Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

United Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q323 revenues of NT$57 billion, up 1.4% QoQ but down 24.3% YoY. For 2023 YTD, revenues have amounted to NT$167,575 billion, down 20.5% YoY.</li>
<li>Net income was NT$15.97, essentially flat QoQ. Gross margin came in at 35.9%, also flat QoQ. Utilisation for the quarter was 67%, down from 71% in the prior quarter.</li>
<li>Utilization set to further decline to low 60% levels in Q423, the lowest since the downturn began.</li>
</ul>


Q323 revenues of NT$57 billion, up 1.4% QoQ but down 24.3% YoY. For 2023 YTD, revenues have amounted to NT$167,575 billion, down 20.5% YoY.
Net income was NT$15.97, essentially flat QoQ. Gross margin came in at 35.9%, also flat QoQ. Utilisation for the quarter was 67%, down from 71% in the prior quarter.
Utilization set to further decline to low 60% levels in Q423, the lowest since the downturn began.


UMC. Automotive Weakness Prolongs Downturn

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 117.6% as of Nov 3rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week on week, led by utilities, information technology, communication services and offset by energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ganfeng Lithium, China Merchant Securities and Wuapptec.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 117.6% as of Nov 3rd.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week on week, led by utilities, information technology, communication services and offset by energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ganfeng Lithium, China Merchant Securities and Wuapptec.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 3rd): Ganfeng Lithium, CMS, Wuxi Apptec

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>TSMC recorded in-line 3Q23 results and 4Q revenue guidance implies betterthan-expected FY23E outlook, driven by stabilised demand of smartphone &amp; PC and inventory restocking.</li><li>Auto segment may slow down in 2H23E, but it is set to rebound in 2024 driven by the NEV market.</li><li>Looking ahead, we expect market will react positively to 3Q23 results, demand stabilisation and inventory restocking. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TSMC recorded in-line 3Q23 results and 4Q revenue guidance implies betterthan-expected FY23E outlook, driven by stabilised demand of smartphone &amp; PC and inventory restocking.Auto segment may slow down in 2H23E, but it is set to rebound in 2024 driven by the NEV market.Looking ahead, we expect market will react positively to 3Q23 results, demand stabilisation and inventory restocking. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of TSMC 3Q23: Cycle Nearing the Bottom

<ul><li>ASML and LAM posted in-line 3Q23 results, and a higher China sales mix is the bright spot, leading to better profitability.</li><li>Looking ahead, both believe that memory market recovery remains slow given low UTR and on-going inventory digestion, and cycle inflection visibility could be delayed to end-2023.</li><li>However, both remain positive on China demand for capacity expansion of domestic mature &amp; specialty nodes. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ASML and LAM posted in-line 3Q23 results, and a higher China sales mix is the bright spot, leading to better profitability.Looking ahead, both believe that memory market recovery remains slow given low UTR and on-going inventory digestion, and cycle inflection visibility could be delayed to end-2023.However, both remain positive on China demand for capacity expansion of domestic mature &amp; specialty nodes. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of ASML/LAM Research 3Q23 Results

<ul><li>The US Department of Commerce announced a new set of restrictions on 17 Oct that strengthens 1) export controls on advanced chips with new “parameters” and expansion to 40 more countries</li><li>2) export controls of chip manufacturing equipment to 21 more countries, and 3) addition of 13 Chinese entities onto the US Entity List.</li><li>We believe new rules are largely in-line with expectations and news media on 3 Oct.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The US Department of Commerce announced a new set of restrictions on 17 Oct that strengthens 1) export controls on advanced chips with new “parameters” and expansion to 40 more countries2) export controls of chip manufacturing equipment to 21 more countries, and 3) addition of 13 Chinese entities onto the US Entity List.We believe new rules are largely in-line with expectations and news media on 3 Oct.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Implications of the US’s Updated Chip Restrictions to Global/Domestic SPE and GPU Companies

China

Hua Hong Semiconductor Limited manufactures semiconductors on 200mm wafers for specialty applications. The Company's products are used in the consumer electronic, communication, computing and industrial, and automotive industries.

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Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK)

UMC. Automotive Weakness Prolongs Downturn

Q323 revenues of NT$57 billion, up 1.4% QoQ but down 24.3% YoY. Net income was NT$15.97, essentially flat QoQ. Utilization to decline to low 60%...

William Keating

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 3rd): Ganfeng Lithium, CMS, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Ganfeng Lithium, China Merchant Securities and Wuapptec.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Technology – Implications of TSMC 3Q23: Cycle Nearing the Bottom

TSMC recorded in-line 3Q23 results and 4Q revenue guidance implies betterthan-expected FY23E outlook, driven by stabilised demand of smartphone &...

CMB International

China Technology – Implications of ASML/LAM Research 3Q23 Results

Looking ahead, both believe that memory market recovery remains slow given low UTR and on-going inventory digestion, and cycle inflection...

CMB International

Implications of the US’s Updated Chip Restrictions to Global/Domestic SPE and GPU Companies

The US Department of Commerce announced a new set of restrictions on 17 Oct that strengthens 1) export controls on advanced chips with new...

CMB International

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