Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KOSDAQ 150's December rebalancing will feature seven regular changes and two special entries.</li>
<li>Among the additions, we should focus on Dear U and ISC, which have a balanced level of liquidity and flow, rather than those theme stocks with high volatility.</li>
<li>As for Nature Holdings, Eoflow, and Nextin, I suggest a more aggressive entry point due to low trading volume. Then, I'd basket-trade the deletions on equal weight.</li>
</ul>


KOSDAQ 150's December rebalancing will feature seven regular changes and two special entries.
Among the additions, we should focus on Dear U and ISC, which have a balanced level of liquidity and flow, rather than those theme stocks with high volatility.
As for Nature Holdings, Eoflow, and Nextin, I suggest a more aggressive entry point due to low trading volume. Then, I'd basket-trade the deletions on equal weight.


KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing: 7 Regular Changes + 2 Special Entries

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hpsp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36004:1" rel="noopener">HPSP (403870 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sungeel-hitech-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36028:1" rel="noopener">Sungeel Hitech (365340 KS)</a> are the candidates for Early Entry in the December rebalancing as they sit comfortably within the Early Entry zone.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rsupport-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14783:1" rel="noopener">Rsupport (131370 KS)</a> and Kona I (052400 KS) are safe deletion bets. If they are not deleted through the rebalancing process, they will most likely be excluded by Early Entry.</li>
<li>
HPSP and SungEel should see an inflow equivalent to 0.9x and 0.8x ADTVs, respectively. Rsupport and Kona I will likely suffer an outflow of 3.4x and 3.8x ADTVs, respectively.</li>
</ul>



HPSP (403870 KS) and Sungeel Hitech (365340 KS) are the candidates for Early Entry in the December rebalancing as they sit comfortably within the Early Entry zone.

Rsupport (131370 KS) and Kona I (052400 KS) are safe deletion bets. If they are not deleted through the rebalancing process, they will most likely be excluded by Early Entry.

HPSP and SungEel should see an inflow equivalent to 0.9x and 0.8x ADTVs, respectively. Rsupport and Kona I will likely suffer an outflow of 3.4x and 3.8x ADTVs, respectively.


KOSDAQ 150 Early Entry Candidates for December Rebalancing

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>SOCAR announced its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 28,000 won (18% lower than the low end of the IPO range).</li>
<li>Our base case target price for SOCAR is 27,176 won, which is 3% lower than the IPO price of 28,000 won. </li>
<li>We remain Negative on this IPO due to lack of upside. There were 348 companies involved in the IPO survey with the final demand ratio of 56 to 1.</li>
</ul>


SOCAR announced its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 28,000 won (18% lower than the low end of the IPO range).
Our base case target price for SOCAR is 27,176 won, which is 3% lower than the IPO price of 28,000 won. 
We remain Negative on this IPO due to lack of upside. There were 348 companies involved in the IPO survey with the final demand ratio of 56 to 1.


<ul>
<li>We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 49 stocks in Korea in August 2022, among which 3 are in KOSPI and 46 are in KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>These 49 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in August and could underperform relative to the market. </li>
<li>Among these 49 stocks, the top five market cap stocks include Wemade, HPSP, Sungeel Hitech, Wemade Max, and Eoflow. These companies could be exposed to greater selling pressures in August. </li>
</ul>


We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 49 stocks in Korea in August 2022, among which 3 are in KOSPI and 46 are in KOSDAQ.
These 49 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in August and could underperform relative to the market. 
Among these 49 stocks, the top five market cap stocks include Wemade, HPSP, Sungeel Hitech, Wemade Max, and Eoflow. These companies could be exposed to greater selling pressures in August. 


End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 49 Companies in Korea in August 2022

<ul>
<li>We remain Bearish on the WCP IPO. Our base case valuation of WCP is implied market cap of 3.0 trillion won and target price of 87,805 won per share.</li>
<li>In this insight, we highlight four additional important considerations to the WCP IPO including comparison to SK IE Technology, 1Q22 earnings comparison, higher IPO discount, and overly optimistic EBITDA estimates. </li>
<li>We would categorize WCP as an excellent company but not exceptional as HPSP. Therefore, the weak market conditions will likely have a negative impact on the WCP IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>


We remain Bearish on the WCP IPO. Our base case valuation of WCP is implied market cap of 3.0 trillion won and target price of 87,805 won per share.
In this insight, we highlight four additional important considerations to the WCP IPO including comparison to SK IE Technology, 1Q22 earnings comparison, higher IPO discount, and overly optimistic EBITDA estimates. 
We would categorize WCP as an excellent company but not exceptional as HPSP. Therefore, the weak market conditions will likely have a negative impact on the WCP IPO pricing.


WCP IPO: Additional Important Considerations

South Korea

HPSP Co., Ltd operates as a manufacturing company. The Company manufactures semiconductor devices, systems and others. HPSP also provides related solution services.

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HPSP (403870 KS)

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Douglas Kim

WCP IPO: Additional Important Considerations

We highlight four additional important considerations to the WCP IPO including comparison to SK IE Technology, 1Q22 earnings comparison, higher IPO...

Douglas Kim

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