China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Macroeconomics

China released its second quarter GDP and the numbers (like all Chinese data) provide more questions than answers.<div>Despite agreeing to the International Monetary Fund Special Data Dissemination Standards, there remain large discrepancies between the headline data and the industrial level granular data. Detecting the problems requires digging deep beneath the surface.</div>According to official Chinese data real output in the second quarter in the industrial sector grew 6 per cent in real terms and 2.9…

China released its second quarter GDP and the numbers (like all Chinese data) provide more questions than answers.Despite agreeing to the International Monetary Fund Special Data Dissemination Standards, there remain large discrepancies between the headline data and the industrial level granular data. Detecting the problems requires digging deep beneath the surface.According to official Chinese data real output in the second quarter in the industrial sector grew 6 per cent in real terms and 2.9…

Digging Beneath the Surface of Chinese GDP

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Today's house price indices data from SouFun-CREIS on new home sales in China show accelerated growth for 100 cities overall index of 12.4% year-on-year in July, compared to 11.2% in June. Shenzhen continues to show the strongest growth on a 12-month basis with 41% increase and rising month-on-month, but that's slower than 52% in June. Lower-tier 'satellite' cities Dongguan, Huizhou, Kunshan, and Zhongshan saw house prices rise fastest in 2016. On a sequential month-on-month basis, the 100…

Today's house price indices data from SouFun-CREIS on new home sales in China show accelerated growth for 100 cities overall index of 12.4% year-on-year in July, compared to 11.2% in June. Shenzhen continues to show the strongest growth on a 12-month basis with 41% increase and rising month-on-month, but that's slower than 52% in June. Lower-tier 'satellite' cities Dongguan, Huizhou, Kunshan, and Zhongshan saw house prices rise fastest in 2016. On a sequential month-on-month basis, the 100…

The weekly data from SouFun-CREIS survey on new home sales in 35 major cities for the first three weeks of July (Weeks 28-30, or July 4 - 24) shows a further slowdown in sales volume growth, bringing year-to-date year-on-year change from 40% for the Weeks 1-26 to 35.5% for the Weeks 1-30. On a 4-week rolling year-on-year basis, the growth slowed down from 21% (Weeks 23-26) to 12% (Weeks 27-30). Historically, this 4-week rolling growth rate has been a fairly good indicator of what one could…

The weekly data from SouFun-CREIS survey on new home sales in 35 major cities for the first three weeks of July (Weeks 28-30, or July 4 - 24) shows a further slowdown in sales volume growth, bringing year-to-date year-on-year change from 40% for the Weeks 1-26 to 35.5% for the Weeks 1-30. On a 4-week rolling year-on-year basis, the growth slowed down from 21% (Weeks 23-26) to 12% (Weeks 27-30). Historically, this 4-week rolling growth rate has been a fairly good indicator of what one could…

Weekly China Property Sales Data In July Points At Further National Sales Growth Slowdown

In June 2016 (latest complete data), on YTD y/y basis, residential (incl. mixed-use) land GFA acquired by 20 major developers we track based on underlying data from SouFun-CREIS, increased by 31%, compared to 40% in May. Overall land sales of residential (incl. mixed use) land GFA in 40 major cities (Tier-1 and Tier-2) increased by 2.5%, compared to 6% in May YTD y/y. Acquisitions of pure commercial land grew by 64% in June on YTD y/y basis, compared to 136% in May.

In June 2016 (latest complete data), on YTD y/y basis, residential (incl. mixed-use) land GFA acquired by 20 major developers we track based on underlying data from SouFun-CREIS, increased by 31%, compared to 40% in May. Overall land sales of residential (incl. mixed use) land GFA in 40 major cities (Tier-1 and Tier-2) increased by 2.5%, compared to 6% in May YTD y/y. Acquisitions of pure commercial land grew by 64% in June on YTD y/y basis, compared to 136% in May.

Pickup In Land Sales In China Slows Down (June Data)

We rank the housing markets in 54 major cities in China on four metrics: 12-month house price growth, 12-month rolling year-on-year Gross Floor Area (GFA) sales volume growth,  3-month sequential price growth and 3-month volume growth, with latest data for June 2016.

We rank the housing markets in 54 major cities in China on four metrics: 12-month house price growth, 12-month rolling year-on-year Gross Floor Area (GFA) sales volume growth,  3-month sequential price growth and 3-month volume growth, with latest data for June 2016.

China Property: CityScreener(TM) Ranking of Housing Markets In 54 Cities - June 2016 Data

China

Huatai Securities is a leading technology-driven and fully integrated securities firm offering comprehensive financial services. Its core businesses include wealth management, institutional services, investment management, and international business, providing brokerage, investment banking, and asset management solutions. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China.

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Huatai Securities (6886 HK)

Digging Beneath the Surface of Chinese GDP

China released its second quarter GDP and the numbers (like all Chinese data) provide more questions than answers.Despite agreeing to the...

Christopher Balding

China House Prices Kept Rising In July

Today's house price indices data from SouFun-CREIS on new home sales in China show accelerated growth for 100 cities overall index of 12.4%...

Robert Ciemniak

Weekly China Property Sales Data In July Points At Further National Sales Growth Slowdown

The weekly data from SouFun-CREIS survey on new home sales in 35 major cities for the first three weeks of July (Weeks 28-30, or July 4 - 24) shows...

Robert Ciemniak

Pickup In Land Sales In China Slows Down (June Data)

In June 2016 (latest complete data), on YTD y/y basis, residential (incl. mixed-use) land GFA acquired by 20 major developers we track based on...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: CityScreener(TM) Ranking of Housing Markets In 54 Cities - June 2016 Data

We rank the housing markets in 54 major cities in China on four metrics: 12-month house price growth, 12-month rolling year-on-year Gross Floor...

Robert Ciemniak

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52-week Range

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