of a Refresh Cycle Continue

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Trump Adminstration Gearing Up to Further Restrict China's Access to Chip Technology -- Could Restrict Servicing of Existing Equipment</li>
<li>Foxconn and Honda: Could This Be a New Alliance in EV Manufacturing?</li>
<li>TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Will TSMC Work on Intel Foundry Services? There Are Three Paradoxes... </li>
</ul>


Trump Adminstration Gearing Up to Further Restrict China's Access to Chip Technology -- Could Restrict Servicing of Existing Equipment
Foxconn and Honda: Could This Be a New Alliance in EV Manufacturing?
TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Will TSMC Work on Intel Foundry Services? There Are Three Paradoxes... 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trump's New China Chip Restrictions; Foxconn & Honda Alliance?; TSMC & Intel

<ul>
<li>Growing Signs That ARM-Based Chips Are Set to Disrupt the PC Market</li>
<li>Qualcomm’s Earnings Call Insights -- Snapdragon’s ARM-Based Push into PCs Successfully Taking Significant Market Share</li>
<li>Mediatek Earnings Call Highlights -- Reiterates ARM-Based Entry into PC Market with AI Supercomputer CPU in Collaboration with NVIDIA</li>
</ul>


Growing Signs That ARM-Based Chips Are Set to Disrupt the PC Market
Qualcomm’s Earnings Call Insights -- Snapdragon’s ARM-Based Push into PCs Successfully Taking Significant Market Share
Mediatek Earnings Call Highlights -- Reiterates ARM-Based Entry into PC Market with AI Supercomputer CPU in Collaboration with NVIDIA


PC Monitor: Latest Qualcomm & Mediatek Results Show ARM-Based Chips Disrupting the PC Market

<ul>
<li>Recent U.S. Market Weakness Appears to Have Been More Focused on Falling Sentiment for Server Businesses, Not PCs</li>
<li>CES 2025 Showed Qualcomm Chips Gaining Momentum in PCs, While AMD Continued Aggressive Competition -- Intel Under Pressure</li>
<li>PC Maker Universe to Experience Decent Revenue Growth in 2025E -- Structural Long Asustek &amp; Dell</li>
</ul>


Recent U.S. Market Weakness Appears to Have Been More Focused on Falling Sentiment for Server Businesses, Not PCs
CES 2025 Showed Qualcomm Chips Gaining Momentum in PCs, While AMD Continued Aggressive Competition -- Intel Under Pressure
PC Maker Universe to Experience Decent Revenue Growth in 2025E -- Structural Long Asustek &amp; Dell


PC Monitor: Snapdragon’s Surge, AMD’s Gains, Intel’s Test; Long Asus & Dell

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>HP Inc.'s latest earnings presented a mixed picture of financial performance, strategic direction, and market challenges.</li><li>For the fourth quarter of 2024, the company reported a 2% year-over-year increase in revenue, with growth in both its Personal Systems and Print segments.</li><li>A key highlight was the 3% growth in non-GAAP EPS to $0.93, aligning with the company's outlook.</li></ul>

HP Inc.'s latest earnings presented a mixed picture of financial performance, strategic direction, and market challenges.For the fourth quarter of 2024, the company reported a 2% year-over-year increase in revenue, with growth in both its Personal Systems and Print segments.A key highlight was the 3% growth in non-GAAP EPS to $0.93, aligning with the company's outlook.

HP Inc.: Will The Growth in AI-Enabled PCs Catalyze Its Future Top-Line? - Major Drivers

United States

HP Inc. provides imaging and printing systems, computing systems, mobile devices, solutions, and services for business and home. The Company offers products which includes laser and inkjet printers, scanners, copiers and faxes, personal computers, workstations, storage solutions, and other computing and printing systems. HP sells its products worldwide.

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Hewlett Packard Co (HPQ US)

PC 1Q25: 5% YoY Growth but Shipments Inflated Ahead of US Tariffs. Dream of a Refresh Cycle Continue

PC unit growth accelerates in 2025, driven by Apple and Lenovo, but dreams of a Windows 10 and AI PC upgrade pose risks of over-building and over...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trump's New China Chip Restrictions; Foxconn & Honda Alliance?; TSMC & Intel

Trump Admin preparing to further limit China's chip access; Foxconn and Honda potentially teaming up for EVs; TSMC considering Intel foundry...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: Latest Qualcomm & Mediatek Results Show ARM-Based Chips Disrupting the PC Market

ARM-based chips, led by Qualcomm and Mediatek, are poised to disrupt the PC market with successful market share gains and collaborations with...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: Snapdragon’s Surge, AMD’s Gains, Intel’s Test; Long Asus & Dell

Recent market weakness in the U.S. is centered on server businesses, not PCs. Qualcomm chips gaining traction in PCs at CES 2025, while AMD...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

HP Inc.: Will The Growth in AI-Enabled PCs Catalyze Its Future Top-Line? - Major Drivers

HP Inc.'s latest earnings presented a mixed picture of financial performance, strategic direction, and market challenges. For the fourth quarter...

Baptista Research

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PC 1Q25: 5% YoY Growth but Shipments Inflated Ahead of US Tariffs. Dream of a Refresh Cycle Continue

​PC unit growth accelerates in 2025, driven by Apple and Lenovo, but dreams of a Windows 10 and AI PC upgrade pose risks of over-building and over...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Trump's New China Chip Restrictions; Foxconn & Honda Alliance?; TSMC & Intel

​Trump Admin preparing to further limit China's chip access; Foxconn and Honda potentially teaming up for EVs; TSMC considering Intel foundry...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: Latest Qualcomm & Mediatek Results Show ARM-Based Chips Disrupting the PC Market

​ARM-based chips, led by Qualcomm and Mediatek, are poised to disrupt the PC market with successful market share gains and collaborations with...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: Snapdragon’s Surge, AMD’s Gains, Intel’s Test; Long Asus & Dell

​Recent market weakness in the U.S. is centered on server businesses, not PCs. Qualcomm chips gaining traction in PCs at CES 2025, while AMD...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

HP Inc.: Will The Growth in AI-Enabled PCs Catalyze Its Future Top-Line? - Major Drivers

HP Inc.'s latest earnings presented a mixed picture of financial performance, strategic direction, and market challenges. For the fourth quarter...

Baptista Research

PC unit growth accelerates in 2025, driven by Apple and Lenovo, but dreams of a Windows 10 and AI PC upgrade pose risks of over-building and over...

Trump Admin preparing to further limit China's chip access; Foxconn and Honda potentially teaming up for EVs; TSMC considering Intel foundry...

ARM-based chips, led by Qualcomm and Mediatek, are poised to disrupt the PC market with successful market share gains and collaborations with...

Recent market weakness in the U.S. is centered on server businesses, not PCs. Qualcomm chips gaining traction in PCs at CES 2025, while AMD...