Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The bank runs in the global banking system will continue to pose downside risk to global banking stocks, including Thai banks, until the Fed and the ECB can come up with systematic solutions, and a worsening of the situation would lead to huge unrealized losses from investment in government bonds.</li><li>A temporary full-deposit guarantee is another potential way to address the banking crisis; note that the US guarantees around USD10trn out of total deposits of USD18trn, and the FDIC incurs costs of just USD100bn.</li><li>The longer the banking crisis is drawn-out, the greater the risks related to a credit crunch and the higher the chance of a global economic recession.</li></ul>

The bank runs in the global banking system will continue to pose downside risk to global banking stocks, including Thai banks, until the Fed and the ECB can come up with systematic solutions, and a worsening of the situation would lead to huge unrealized losses from investment in government bonds.A temporary full-deposit guarantee is another potential way to address the banking crisis; note that the US guarantees around USD10trn out of total deposits of USD18trn, and the FDIC incurs costs of just USD100bn.The longer the banking crisis is drawn-out, the greater the risks related to a credit crunch and the higher the chance of a global economic recession.

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

Country Garden Holdings / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The headlines of sweeping changes in the property market easing and Xi’s G-20 meetings to signal the thawing of foreign relationships were the main drivers of the continued rally early in the week.</li><li>What has been very different in this rally is the robust Southbound Inflows indicating strong interest from mainland investors but (yes, there is always one) it does not tie up the sharp rise in short-end HIBOR.</li><li>The HIBOR rise could be due to the drawdown of the large-margin loan in support of this rally. I have not found data to support or rebuff such a thesis.</li></ul>

The headlines of sweeping changes in the property market easing and Xi’s G-20 meetings to signal the thawing of foreign relationships were the main drivers of the continued rally early in the week.What has been very different in this rally is the robust Southbound Inflows indicating strong interest from mainland investors but (yes, there is always one) it does not tie up the sharp rise in short-end HIBOR.The HIBOR rise could be due to the drawdown of the large-margin loan in support of this rally. I have not found data to support or rebuff such a thesis.

HIBOR, Country Garden, Meituan, Tencent, and HSBC

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>After last week's Bear Porn note, this explains best the focus of the note.</li><li>We have a critical few weeks ahead of us as we open with a gap down on the index and many stocks on Thursday 22nd.</li><li>However, I think I will focus on just a few things that matter most, the four essential heavy weights and, last but not least, the long-term chart of the Hang Seng Index.</li></ul>

After last week's Bear Porn note, this explains best the focus of the note.We have a critical few weeks ahead of us as we open with a gap down on the index and many stocks on Thursday 22nd.However, I think I will focus on just a few things that matter most, the four essential heavy weights and, last but not least, the long-term chart of the Hang Seng Index.

Hang Seng Index, Tencent, HSBC, HKEX, and Alibaba

<ul>
<li>Over the last few days, the banks and financials have been acting very poorly.</li>
<li>The gap down on Wednesday in a few sectors and stocks got my attention as there was a bearish setup before today's trading day.</li>
<li>A gap, if not filled, will usually mark a change or acceleration of a trend. </li>
</ul>


Over the last few days, the banks and financials have been acting very poorly.
The gap down on Wednesday in a few sectors and stocks got my attention as there was a bearish setup before today's trading day.
A gap, if not filled, will usually mark a change or acceleration of a trend. 


Hang Seng Index Constituents 6th July 2022

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>LHN Group intends to list Coliwoo Co-Living on SGX, expanding their presence in the real estate market.</li><li>C&amp;W reports a significant 42% drop in office rents in Hong Kong, reflecting the changing landscape post-Q1 2019.</li><li>PGIM Real Estate promotes David Fassbender to Deputy Head of APAC, indicating a shift in leadership within the company.</li></ul>

LHN Group intends to list Coliwoo Co-Living on SGX, expanding their presence in the real estate market.C&amp;W reports a significant 42% drop in office rents in Hong Kong, reflecting the changing landscape post-Q1 2019.PGIM Real Estate promotes David Fassbender to Deputy Head of APAC, indicating a shift in leadership within the company.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (16-Apr-2025): Singapore's LHN Group wants SGX listing for Coliwoo Co-Living.

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings Plc is a British universal bank and financial services group operating worldwide. It offers a wide range of services including retail and personal banking, wealth management, commercial banking, global banking, and markets and securities services. The company was founded in British Hong Kong in 1865 and is headquartered in London, England.

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HSBC (HSBA LN)

Special Report: Bank Runs

The longer the banking crisis is drawn-out, the greater the risks related to a credit crunch and the higher the chance of a global economic recession.

Krungthai XSpring

HIBOR, Country Garden, Meituan, Tencent, and HSBC

The headlines of sweeping changes in the property market easing and Xi’s G-20 meetings to signal the thawing of foreign relationships were the main...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Hang Seng Index, Tencent, HSBC, HKEX, and Alibaba

After last week's Bear Porn note, this explains best the focus of the note. We have a critical few weeks ahead of us as we open with a gap down on...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Hang Seng Index Constituents 6th July 2022

The gap down on Wednesday in a few sectors and stocks got my attention as there was a bearish setup before today's trading day.

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia Real Estate Tracker (16-Apr-2025): Singapore's LHN Group wants SGX listing for Coliwoo Co-Living.

LHN Group plans SGX listing for Coliwoo Co-Living, Hong Kong office rents dropped 42%, David Fassbender promoted at PGIM Real Estate, Goodman...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

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