Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Australia & New Zealand Bankin / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>ANZ announced a US$2.4bn (A$3.5bn) raising via a renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of Suncorp Bank in Jul 2022.</li>
<li>The institutional part of the entitlement offer saw a strong take up and the retail take up was within our expectations as well.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the retail shortfall bookbuild and other updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


ANZ announced a US$2.4bn (A$3.5bn) raising via a renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of Suncorp Bank in Jul 2022.
The institutional part of the entitlement offer saw a strong take up and the retail take up was within our expectations as well.
In this note, we will talk about the retail shortfall bookbuild and other updates since our last note.


ANZ Renounceable Entitlement Offer - Retail Shortfall Size Within Expectations at A$688m (US$475m)

Event-Driven

Australia & New Zealand Bankin / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>ANZ announced a US$2.4bn (A$3.5bn) raising via a renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of Suncorp Bank in Jul 2022.</li>
<li>The institutional part of the entitlement offer saw a strong take up and the shares have held up well since the deal was announced.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming retail shortfall bookbuild and other updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


ANZ announced a US$2.4bn (A$3.5bn) raising via a renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of Suncorp Bank in Jul 2022.
The institutional part of the entitlement offer saw a strong take up and the shares have held up well since the deal was announced.
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming retail shortfall bookbuild and other updates since our last note.


ANZ Renounceable Entitlement Offer - Could Be a Relatively Large (A$550-750m) Retail Shortfall

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ayasdi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35954:1" rel="noopener">Ayasdi (0343503Z US)</a> is somewhat unique in it using a mathematical framework – topology, to analyse data sets and detect financial crime and fraud.</li>
<li>The company follows a quote-pricing model, but pricing is generally considered less expensive than the industry average.  </li>
<li>The growth of financial crime and the bioinformatics industry alongside improved recognition for the company can be expected to drive future revenues.</li>
</ul>



Ayasdi (0343503Z US) is somewhat unique in it using a mathematical framework – topology, to analyse data sets and detect financial crime and fraud.
The company follows a quote-pricing model, but pricing is generally considered less expensive than the industry average.  
The growth of financial crime and the bioinformatics industry alongside improved recognition for the company can be expected to drive future revenues.


AyasdiAI: Exposing Financial Crime Using Topology

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

*It Keeps Getting Worse: Between China Evergrande Group’s (3333.HK) [Evergrande] operational and liquidity troubles, large property price discounts, the precipitous drop in the value of its non-property-related development business, and a more challenging industry outlook, we would expect that Evergrande’s corporate restructure to be riddled with challenges; and *Authorities Finally Stepping In: The China Financial Stability and Development Committee (CFSDC) has signed off on Evergrande’s proposal to renegotiate debt payment deadlines with banks and other creditors, after the company missed interest and principal payments on several loans and delayed payments to suppliers amid difficulties accessing new financing – signaling that Evergrande has been greenlighted to re-negotiate funding terms with creditors.

*It Keeps Getting Worse: Between China Evergrande Group’s (3333.HK) [Evergrande] operational and liquidity troubles, large property price discounts, the precipitous drop in the value of its non-property-related development business, and a more challenging industry outlook, we would expect that Evergrande’s corporate restructure to be riddled with challenges; and *Authorities Finally Stepping In: The China Financial Stability and Development Committee (CFSDC) has signed off on Evergrande’s proposal to renegotiate debt payment deadlines with banks and other creditors, after the company missed interest and principal payments on several loans and delayed payments to suppliers amid difficulties accessing new financing – signaling that Evergrande has been greenlighted to re-negotiate funding terms with creditors.

China Evergrande Group – Not Likely A Smooth Restructure

*Another Poor Showing: Hang Seng Bank (11.HK) [Hang Seng] reported a 1H21 result of HKD 8.8 bn, improving HKD 1.2 bn (16.3%) HOH. However, core operating results improved only nominally by HKD 52 mn or 0.8% over the period. Were it not for the unreasonable decline of HKD 639 mn (65.3%) in loss provisions as credit deteriorated, results would have been far worse;  and*Provisions Now Significantly Understated: While the current NPL ratio is not alarming on its face, the HOH increase in net new NPLs is HKD 1.7 bn or 23.5% annualized - decelerating from the HKD 3.0 bn or 201% annualized at 2H20. We find Hang Seng under-provided for to the tune of HKD 10.6 bn or nearly 1.5x the bank’s core operating result.

*Another Poor Showing: Hang Seng Bank (11.HK) [Hang Seng] reported a 1H21 result of HKD 8.8 bn, improving HKD 1.2 bn (16.3%) HOH. However, core operating results improved only nominally by HKD 52 mn or 0.8% over the period. Were it not for the unreasonable decline of HKD 639 mn (65.3%) in loss provisions as credit deteriorated, results would have been far worse;  and*Provisions Now Significantly Understated: While the current NPL ratio is not alarming on its face, the HOH increase in net new NPLs is HKD 1.7 bn or 23.5% annualized - decelerating from the HKD 3.0 bn or 201% annualized at 2H20. We find Hang Seng under-provided for to the tune of HKD 10.6 bn or nearly 1.5x the bank’s core operating result.

Hang Seng Bank – Wuihfung Remains In Full Control

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings plc is a British universal bank and financial services group that provides banking and financial products and services worldwide. It offers retail, commercial and institutional banking, global banking and markets, wealth management, and private banking. The company was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.

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HSBC (HSBC US)

ANZ Renounceable Entitlement Offer - Retail Shortfall Size Within Expectations at A$688m (US$475m)

ANZ announced a US$2.4bn (A$3.5bn) raising via a renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of Suncorp Bank in Jul 2022. In this note...

Sumeet Singh

ANZ Renounceable Entitlement Offer - Could Be a Relatively Large (A$550-750m) Retail Shortfall

ANZ announced a US$2.4bn (A$3.5bn) raising via a renounceable entitlement offer to part fund the purchase of Suncorp Bank in Jul 2022. The retail...

Sumeet Singh

AyasdiAI: Exposing Financial Crime Using Topology

Ayasdi is unique where it uses a mathematical framework – topology, to analyse data sets and detect financial crime and fraud. Most products are...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

China Evergrande Group – Not Likely A Smooth Restructure

CHINA EVERGRANDE: Evergrande’s operational and liquidity troubles continue, and the CFSDC has signed off on Evergrande’s proposal to renegotiate...

Thomas J. Monaco

Hang Seng Bank – Wuihfung Remains In Full Control

HANG SENG BANK: Hang Seng reported a poor 1H21 HOH operating result. If provisions didn't decline 65%, results would have been worse. It under...

Thomas J. Monaco

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